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Terence Tao on O1

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Re: Terence Tao on O1

#241

Post by christofosho »

a_wild_dandan wrote: post #232
noch wrote: post #193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The important point is, I feel, that most people are not even at the level of intelligence of a "a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student." A mediocre graduate science student, especially of the sort who graduates and doesn't quit, is a very impressive individual compared to the rest of us. For "us", having such a level of intelligence available as an assistant throughout the day is a massive life…

My sheer productivity boost from these models is miraculous. It's like upgrading from a text editor to a powerful IDE. I've saved a mountain of hours just by removing tedious time sinks -- one-off language syntax, remembering patterns for some framework, migrating code, etc. And this boost applies to nearly all of my knowledge work. Then I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone, and…

I think there may be a set of people that have figured out, 1) how to interact with LLMs; and 2) what in their lives is improved when interacting with LLMs. I am in the group that has not found the best use case for my own life, and have never needed it for improving anything I need to get done. Always looking for suggestions, though!

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#242

Post by llm_bro »

a_wild_dandan wrote: post #232
noch wrote: post #193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The important point is, I feel, that most people are not even at the level of intelligence of a "a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student." A mediocre graduate science student, especially of the sort who graduates and doesn't quit, is a very impressive individual compared to the rest of us. For "us", having such a level of intelligence available as an assistant throughout the day is a massive life…

My sheer productivity boost from these models is miraculous. It's like upgrading from a text editor to a powerful IDE. I've saved a mountain of hours just by removing tedious time sinks -- one-off language syntax, remembering patterns for some framework, migrating code, etc. And this boost applies to nearly all of my knowledge work. Then I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone, and…

[dead]

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#243

Post by bachmeier »

a_wild_dandan wrote: post #232
noch wrote: post #193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The important point is, I feel, that most people are not even at the level of intelligence of a "a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student." A mediocre graduate science student, especially of the sort who graduates and doesn't quit, is a very impressive individual compared to the rest of us. For "us", having such a level of intelligence available as an assistant throughout the day is a massive life…

My sheer productivity boost from these models is miraculous. It's like upgrading from a text editor to a powerful IDE. I've saved a mountain of hours just by removing tedious time sinks -- one-off language syntax, remembering patterns for some framework, migrating code, etc. And this boost applies to nearly all of my knowledge work. Then I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone, and…

> I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone

While I don't doubt that there's at least one person that has said this, what you're saying doesn't conflict with the things I and many others in the "skeptic" camp have said. LLMs are useful for a very specific set of tasks. The tasks you've listed are a tiny sliver of all the tasks that AI could potentially be doing. Would it be a good idea to consult an LLM if your mother is passed out on the floor? Probably not. The problem I have is with extrapolating from the current successes to conclude that many more tasks will be done by AI in five years.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#244

Post by wizzwizz4 »

a_wild_dandan wrote: post #232
noch wrote: post #193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The important point is, I feel, that most people are not even at the level of intelligence of a "a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student." A mediocre graduate science student, especially of the sort who graduates and doesn't quit, is a very impressive individual compared to the rest of us. For "us", having such a level of intelligence available as an assistant throughout the day is a massive life…

My sheer productivity boost from these models is miraculous. It's like upgrading from a text editor to a powerful IDE. I've saved a mountain of hours just by removing tedious time sinks -- one-off language syntax, remembering patterns for some framework, migrating code, etc. And this boost applies to nearly all of my knowledge work. Then I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone, and…

I'm a contrarian who believes your anecdote, and could even imagine that 5% of LLM users feel the same way, but thinks (a) these systems are about half as good as they're ever going to get, (b) we're past the point of diminishing returns, and (c) what we do have isn't worth the energy costs of running it, let alone creating it in the first place.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#245

Post by perching_aix »

a_wild_dandan wrote: post #232
noch wrote: post #193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The important point is, I feel, that most people are not even at the level of intelligence of a "a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student." A mediocre graduate science student, especially of the sort who graduates and doesn't quit, is a very impressive individual compared to the rest of us. For "us", having such a level of intelligence available as an assistant throughout the day is a massive life…

My sheer productivity boost from these models is miraculous. It's like upgrading from a text editor to a powerful IDE. I've saved a mountain of hours just by removing tedious time sinks -- one-off language syntax, remembering patterns for some framework, migrating code, etc. And this boost applies to nearly all of my knowledge work. Then I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone, and…

Thing is, I'm used to hearing a very similar sentiment on how e.g. using vim keybindings is so literally going to make me a 10x 100x whatever rockstar developer - and it's like what, enabling me to edit text a bit faster? And it's always anecdotes that yeah, from-qualia you feel so fast. But from-qualia I run like a marathon runner and sound like a radio host.

I personally did find some use cases for it and it does a decent job of cutting out minor gruntwork for me. But the experience itself screams to me that whatever gains I'm feeling I'm getting are all in my head.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#246

Post by JumpCrisscross »

fnordpiglet wrote: post #149

Rewind your mind to 2019 and imagine reading a post that said “The experience seemed roughly on par with trying to advise a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” With regard to interacting with the equivalent of Alexa. That’s a remarkable difference in 5 years.

The first profession AI seems on track to decimate is programming. In particular, the brilliant but remote and individual contributor. There is an obvious conflict of interest in this forum.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#247

Post by __loam »

fragmede wrote: post #134
__loam wrote: post #61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You future employer might expect you to bring some value through your expertise that doesn't come from her LLM. If you want to insist on degrading your own employability like this, I guess it's your choice.

For the most part, businesses don't care how you deliver value, just that you do. If programmer A does a ticket in 3 days with an LLM, and programmer B takes a week to do the same ticket, but doesn't use an LLM, with programmer B choosing not to out of some notion of purity, who's more employable?

Productivity is not the only aspect of our profession that matters, and in fact it's probably not even the most important part. I'm not suggesting we get stuck or handcraft every aspect of our code, and there are multitudes of abstractions and tools that enhance productivity, including everything from frameworks to compilers.

What I'm saying is what the original comment is doing, having the LLM write all their code, will make them a less valuable employee in the long term. Participating in the act of programming makes your a better programmer. I'd rather have programmer B if they take the time to understand their code, so that when that code breaks at 4am and they get the call, they can actually fix it rather than be in a hole they dug with LLMs that they can't dig out of.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#248

Post by raincole »

perching_aix wrote: post #245
a_wild_dandan wrote: post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My sheer productivity boost from these models is miraculous. It's like upgrading from a text editor to a powerful IDE. I've saved a mountain of hours just by removing tedious time sinks -- one-off language syntax, remembering patterns for some framework, migrating code, etc. And this boost applies to nearly all of my knowledge work. Then I see contrarians claiming that LLMs are literally never useful for anyone, and…

Thing is, I'm used to hearing a very similar sentiment on how e.g. using vim keybindings is so literally going to make me a 10x 100x whatever rockstar developer - and it's like what, enabling me to edit text a bit faster? And it's always anecdotes that yeah, from-qualia you feel so fast. But from-qualia I run like a marathon runner and sound like a radio host. I personally did find some use cases for it and it does a…

> using vim keybindings is so literally going to make me a 10x 100x whatever rockstar developer - and it's like what, enabling me to edit text a bit faster?

Yes, to me LLM is exactly like this: from nano to vim.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#249

Post by dartos »

JumpCrisscross wrote: post #246
fnordpiglet wrote: post #149

Rewind your mind to 2019 and imagine reading a post that said “The experience seemed roughly on par with trying to advise a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” With regard to interacting with the equivalent of Alexa. That’s a remarkable difference in 5 years.

The first profession AI seems on track to decimate is programming. In particular, the brilliant but remote and individual contributor. There is an obvious conflict of interest in this forum.

No, the first profession AI was on track to decimate was artists, but that didn’t really happen.

AI just destroyed shutterstock.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#250

Post by __loam »

JumpCrisscross wrote: post #246
fnordpiglet wrote: post #149

Rewind your mind to 2019 and imagine reading a post that said “The experience seemed roughly on par with trying to advise a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” With regard to interacting with the equivalent of Alexa. That’s a remarkable difference in 5 years.

The first profession AI seems on track to decimate is programming. In particular, the brilliant but remote and individual contributor. There is an obvious conflict of interest in this forum.

It's going to be incredible watching you people write way more code than you can feasibly maintain.
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