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Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

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Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe that’s because Americans move around more and can’t be nailed to a house for 15-30 years like every european homeowner is (where you can neither refinance nor pay back early without paying essentially all future interest payments at once - US mortgage conditions are insanely good).

In general, in Europe, either: - It is the norm to use either a variable rate or series of short fixed rates OR - Redemption fee is capped (for instance in France it’s capped at one quarter worth of interest). I’m not sure it’s normal anywhere to have a 30 year fix which you can’t get out of? Which country are you thinking of?

I got a 20 year fixed at 1.125% and I am really happy the bank can’t get out of it. I really did wonder why they even gave me that money but who am I to complain.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#102
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> A thought I've had regularly is that any financial product so widely required ought to be provided at cost (base rate of interest) through central banks. Why bother with middlemen? In the US at least, govt has problems running "retail." (It also has problems running wholesale, as evidenced by the give-aways to BlackRock, but ...)

The US certainly has issues with even accepting the government being able to do good things. A small but highly vocal part of the populace has all but ensured the well is poisoned. I think we could, if we wanted, create an institution like the USPS for financial services. That would be able to issue a mortgage. It's not going to happen for the simple fact they're doing their best to privatize the USPS and beloved pro…

The US has a good deal more public services than other countries; privatized mail, utilities and mass transit are all pretty common.

Mortgages themselves are unusually public in the US and probably staying that way. Other people don't get 30 year fixed loans, that's a huge benefit and inflation defense.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#103
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Generational wealth theft does seem like a fair thing to complain about. Mortgages became a lever: most countries have regulations saying what lending ratios people can have, who is and is not eligible, etc. Want to control inflation over the long run? Raise interest rates and destroy the buying power of a generation. In the UK this is even more flexible, as we tend to only fix our mortgage interest rates for a few y…

The odd generation of young males still living with their parents after college is enough of a reality check for many. I just find it fascinating people think this is somehow a controversial observation. Of course, I also welcome facts that say everything is fine, because it makes me feel more hopeful about their futures. =3

None of the actual empirical economic data in the US resembles your statement - average household sizes have gone down over time, real incomes have gone up, and Gen Z wealth is doing fine.

It is true in the UK but that's simply because 1. the UK economy is doing pretty badly in general 2. you really, really don't build enough new housing.

If housing construction was unrestricted it wouldn't matter much what interest rates were at.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#104
post #77
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It has the effect of being able to provide homeowners with cheap 30-year fixed mortgages. I'm surprised you're against it.

I'm against the idea of hosting as a commodity generally.

Commodities are good. They're cheap and don't need ceremony to buy.

The opposite is when distribution is controlled by someone subjectively judging if you're worth having it. This is very bad for minorities (the judger will be racist) and women (the judger will make you pay for it with your body).

Example in the US is the mass manufactured Sears homes, which whites in the South hated because they'd sell to blacks.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The odd generation of young males still living with their parents after college is enough of a reality check for many. I just find it fascinating people think this is somehow a controversial observation. Of course, I also welcome facts that say everything is fine, because it makes me feel more hopeful about their futures. =3

None of the actual empirical economic data in the US resembles your statement - average household sizes have gone down over time, real incomes have gone up, and Gen Z wealth is doing fine. It is true in the UK but that's simply because 1. the UK economy is doing pretty badly in general 2. you really, really don't build enough new housing. If housing construction was unrestricted it wouldn't matter much what interest…

"None of the actual empirical economic data in the US resembles your statement"

Who told you that? My opinions are actually not that relevant here.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3529638/

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/11-008-x/2007004/10311-e...

https://fortune.com/2023/01/12/millennials-broken-economy-de...

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/15/opinion/fertility-decline...

https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2021/04/real-reas...

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Like everything else, it started off with great intentions" https://financialpost.com/financial-times/how-bonds-ate-the-... ..and people like you... easily swayed by sycophantic idealism, and irrational greed. Have a wonderful day, and please refrain from resorting to straw-man arguments and slander if you are feeling upset by facts. =3

You’re both wrong. I’ve worked with some of the people who invented these products and still had to double check your reference to make sure I was correct. I was—Milken didn’t popularise mortgage securitisation. Ranieri did.

If you actually read the posted article it describes Lewis Ranieri's role in detail.

There is no right or wrong here in my opinion... just history and documented facts validated through a vetted jury conviction.

I wish it was an ill informed opinion kid... I really do... I'd feel much less guilty seeing families growing up in Condos the size of a garden shed.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#107
post #33
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The thesis is that mortgages are not primarily a service a bank provides to a homeowner. They are a financial product that banks sell to institutional investors (as an example) that want a guaranteed cashflow decades into the future. Of course, a multibillion dollar pension fund does not want to directly write John Doe a mortgage and deal with him. Their business is giving money to pensioners, not selling mortgages.…

A thought I've had regularly is that any financial product so widely required ought to be provided at cost (base rate of interest) through central banks. Why bother with middlemen? As the author says, it is because the mortgage is hardly for my benefit. Its purpose is to grant some privileges to those who remain on the treadmill of work for a long time without falling off, and to act as something like a tax, levied o…

Banks are not a middleman between you and the central bank. A central bank isn't a bank in any way, shape or form, but a regulator and supervisor of the banking system.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#108
post #80
post #22

I know this post is about money, but I want to talk about electronic flow meters than money so I will. The description of "Japanese company making the best electronic flow meters" strongly suggests it is Keyence. They are the best indeed. Keyence is the 3rd largest Japanese company by market capitalization, next to Toyota and Japan's largest bank (Mitsubishi). Larger than Sony, larger than Nintendo, larger than Honda…

Very tangential, but as a worker in Japan I find it depressing how Keyence's recruiting material proudly shows a software engineer's typical day that starts at 8:30AM and ends around 8:00PM. No wonder it's so hard to raise kids. https://www.keyence.co.jp/jobs/software-engineer/

[flagged]

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#109
post #18

> A mortgage has a quirky little subcomponent called a Mortgage Servicing Right (MSR). Every month, it needs to collect money from the borrower and send that money… somewhere. This implies, minimally, a mailbox where you can send checks, someone to open the mail, and a phone number with a CS representative who can answer questions like “What is my current balance?” and “Did you get the last check I sent you?” Like, s…

There's the other part of the servicing bit they are leaving out.

- Giving a Payoff amount for whatever reason

- Reporting to agencies

- Trying to work with the client when payments are missed, ideally ethically.

- (Before COVID this was true, I know it was at least temporarily suspended, dont think still suspended but might be) If above fails, remitting payment to the owner of the loan during that period between 'first missed payment' and 'able to apply for and receive relief from Fannie/Freddie'

Those things cost, and depending on your originator, may or may not be baked into the price as to how well it works.

Re: Mortgages are a manufactured product (2022)

#110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

None of the actual empirical economic data in the US resembles your statement - average household sizes have gone down over time, real incomes have gone up, and Gen Z wealth is doing fine. It is true in the UK but that's simply because 1. the UK economy is doing pretty badly in general 2. you really, really don't build enough new housing. If housing construction was unrestricted it wouldn't matter much what interest…

"None of the actual empirical economic data in the US resembles your statement" Who told you that? My opinions are actually not that relevant here. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3529638/ https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/11-008-x/2007004/10311-e... https://fortune.com/2023/01/12/millennials-broken-economy-de... https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/15/opinion/fertility-decline... https://www.theatlantic.co…

All of those articles are about economic performance before 2019, which was bad, but now we live in 2024, which is a different year where the economy is good. In fact it's as good as it's been in decades in the US. (Not so good in other countries partly because we caused inflation in their currencies.)

https://www.redfin.com/news/gen-z-millennial-homeownership-r...

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2023/05/millenn...

Fertility rate went up some too:

https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w30569/w305...

Note the media sector of the US economy is doing kind of badly and is mostly staffed by neurotic people who live in NYC, which means they tend to write negative articles no matter what.

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