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Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

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Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#52
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Always be mindful of this when submitting to HN. The real test of traffic surge. Right now, it is of not much use as it just gives server error.

No need to rain on their parade. As if they are not already now aware of this.

This caught out the current Show HN poster, so I imagine the comment could be useful to future Show HN posters.

Besides, the comment wasn't unkind to the present poster and is actually kind to future posters, so the admonishment and down-votes seem unwarranted.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#53
post #25

Taking the defaults Boeing is going to -424 a share. Will check this out again later when I can actually try some sane numbers

That's where this company should end up in any fair world, given all the evidence pointing to intentional misconduct and structural governance issues as a cause for multiple fatal crashes and other serious incidents. Snark aside, this may just be a case of Boeing's numbers being distorted by its business model and airlines paying only on delivery of airplanes (which has been seriously cut back due to regulators imposing production stops and caps as a result of all its issues for years now), but Boeing having to pay their vendors upon receipt of parts.

Besides, anything aviation is a financial accounting shenanigans party. Many airlines, for example, are "loss leaders" - the money actually comes from their "reward programs" and credit cards [1], a practice that's been going on for decades now [2].

[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/09/airlines-b...

[2] https://airlinegeeks.com/2021/12/17/here-s-why-airline-loyal...

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#54

Im skeptical whether these types of models can help you make better investment decisions. The fate of a company usually hinges on some fundamental question. For Apple it is whether they can stay a prominent platform that can capture a significant portion of the value created on it. For Tesla it is how fast their self driving tech will evolve. For Google it is whether AI will make search obsolete or more valuable.

> these types of models

This is THE way fundamental analysis is done. There are many ways to model - but this is the most robust as you have the most inputs.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#57

Very nice, coincidentally I have been thinking about making a similar tool lately, but I'd make it quite a bit more conservative. I'd want to be able to define a model like "I think the fair value of a company is its net current assets plus its last 5 years of earnings", and have the tool email me whenever I can buy shares in any company substantially below that price, or sell them substantially above. It wouldn't be…

This is exactly the kind of tool I would want as well. I was surprised nothing like this exists already.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#58
post #57

Very nice, coincidentally I have been thinking about making a similar tool lately, but I'd make it quite a bit more conservative. I'd want to be able to define a model like "I think the fair value of a company is its net current assets plus its last 5 years of earnings", and have the tool email me whenever I can buy shares in any company substantially below that price, or sell them substantially above. It wouldn't be…

This is exactly the kind of tool I would want as well. I was surprised nothing like this exists already.

Sounds like maybe i should build a notification system so if a stock drops a certain percentage below your models estimated value you get alerted?

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#59
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is exactly the kind of tool I would want as well. I was surprised nothing like this exists already.

Sounds like maybe i should build a notification system so if a stock drops a certain percentage below your models estimated value you get alerted?

Yes, at least that would be a great start for me.

Re: Show HN: I built a website to create financial models for any stock online

#60

Very nice, coincidentally I have been thinking about making a similar tool lately, but I'd make it quite a bit more conservative. I'd want to be able to define a model like "I think the fair value of a company is its net current assets plus its last 5 years of earnings", and have the tool email me whenever I can buy shares in any company substantially below that price, or sell them substantially above. It wouldn't be…

You should checkout fintool.com, you can ask in natural language for this kind of data and soon set up alerts on it
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