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Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

useequityval.com

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Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#101

Post by trevzercap »

plaidfuji wrote: post #100

I’m consistently surprised at the lack of basic financial literacy in the HN crowd. The title says this is a tool to create financial models , not that it is a well-tuned financial model. Yeah, you have to make better assumptions than straight-line extrapolation from last year’s trend to arrive at reasonable valuations. The point is that this shows you what assumptions you have to make to arrive at a rationally-calcu…

Thank you! You captured it perfectly. Shoot me and email at support@useequityval.com and I will set you up with a pro for free!

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#102

Post by sitzkrieg »

Beijinger wrote: post #83
uh2010 wrote: post #73

https://www.useequityval.com/model?ticker=CRSP Current Price: $56.22 Projected Price: $20,806,772,549,824,028.00 Difference: 37,009,556,296,378,460% Glad I'm long.

37,009,556,296,378,460% That is a decent return. I bought a call option for RILY. Went to zero. Well...

always do credit option positions :-)

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#103

Post by pvg »

scarface_74 wrote: post #87
pvg wrote: post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I didn't comment on whether you've read the article. There's a strong expectation a toplevel comment in a Show HN thread is concretely about the thing being showhn. That's not some complicated thing that requires the subtle parsing of multiple rules.

Yes, and you quoted yourself that just because it’s a “ShowHN” doesn’t mean that it has to be praised effusively and get a attaboy. My negativity wasn’t “gratuitous”. His tool was meant to predict stock price. Every reputable article shows that kind of analysis is foolhardy- or as the WSJ put it - about as good as blind monkeys

I think the key thing is that it was a straightforwardly poor Show HN comment. What Specific Word of The Guidelines It Hath Not Transgressed Against as well as Who Is The Real Guidelines Sinner are both not particularly important.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#104

Post by hi-v-rocknroll »

It's predicting a contraction in value of 20% to 70% of every stock I throw at it. 40k DIJA is a more-than-inflationary bubble popping within a few years?

Edit: Chipotle must be headed for E. Coli again: Projected Price: $-2,890.64

https://www.useequityval.com/model?ticker=CMG

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#105

Post by yen223 »

plaidfuji wrote: post #100

I’m consistently surprised at the lack of basic financial literacy in the HN crowd. The title says this is a tool to create financial models , not that it is a well-tuned financial model. Yeah, you have to make better assumptions than straight-line extrapolation from last year’s trend to arrive at reasonable valuations. The point is that this shows you what assumptions you have to make to arrive at a rationally-calcu…

I feel like OP would have been better off not pre-populating the models, just to make the point of the tool clearer. A lot of folks here seemed to have missed the point of the tool.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#106

Post by FriedPickles »

trevzercap wrote: post #4

Sorry everyone! And thank you! Due to high volume I am hitting my API limits. If you are getting a server error that is why. The limit resets ever minute so please wait and try again.

Hmm, I am getting a client error: https://www.useequityval.com/stockoverview?ticker=ULS

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#107

Post by tippytippytango »

plaidfuji wrote: post #100

I’m consistently surprised at the lack of basic financial literacy in the HN crowd. The title says this is a tool to create financial models , not that it is a well-tuned financial model. Yeah, you have to make better assumptions than straight-line extrapolation from last year’s trend to arrive at reasonable valuations. The point is that this shows you what assumptions you have to make to arrive at a rationally-calcu…

It highlights an education opportunity for OP. Some people think this is a proprietary financial modeling system because they don’t know what a DCF is.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#108

Post by rib3ye »

uh2010 wrote: post #73

https://www.useequityval.com/model?ticker=CRSP Current Price: $56.22 Projected Price: $20,806,772,549,824,028.00 Difference: 37,009,556,296,378,460% Glad I'm long.

It's a tool to make your own models, not have the models made for you.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#110

Post by 0cf8612b2e1e »

trevzercap wrote: post #62
atlgator wrote: post #61

Your model projects the price of Nvidia will rise to $30,173. How does it arrive at that?

Hi this is from a comment below on this "Hey, the model starts with the previous years growth numbers projected out 5 years. You are meant to give your assumptions to get to a valuation. NVDA revenue grew 125% last year so projecting that out for 5 straight years results in a very high value but is most likely inaccurate!" I should probably take nvda off the home page lol

I think maybe come up with one or two more simple, but dumb models. Show all three at once to demonstrate the wildly different results that can come out given different assumptions.
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