Live data from Hacker News

For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

theglobeandmail.com

51–60 of 227 posts

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#51
post #50

ElectricityMaps zone CA-AB: https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/CA-AB?wind=false&solar=... Total fossil gas generation capacity is ~12.7GW. Seems straightforward to replace with solar, wind, batteries, and interconnects with neighboring grids. Wind and Solar Potential resource: https://www.pembina.org/pub/wind-solar-alberta

It seems straightforward but it isn't. Alberta is about twice the size of Germany, 50% larger than California and has a meager population of 4.3 million spread out across that area.With a latitude that ranges from 48' to 60' and a wide variety of geography there's a range of availability in solar and wind. Alberta politics is also a factor. Alberta is a complete aberration in North American democracy in that more or…

Being larger isn't a disadvantage. Wind correlation drops exponentially as a function of distance. Land use becomes a non issue.

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As far as I understand it, Canada's economy is wholly dependent on the tar sands.

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction accounts for 8.21% of Canada's GDP. So, not so much, but let's all take a moment to stare at the horror show that is the 13% that is real estate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Canada Edit: I realize that source is from 2020, which may be skewing those numbers, but it seems that statista still roughly agrees in 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/594293/gr…

A healthy chunk of that real estate and construction GDP is the result of oil and gas extraction. Most of Canada's largest exporting companies are oil, mining, or derivatives related.

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#53
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Alberta isn't very cloudy in the wintertime, the reduced insolation is mostly due to lower angles and shorter days. AFAICT, winter sunshine is more than a third of summer sunshine in Alberta. In Europe the number is often 10%. It's cheaper to size production for winter sunshine than to build a lot of storage. AKA it's cheaper to put down 3X as many panels than to build seasonal storage. Alberta doesn't lack for hills…

> Alberta doesn't lack for hills, which is what's needed to build pumped storage which is what's cheapest for seasonal storage. From what I understand, BC has a lot of hydro dams. I wonder if there is a way to use them for pumped storage.

They do use them as storage, but more passively - When others sources of production are high BC slows their consumption, allowing them to build up greater reserves in their dams.

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#54
post #50

ElectricityMaps zone CA-AB: https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/CA-AB?wind=false&solar=... Total fossil gas generation capacity is ~12.7GW. Seems straightforward to replace with solar, wind, batteries, and interconnects with neighboring grids. Wind and Solar Potential resource: https://www.pembina.org/pub/wind-solar-alberta

It seems straightforward but it isn't. Alberta is about twice the size of Germany, 50% larger than California and has a meager population of 4.3 million spread out across that area.With a latitude that ranges from 48' to 60' and a wide variety of geography there's a range of availability in solar and wind. Alberta politics is also a factor. Alberta is a complete aberration in North American democracy in that more or…

>Alberta is a complete aberration in North American democracy

Hmm, seems to me several US states have been the same: Vermont, Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Idaho...

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's why I didn't specify it needed to be seasonal, but it does need to be stored, as a lot of that load isn't shifting. At 7pm on a -35 day there is zero solar generation, but every furnace in the province is on and people are doing their evening cooking and cleaning.

You're right, you said "as much storage as production". That's actually a very tiny amount of storage. Generally a "24hr" solar plant for California usage patterns has about 4-6Wh of storage and about 1W of discharge per watt of solar plant. Alberta will likely need ~2X that for daily load shifting during the winter. Seasonal storage would require a couple of orders of magnitude more.

Ah. To clarify, when I said "as much storage as production", I meant focus, not quantity.

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#57
post #44
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a high share on Alberta, but definitively not close to "the entire economy" According to the most recent Statistics Canada's National Economic Accounts, the Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction industry accounted for approximately 26% of Alberta's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2020, an increase from 23.3% in 2010.

However that 23.3% undersells its importance. Primary industries like mining, oil and gas extraction have large knock on effects on the rest of the economy. Many of the retail and service companies would go out of business if the fossil fuel industry were to disappear overnight.

Right. I wish we had a better metric than GDP for capturing the downstream impacts of an industry.

Say a town grows up around a single manufacturing plant. That plant might only account for 30% of the town's GPD because people use their wages to buy food, housing, etc. But when that plant closes up and 90% of the towns income disappears, it's hard to argue that the plant only contributed 30% of the economy in that case.

GPD != economy. GPD describes how money is spent, not necessarily in what order it is generated.

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction accounts for 8.21% of Canada's GDP. So, not so much, but let's all take a moment to stare at the horror show that is the 13% that is real estate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Canada Edit: I realize that source is from 2020, which may be skewing those numbers, but it seems that statista still roughly agrees in 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/594293/gr…

A healthy chunk of that real estate and construction GDP is the result of oil and gas extraction. Most of Canada's largest exporting companies are oil, mining, or derivatives related.

> A healthy chunk of that real estate and construction GDP is the result of oil and gas extraction.

Is it? I'd be interested in numbers to qualify that claim.

Re: For the first time in more than 150 years, Alberta's electricity is coal free

#60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As far as I understand it, Canada's economy is wholly dependent on the tar sands.

That used to be the case, now it's real estate.

Real estate is about 13% of Canada's GDP[1]. It's considerable, but hardly "wholly dependant". This number is very similar to the US.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Canada

Post reply on HN