Why do we give this people credit by giving for granted that AGI is somehow magically around the corner? It is not, and everyone’s delusional.
Yes! It's debatable current models demonstrate any kind of "intelligence", but AGI is so far off it's ridiculous to even mention it. But not everyone's delusional. Here's what Yann Le Cun is currently saying: > It seems to me that before "urgently figuring out how to control AI systems much smarter than us" we need to have the beginning of a hint of a design for a system smarter than a house cat. and > don't confuse…
The promise of upside grows exactly in lockstep with the danger of downside.
It is absolutely rational to say: “if our AI safety research lab is being hijacked by commercial interests before it’s even commercially viable as a business, then how will we possibly pull the plug on the final descent?”
P.S. neither Yann nor me nor you nor Sam nor Greg know what “real intelligence” is, and we certainly don’t know what superhuman intelligence is just the same way an ant couldn’t possibly know what human intelligence is. It is inconceivable to us — that is the point of intelligence.