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We need 70% less coders as the AI handles most of the coding

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Re: We need 70% less coders as the AI handles most of the coding

#3

If 7 out of 10 coders are made redundant because of AI right now in May 2024 then you had very bad coders to begin with. If you do the same with translators now in May 2024 you will provide a horrible service. June may be a different kettle of fish!

Most big corps just need a lot of decent coders to pump out a lot of business logic and UI. AI is definitely going to be able to do that with some basic human validation along the way.

Re: We need 70% less coders as the AI handles most of the coding

#8
post #7
post #5

We’re just going to write a lot more code than we could before. With higher quality

I’m unsure about the higher quality part. I’ve seen code written by both AI and some humans — it’s a toss up.

That’s the thing: I think it’s not one vs the other. The correct way to think about this is: AI augmented humans.

Re: We need 70% less coders as the AI handles most of the coding

#9

If 7 out of 10 coders are made redundant because of AI right now in May 2024 then you had very bad coders to begin with. If you do the same with translators now in May 2024 you will provide a horrible service. June may be a different kettle of fish!

Most big corps just need a lot of decent coders to pump out a lot of business logic and UI. AI is definitely going to be able to do that with some basic human validation along the way.

At a big corp: 90% of my job is talking to various people to figure out what we want to code, who has to approve it, who I have to coordinate changes with, etc. AI can currently _maybe_ do half of the 10% that's left, with good amounts of supervision.

Re: We need 70% less coders as the AI handles most of the coding

#10
They are probably right about the coders. Extrapolating from my brushes with big corp IT efforts and confidently generalising it to BP too, it is likely that the standard of what they have today is so underwhelming that an AI will do no worse.

This is because the corporate culture and reward structure incentivise using the cheapest labour to spend as much money as possible delaying delivery for so long that accountability doesn't come home to roost and the system can instead be scheduled to be replaced by a bigger worse new project before it ever gets finished.

Yeap I'm cynical but there are precious few 'wow they are doing it right' 'efficient and effective' stories from big corp IT.

They are probably right about their help desks too. And so on.

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