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TimesFM: Time Series Foundation Model for time-series forecasting

github.com

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Re: TimesFM: Time Series Foundation Model for time-series forecasting

#121
post #78

is it better than prophet from meta?

Prophet was pretty bad so yes, but it doesn't seem much better than ARIMA

what about neuralprophet came after prophet? some companies like mixpanel mentioned in their documentation that they are using prophet for forecasting/anomaly detection

Re: TimesFM: Time Series Foundation Model for time-series forecasting

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Depends on use case. Hybrid approaches have been dominating the M-Competitions, but there are generally small percentage differences in variance of statistical models vs machine learning models. And exponentially higher cost for ML models.

At the end of the day, if training or doing inference on the ML model is massively more costly in time or compute, you'll iterate much less with it. I also think it's a dead end to try to have foundation models for "time series" - it's a class of data! Like when people tried to have foundation models for any general graph type. You could make foundation models for data within that type - eg. meteorological time serie…

so this TimesFM is also in the same category as TimeGPT from nixtlaverse?

Re: TimesFM: Time Series Foundation Model for time-series forecasting

#123
post #87

If I give this model the first 100 prime numbers, does it give me back the rest of it? If so what is the circuit?

how is the series of the first 100 prime numbers a time series ?

everything can be time series if you want
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