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The economy is going great, except for the housing market

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Re: The economy is going great, except for the housing market

#81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I was talking about that as well. If the government is your direct banking provider, they own everything from money creation to base rates that largely set cost of your debt to access to your wealth. If the government provides your debit/checking accounts they can't deny charges they don't want you to make or completely block you from your money.

Sure, that’s possible; however, I’ll note that private banks and payment services do already discriminate in their payment terms, and while your high income earner may choose more desirable options (for whatever reason), the unbanked population would still likely benefit from the existence of a minimalist USPS banking option.

> however, I’ll note that private banks and payment services do already discriminate in their payment terms

That's a much more important issue in my opinion, I assume we agree there. I wouldn't be surprised for any one bank to be picky, but if almost every bank refuses to service a certain type of customer that's a problem. More broadly, its a problem that having a bank account is effectively required to live in modern society.

> the unbanked population would still likely benefit from the existence of a minimalist USPS banking option.

Agreed here as well, at least in the short term. The government we have today doesn't seem interested in flexing that authority even if they had it, though the government does have a history of a slippery slope problem when it comes to federal powers.

Income tax was initially sold as a tax of only 1% on the most wealthy. While it was originally limited to that, the government gave itself the power to tax income and it only grew to leverage that more. I have no reason to think banking would be different.

They may only want to help the unbanked today, but when a big bank fails the government would offer accounts and may even offer full replacement for lost funds due to bank failure. That alone wouldn't matter, except that it could tip the scale of cost/benefit that made a USPS bank worth it for those with no other choice.

Re: The economy is going great, except for the housing market

#82
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As someone who wants higher density, I see very little progress of this happening. Voters consistently vote against it. The one exception is California state has passed some good laws around ADUs and parking minimums. People will keep voting for rent control and affordable units to prevent construction. The other side of the equation is that wages could increase relative to the price of housing.

Kamala has some plans to federally incentive home supply. Some subsidies and goals. Here in Texas, Austin has had great success with pushing supply and now rents actually went down since last year. So based on that I think voters are changing their minds.

What is weird to me about her proposal is that they talk about 3m homes but that is the normal number of housing starts in 4 years. Do they mean they will double it or are they just giving tax incentives for the expected home construction so they can point to it and get credit?

Re: The economy is going great, except for the housing market

#83
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

parking minimums are a red herring. zoning, absolutely. however, in a lot of places we have homeowners' associations as well. random density doesn't help much, need to build density near existing and planned infrastructure.

> parking minimums are a red herring Care to explain more? I hard disagree, and I think the research is on my side.

They are at best a very minor cost addition when it comes to large projects. I see more problems from insufficient parking which is why many of these exist in the first place. There is very little independent research into the topic, it's mostly from the anticar crowd.

Re: The economy is going great, except for the housing market

#84
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree, "The USD/American economy will crash!" and "China will implode!" are perhaps the two textbook examples of yokels yapping baselessly about doomsdays I've consistently heard and turn out wrong over my entire lifetime. Entire foreign countries (read: most of the world worth caring about) invest in and hold the US, whether that's stocks or bonds (Treasury bonds especially) or literal USD. The only way the US cra…

Well, I'm not quite that optimistic. The only way the US crashes is if it stops being the best option out there. If the EU and the euro, or China and the yuan, or India and the rupee become better options than the US and the dollar, then people will stop holding so many dollars, and the US will be in trouble. That is a thing that can happen, even though it hasn't in 80 years.

Exactly, I really like your style and thinking, AnimalMuppet.

My fear for 10+ years has been that another county or block will start a gold, commody or electronic based currency and the world will flood to the backed currency dumping USD as fast as possible. Bitcoin ALMOST became that black hole of USD before Adam Back's Blockstream was able to sucessfully hijack the BTC GitHub repo and inject hacks like SegWit and RBF that essentially killed BTC as a currency.

USD doesn't have to die, just something slightly better has to come along.

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