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FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

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21–30 of 155 posts

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#21
post #3

Dumb question: why are creditors getting paid more than they are owed?

dunno why nobody has answered your real question, which I think is:

"Why aren't debt creditors getting made whole (as of date of bankruptcy) with the balance going to equity holders, like every other bankruptcy?"

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#23
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interest. From the article: > "We are poised to return 100% of bankruptcy claim amounts plus interest for non-governmental creditors." For what it's worth, the article also points out that Bitcoin has gone up 260% since FTX's failure, so if FTX had not collapsed, somebody hodling their BTC there might have earned 260% instead of 19%.

Yeah, this is not creditors "making money". Anyone who had 1 bitcoin in FTX is not getting their 1 bitcoin back, which is massively more valuable. Instead, they are getting 119% of the USD value of a bitcoin in late 2022. They are massively losing out. They are effectively getting back 33% of their assets.

aren't a lot of the FTX creditors cash creditors? they're definitely making money.

Dunno what the breakdown between bitcoin and cash creditors are, but the only way to make bitcoin creditors more whole would be to stiff the cash creditors.

And the FTX token creditors are making [DIVIDE BY ZERO]

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#24

Now imagine if we did not put sbf in jail and he kept leveraging. By now it would have been a quadrillion dollar company.

That's not how any of this works. If you steal money from the cash register to bet it all on black in Vegas, you're still going to jail even if you happen to hit and be able to return what you took.

Well if you observe me just for the moment I have on hand 1B, my net worth is 1B and JP Morgan will be willing to lend me 10B.

Worst comes to worst tax payer bails again the banks out.

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#25

Now imagine if we did not put sbf in jail and he kept leveraging. By now it would have been a quadrillion dollar company.

That's not how any of this works. If you steal money from the cash register to bet it all on black in Vegas, you're still going to jail even if you happen to hit and be able to return what you took.

That is, coincidentally, how we still have FedEx.

Fred Smith taking the company's last $5K to Vegas and luckily winning $27,000.

Mind you at that point, pilots were putting fuel on their personal credit cards, payroll had been bouncing for weeks.

(Funnily, some people here think he did the right thing.)

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#26
post #20

The statement is misleading. People are making 18% interest on the value of Bitcoin et al. at the value of 2022, which is less than $20k. Now that is $60k, back to the value levels of 2021. Thus, the only reason there is interest is that the cryptocurrencies found gained back their value, and the bankruptcy court gets to consider the values when the bankruptcy started in 2022, not current/before 2022 values.

Does it not also have to do with the increased value of some of the other assets FTX bought? I believe SBF invested a large amount in some AI companies.

FTX invested $500M in Anthropic for 8% (at the time) and the bankruptcy estate sold 2/3rds of that for $884M, while it is tidy sum, it doesn't move the needle much in the overall money owed to creditors of $11.2B .

The estate has recovered around $16B of the money, or basically close to half of the assets at the time, the bulk of the money is coming from bitcoin tripling in value, to put it another way if Bitcoin was same prices as 2022, then they would have only recovered ~ $5B or FTX continued operating without being frozen by the courts, they would need come with $33B to make their depositors whole in Bitcoin.

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#27
post #20

The statement is misleading. People are making 18% interest on the value of Bitcoin et al. at the value of 2022, which is less than $20k. Now that is $60k, back to the value levels of 2021. Thus, the only reason there is interest is that the cryptocurrencies found gained back their value, and the bankruptcy court gets to consider the values when the bankruptcy started in 2022, not current/before 2022 values.

Does it not also have to do with the increased value of some of the other assets FTX bought? I believe SBF invested a large amount in some AI companies.

I am not sure. I don't think so but I haven't had time to read how the equities will get liquidated.

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#28
post #20

The statement is misleading. People are making 18% interest on the value of Bitcoin et al. at the value of 2022, which is less than $20k. Now that is $60k, back to the value levels of 2021. Thus, the only reason there is interest is that the cryptocurrencies found gained back their value, and the bankruptcy court gets to consider the values when the bankruptcy started in 2022, not current/before 2022 values.

Does it not also have to do with the increased value of some of the other assets FTX bought? I believe SBF invested a large amount in some AI companies.

The FTX stake in Anthropic was liquidated at a very high return back in ~May.

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#29
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does it not also have to do with the increased value of some of the other assets FTX bought? I believe SBF invested a large amount in some AI companies.

I am not sure. I don't think so but I haven't had time to read how the equities will get liquidated.

It literally says they made 900M off Anthropic in the article

Re: FTX creditors will make money on bankruptcy

#30
post #20

The statement is misleading. People are making 18% interest on the value of Bitcoin et al. at the value of 2022, which is less than $20k. Now that is $60k, back to the value levels of 2021. Thus, the only reason there is interest is that the cryptocurrencies found gained back their value, and the bankruptcy court gets to consider the values when the bankruptcy started in 2022, not current/before 2022 values.

Does it not also have to do with the increased value of some of the other assets FTX bought? I believe SBF invested a large amount in some AI companies.

The article mentions a stake in Anthropic that was sold for $900m, while it owes creditors $11.2b, so nah it wasn't enough to make a dent unless there were MANY other smaller investments that collectively added up to $3b on top of that.
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