At this point, what would Russia have to do to get back onside with the rest of the world? Obviously, ending the conflict with Ukraine is the first step, but what else would they need to do? How long would it take for them to get out of the doghouse, so to speak?
Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
41–50 of 115 posts
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#42Great to see sanctions working. Withdraw from Ukraine and sanctions end.
> and sanctions end Source on that? No documented cases in history of U.S. sanctions ever ending. (Which is why from a game theoretic point of view the only winning move is import substitution, not kowtowing to whatever terrorist demands.)
Sanctions on Iran were relaxed in exchange for partial cooperation: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_sanctions_agains...
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#43Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have an investor account and I know for sure the stock market isn't closed.
“Closed off” means “restricted access to”. It doesn’t mean “closed”. I have no idea what restrictions the parent was referring to, but they weren’t saying that the stock market shut down.
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#44Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have an investor account and I know for sure the stock market isn't closed.
“Closed off” means “restricted access to”. It doesn’t mean “closed”. I have no idea what restrictions the parent was referring to, but they weren’t saying that the stock market shut down.
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#45Earlier quoted context omitted.
I haven't heard of any accidents in civilian air traffic in Russia in last few years. Of course you're free to make your choices. Anyway, don't overestimate the issue: 2.5% of the fleet seems to be grounded right now.
Hmm, I think you may have just not been paying attention? There was the Superjet that crashed and burned at Lukhovitsy just a few months ago, the A320 that ran out of fuel and landed in the field near Novosibirsk a year ago, the AN26 that crashed in 2021, the Superjet that crashed and burned at Moscow in 2019…
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#46Articles like these are a good example that while Russia often tries to downplay or outright deny the sanctions have any effect on them, they do work. This is only one specific example with a specific plane model, but their whole airline industry is facing similar issues on many fronts. Many repairs that used to be business as usual are now either prohibitively expensive or downright impossible due to the sanctions.…
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#47Earlier quoted context omitted.
Counterintuitively, yes, because air travel is a Cournot good and you grow/make money by expanding supply (more planes), which they can’t
Which they can, because Russia produces aircraft domestically.
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#48Earlier quoted context omitted.
Counterintuitively, yes, because air travel is a Cournot good and you grow/make money by expanding supply (more planes), which they can’t
Which they can, because Russia produces aircraft domestically.
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#49Articles like these are a good example that while Russia often tries to downplay or outright deny the sanctions have any effect on them, they do work. This is only one specific example with a specific plane model, but their whole airline industry is facing similar issues on many fronts. Many repairs that used to be business as usual are now either prohibitively expensive or downright impossible due to the sanctions.…
>There's a reason why they closed off their stock market That's a completely false information. The stock market isn't closed.
> Regulatory and market conditions do not currently permit the Funds to conduct transactions in the local Russian market.
[0] https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/limited-russian-sto...
[1] https://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/emerging-markets-equity/r...
Re: Half of Russia's A320/A321neo Fleet Grounded Amid Engine Issues and Sanctions
#50Articles like these are a good example that while Russia often tries to downplay or outright deny the sanctions have any effect on them, they do work. This is only one specific example with a specific plane model, but their whole airline industry is facing similar issues on many fronts. Many repairs that used to be business as usual are now either prohibitively expensive or downright impossible due to the sanctions.…
The point of modern sanctions is not that it makes import impossible (look at Russian circumvention for dual-use military technologies), but that it makes import at whole-economy scale more expensive and unreliable. And ultimately that's what imposes economic costs. It'll be curious how much of the gap is filled by substitute Chinese goods. (E.g. the domestic CFM-alternative engine projects [0]) With the wrinkle that…