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Intel Honesty

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Re: Intel Honesty

#411

Post by Wytwwww »

ryandrake wrote: post #401
Wytwwww wrote: post #384

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> businesses that fail is a testament to how thoroughly misallocated capital is. So much capital goes to people who end up demonstrating they are incapable of deploying it. Doesn't that disprove you previous hypothesis? Unless you think that the people who are handing out the money and the ones they are handing it to are somehow exceptionally incompetent? Why would that be the case?

I am saying I think it's possible that investors use terrible and backward signals for who to invest in, and that might be an alternate explanation of the 90+% miss rate (and 1-5% unicorn rate) of a cohort of invested companies. To the point where their investment choices might be even worse than random chance. Almost like they are investing based on the inverse of what they should be. We'll never know because there…

To some extent building and running a business is a zero sum game, you don't have to be good at it you [just] have have to better at it than other people.

Tech is also special in that it's often a winner takes all (to varying extents) market. A bunch of small/medium companies selling similar products usually can't survive long-term since geographic barriers aren't really a thing anymore.

So I simple don't think it's possible for 50-90% of all the companies were talking about to survive and grow at a pace that's fast enough for VCs. If they can't grow they'll will be outcompeted/bought out by companies that can't. Even if they can survive and grow at a modest pace long-term there is no point for VCs to invest into them.

I don't see how picking more competent people could significantly change this situation. They are all still competing for slices of the same even if that pie is constantly growing entrenched player with a lot of resources have a much better shot at capturing that growth than any newcomer.

> We'll never know because there is no counterfactual fund that invests in the companies nobody else invested in, to test whether they were false negatives.

I don't see how could that work unless VCs reduce the number of companies that they invest in by a magnitude or two.

Re: Intel Honesty

#412

Post by Wytwwww »

timschmidt wrote: post #390
Wytwwww wrote: post #376

Earlier quoted context omitted.

SteamDeack is a much more open equivalent of Android/ChomeOS. Yes you can use it as a Linux "Desktop" but form the perspective of most people it's just there to run a single proprietary app while Linux is just an implementation detail. Of course some people will use it for other things than Steam but I doubt it's a very significant proportion.

> SteamDeack is a much more open equivalent of Android/ChomeOS SteamDeck runs a minimally modified Arch Linux, with a full KDE desktop installed from the factory and prominent switch in the main UI to close Steam and reboot into a full desktop. > it's just there to run a single proprietary app Tens of thousands of Windows games, more like. The Steam app is just a launcher and store. Even Windows doesn't successfully…

> SteamDeck runs a minimally modified Arch Linux, with a full KDE desktop > Tens of thousands of Windows games, more like

I'm certainly aware of that and not arguing about it, just saying that it's not really relevant for most people that the device is targeted at.

> will feel reasonably at home under Gnome or KDE.

I don't agree with that at all, maybe on a very superficial level. But even if that were the case what value would Linux be offering to most of these people? Whether we like it or not Windows and macOS still have plenty of other benefits/advantages for most non-technical people besides letting them run specialty software.

> Valve seems to have found a way to fund knocking down that barrier.

What they are aiming to achieve is still no different from what Google did with Android and ChromeOS. They just want a platform they can fully control and make money from while minimizing their costs. Sure, they are doing it in a way that's much more "open" and benefits Linux much more than Android but they still have no other incentives besides maximizing the number of people who are using Steam and reducing competition from other storefronts like Xbox store on Windows etc.

Re: Intel Honesty

#413

Post by sumo89 »

I'm sure all the points are correct but the assessment for ways forward being to just use TSMC as the manufacturer completely ignores the somewhat perilous position Taiwan is in with a looming Chinese invasion. I'd be very reluctant to tie the future of my business to the fates of a company that may become state property within a year or two.

Re: Intel Honesty

#414

Post by timschmidt »

Wytwwww wrote: post #412
timschmidt wrote: post #390

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> SteamDeack is a much more open equivalent of Android/ChomeOS SteamDeck runs a minimally modified Arch Linux, with a full KDE desktop installed from the factory and prominent switch in the main UI to close Steam and reboot into a full desktop. > it's just there to run a single proprietary app Tens of thousands of Windows games, more like. The Steam app is just a launcher and store. Even Windows doesn't successfully…

> SteamDeck runs a minimally modified Arch Linux, with a full KDE desktop > Tens of thousands of Windows games, more like I'm certainly aware of that and not arguing about it, just saying that it's not really relevant for most people that the device is targeted at. > will feel reasonably at home under Gnome or KDE. I don't agree with that at all, maybe on a very superficial level. But even if that were the case what…

> just saying that it's not really relevant for most people that the device is targeted at.

That's the amazing part. The sign it's truly arrived for non-technical folks.

> Windows and macOS still have plenty of other benefits/advantages for most non-technical people besides letting them run specialty software.

As an admin for hundreds of computer users, for most folks they're just a launcher for the browser. See: ChromeOS

> What they are aiming to achieve is still no different from what Google did with Android and ChromeOS.

Except for the Windows compatibility part. Which is a very important part.

Re: Intel Honesty

#415

Post by nolist_policy »

timschmidt wrote: post #414
Wytwwww wrote: post #412

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> SteamDeck runs a minimally modified Arch Linux, with a full KDE desktop > Tens of thousands of Windows games, more like I'm certainly aware of that and not arguing about it, just saying that it's not really relevant for most people that the device is targeted at. > will feel reasonably at home under Gnome or KDE. I don't agree with that at all, maybe on a very superficial level. But even if that were the case what…

> just saying that it's not really relevant for most people that the device is targeted at. That's the amazing part. The sign it's truly arrived for non-technical folks. > Windows and macOS still have plenty of other benefits/advantages for most non-technical people besides letting them run specialty software. As an admin for hundreds of computer users, for most folks they're just a launcher for the browser. See: Chr…

> Except for the Windows compatibility part. Which is a very important part.

There is a Steam for Chromebook Beta which is basically Steam OS in a VM with Virgl and Venus passtrough.

Re: Intel Honesty

#416

Post by timschmidt »

nolist_policy wrote: post #415
timschmidt wrote: post #414

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> just saying that it's not really relevant for most people that the device is targeted at. That's the amazing part. The sign it's truly arrived for non-technical folks. > Windows and macOS still have plenty of other benefits/advantages for most non-technical people besides letting them run specialty software. As an admin for hundreds of computer users, for most folks they're just a launcher for the browser. See: Chr…

> Except for the Windows compatibility part. Which is a very important part. There is a Steam for Chromebook Beta which is basically Steam OS in a VM with Virgl and Venus passtrough.

Cool. Similarly, I can install MacOS on Windows in a VM or the other way around. Until an OEM ships it pre-installed, most people won't know that's possible or how to do it. Microsoft's stranglehold starts at the OEM.

Re: Intel Honesty

#418

Post by acdha »

kortilla wrote: post #402
acdha wrote: post #289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s mostly not the problem: it’s what happens if it goes wrong in ways which are guaranteed to happen for a certain percentage of women every year, and you’re no longer allowed to get medical treatment because some failed Christians couldn’t be bothered to read their own holy book (the Old Testament god is down with abortion, the New Testament one isn’t concerned with it). There are more children who used to have…

Travel to an adjacent state if you need an abortion. If you don’t have the funds to do that you aren’t smartly planning a family in the first place.

Traveling to an adjacent state isn’t something you can do in an emergency. It’s not something you can easily do if you have family commitments, as growing families often do. It’s not going to help you if you have trouble finding a doctor because they’re leaving a state which is looking for excuses to attack their medical judgement. It’s not something you can easily do if you have a relationship which turns bad and the make partner is opposed because he sees the permanent anchor of a potential birth.

Yes, there are ways that people can cope with that but just because it’s possible doesn’t mean people won’t try to avoid being in a bad situation in the first place, as was the topic of this thread.

Re: Intel Honesty

#419

Post by DiscourseFan »

kortilla wrote: post #403
DiscourseFan wrote: post #310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They want a well-paying job or a better community or better schools. Nobody "wants" to move to a state just because its that state. Long term political and ecological trends won't deter short term gains for many, that's all.

Okay, nobody “wants” to live in California either by that logic.

Well, there are a few...but most people I know who've moved to California recently only did so for work.

Re: Intel Honesty

#420

Post by fragmede »

p1esk wrote: post #222
scarface_74 wrote: post #202

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And how many of the traditional demographics of tech workers do you think want to move to Florida? It is currently my home state and I work remotely. But I’m older. I would never want to live here if my wife were younger or I thought there was any chance we wanted to become pregnant.

After many years in CA I love it in Florida. Palm Beach or Boca Raton are very nice, schools are excellent, weather is perfect 7 months out of 12. And houses are significantly cheaper than in equivalent areas in CA. Less woke culture too.

7/12 is 58% is an F.
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