> They are not reasoning or thinking in any sense of the word and yet a lot of people are already considering them general purpose AI.
You yourself did not use reasoning to arrive at this conclusion. It's quite obvious. I'm not trying to belittle you here. But LLMs are black boxes, we do not actually know what they are doing at a high enough resolution where we can call it "not reasoning" or "reasoning".
We can only characterize these AI's as a best fit curve between datapoints which is a way to high level view point to come to any conclusion about "reasoning"
This paper presents evidence of failed reasoning, but how does that prove anything when LLMs exhibit many instances of successful reasoning on complex topics they were not trained on?
You are biased and honing into information that supports a biased conclusion. LLMs are an AI we do not understand at a low level. Hence we talk about the attributes of these AIs in the same way we talk about humans, "Oh the LLM hallucinates", "it tries to justify it's answer..." etc. etc.
You characterize the Danger of these AI's as the result of Human stupidity. The danger according to you is solely from a human mistakenly believing that the AI is anything other than a stochastic parrot.
This is a belief arrived at in the same spirit as your claim. You did not use reasoning to arrive here.
The only logical way to characterize what is going on is that we do not know. It could very well be that these AI's are in fact reasoning. And that in itself presents a different kind of danger. A danger that may be more clear in the far future.
The irony is that your conclusion lacking correct reasoning is similarly parallel to the LLM's lack of reasoning. LLMs are more alike to us than you would like to believe.
Can you give me the step by step signal path ways of an LLM processing a query to prove that it does not reason? Or do you have to use black box anecdotal evidence to prove your point? For any "evidence" where an LLM failed to reason, there is another counter example showing where the LLM succeeded. Contradictory evidence can only lead to a vague conclusion.