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Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

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51–60 of 367 posts

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#51
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The topline is that the meteoric growth has already occurred. 18% quarterly revenue growth is good, YoY growth was 15x that.

Imo this depends on whether the limiting factor is demand or production. If it's production capacity, then if in a year they're able to get TSMC to make them twice as many chips, they could likely increase their growth rate? I'd be sweating if I were any of TSMCs other customers right now and trying to renew my contract. Idk what the ratio is in size between an H100 and an M3, but I doubt it's anywhere near proportio…

>I'd be sweating if I were any of TSMCs other customers right now and trying to renew my contract.

How many TSMC's customers need the latest tech?

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#52
post #5

Nvidia must be the fastest growing in revenue a company has ever been at their revenue, right? If you adjust for inflation I imagine they'd have some competition from the robber barons, but it's hard to imagine.

The topline is that the meteoric growth has already occurred. 18% quarterly revenue growth is good, YoY growth was 15x that.

18% quarterly comes to around 190% yearly, still _very_ good!

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#53
post #48

We all understand that this cannot and will not continue, right? One of two things happens: 1. The AI boom goes bust. Nvidia sales and/or margins crater. The stock craters with it. 2. The AI boom is the real deal. Companies aren’t stupid and won’t keep paying Nvidia these prices forever. Pretty soon hardware and software architectures are standardized enough that anyone who can get onboard with TSMC, Samsung, or Inte…

You know, you can make money with predictions if you have the conviction.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#54
post #19

Bloomberg consensus data expectations YoY were: 400% earnings growth and 242% revenue growth. The reality was 461% earnings growth (629% GAAP) 262% revenue growth. 78.9% gross margin. Nvidia did it again.

> Nvidia did it again. All that for a measly 4% after hours bump? It's like "the street" is tired of this trick/doesn't have much more to give.

"Consensus expectations" aren't dollar weighted.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#55
post #19

Bloomberg consensus data expectations YoY were: 400% earnings growth and 242% revenue growth. The reality was 461% earnings growth (629% GAAP) 262% revenue growth. 78.9% gross margin. Nvidia did it again.

Intel could get lucky like Nvidia if Intel doesn't buy back stock and instead spends money on R&D.

edit: "Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger raised a few eyebrows by attributing Nvidia's current dominance of the AI market to luck" - https://www.extremetech.com/computing/nvidia-engineer-respon....

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#56
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why it's not happening ? For the first quarters after AI exploded, I thought it was just that contracts were already signed, but what's stopping them now ?

Because Nvidia can say no and nobody else (except Apple) is willing to pay more for the latest node.

Like an auction where you pay the second highest bid.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#57

This stock is a great example of invest in stocks where you have strong knowledge. I saw pallets of h100s shipping that were worth 100s of millions each pallet (each card is $40k and you can fit a lot on a pallet) as someone working for a company buying these and knowing that many other companies were doing the same (we have 12+ months of back orders with nvidia alone). I invested last year at ~$250 when redditors we…

But don't put all your eggs in one basket.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#58
post #19

Bloomberg consensus data expectations YoY were: 400% earnings growth and 242% revenue growth. The reality was 461% earnings growth (629% GAAP) 262% revenue growth. 78.9% gross margin. Nvidia did it again.

> Nvidia did it again. All that for a measly 4% after hours bump? It's like "the street" is tired of this trick/doesn't have much more to give.

Revenue 8% above estimate, earnings 15%. The price is not just for one quarter but discounted future quarters.

I predict that the price can go up 8 - 10% tomorrow.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for your pedantic contribution. I obviously mean you can’t buy them on a small account. You can by a fraction of an NVDA share with $200 but you can’t buy a call option

You quite literally can; a $1000 strike call contract on NVDA 2-DTE is $1140 strike is (before markets closed today obviously)

Man.. this forum is something else

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#60
post #48

We all understand that this cannot and will not continue, right? One of two things happens: 1. The AI boom goes bust. Nvidia sales and/or margins crater. The stock craters with it. 2. The AI boom is the real deal. Companies aren’t stupid and won’t keep paying Nvidia these prices forever. Pretty soon hardware and software architectures are standardized enough that anyone who can get onboard with TSMC, Samsung, or Inte…

You know, you can make money with predictions if you have the conviction.

Not GP, but that's exactly what I'm doing. Sold NVIDIA recently at 869 USD (having bought it at 453 USD), and invested profits in Intel :) We'll see how that plays out in a year or two.
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