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Mira Murati leaves OpenAI

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Re: Mira Murati leaves OpenAI

#24
post #7

It is hard for me to square "This company is a few short years away from building world-changing AGI" and "I'm stepping away to do my own thing". Maybe I'm just bad at putting myself in someone else's shoes, but I feel like if I had spent years working towards a vision of AGI, and thought that success was finally just around the corner, it'd be very difficult to walk away.

> It is hard for me to square "This company is a few short years away from building world-changing AGI"

Altmans quote was that "it's possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days", which sounds a lot more optimistic on the surface than it actually is. A few thousand days could be interpreted as 10 years or more, and by adding the "possibly" qualifier he didn't even really commit to that prediction.

It's hype with no substance, but vaguely gesturing that something earth-shattering is coming does serve to convince investors to keep dumping endless $billions into his unprofitable company, without risking the reputational damage of missing a deadline since he never actually gave one. Just keep signing those 9 digit checks and we'll totally build AGI... eventually. Honest.

Re: Mira Murati leaves OpenAI

#28

that's a lot of core people leaving, especially since they're apparently so close to a "revolution in AGI" I feel like either they're not close at all and the people know it's all lies or they're seeing some shady stuff and want nothing to do with it

A simpler explanation is that SamA is consolidating power at the company and pushing out everyone who hasn't been loyal to him from the start.

Re: Mira Murati leaves OpenAI

#30
post #7

It is hard for me to square "This company is a few short years away from building world-changing AGI" and "I'm stepping away to do my own thing". Maybe I'm just bad at putting myself in someone else's shoes, but I feel like if I had spent years working towards a vision of AGI, and thought that success was finally just around the corner, it'd be very difficult to walk away.

I think the much more likely scenario than product roadmap concerns is that Murati (and Ilya for that matter) took their shot to remove Sam, lost, and in an effort to collectively retain billion$ of enterprise value have been playing nice, but were never seriously going to work together again after the failed coup.
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