Live data from Hacker News

AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

blog.google

201–210 of 504 posts

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#201
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Also no commercial use, from the paper: > AlphaFold 3 will be available as a non-commercial usage only server at https://www.alphafoldserver.com , with restrictions on allowed ligands and covalent modifications. Pseudocode describing the algorithms is available in the Supplementary Information. Code is not provided.

What's the point in that that - I mean who does non-commercial drug research?

Academia

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#202

Stepping back, the high-order bit here is an ML method is beating physically-based methods for accurately predicting the world. What happens when the best methods for computational fluid dynamics, molecular dynamics, nuclear physics are all uninterpretable ML models? Does this decouple progress from our current understanding of the scientific process - moving to better and better models of the world without human-int…

Many of our existing physical models can be decomposed into "high-confidence, well tested bit" plus "hand-wavy empirically fitted bit". I'd like to see progress via ML replacing the empirical part - the real scientific advancement then becomes steadily reducing that contribution to the whole by improving the robust physical model incrementally. Computational performance is another big influence though. Replacing the…

Physics-informed machine learning is a whole (nascent) subfield that is very much in line with this thinking. Steve Brunton has some good stuff about this on YouTube.

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#203
post #194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The goal of science has always been to discover underlying principles and not merely to predict the outcome of experiments. I don't see any way to classify an opaque ML model as a scientific artifact since by definition it can't reveal the underlying principles. Maybe one could claim the ML model itself is the scientist and everyone else is just feeding it data. I doubt human scientists would be comfortable with that…

What if the underlying principles of the universe are too complex for human understanding but we can train a model that very closely follows them?

Then we should dedicate large fractions of human engineering towards finding ethical ways to improve human intelligence so that we can appreciate the underlying principles better.

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#204
post #194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The goal of science has always been to discover underlying principles and not merely to predict the outcome of experiments. I don't see any way to classify an opaque ML model as a scientific artifact since by definition it can't reveal the underlying principles. Maybe one could claim the ML model itself is the scientist and everyone else is just feeding it data. I doubt human scientists would be comfortable with that…

What if the underlying principles of the universe are too complex for human understanding but we can train a model that very closely follows them?

That sounds like useful engineering, but not useful science.

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#205

Earlier quoted context omitted.

instead of "in mice", we'll be able to say "in the cloud"

In vivo in humans in the cloud

one of the companies I worked for, "insitro", is specificallyt named that to mean the combination of "in vivo, in vitro, in silicon".

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#206

Stepping back, the high-order bit here is an ML method is beating physically-based methods for accurately predicting the world. What happens when the best methods for computational fluid dynamics, molecular dynamics, nuclear physics are all uninterpretable ML models? Does this decouple progress from our current understanding of the scientific process - moving to better and better models of the world without human-int…

Is alphafold doing model generation or is it just reducing a massive state space?

The current computational and systems biochemistry approaches struggle to model large biomolecules and their interactions due to the large degrees of freedom of the models.

I think it is reasonable to rely on statistical methods to lead researchers down paths that have a high likelihood of being correct versus brute forcing the chemical kinetics.

After all chemistry is inherently stochastic…

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#207
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're a scientist who works in protein folding (or one of those other areas) and strongly believe that science's goal is to produce falsifiable hypotheses, these new approaches will be extremely depressing, especially if you aren't proficient enough with ML to reproduce this work in your own hands. If you're a scientist who accepts that probabilist models beat interpretable ones (articulated well here: https://no…

There have been times in the past when usable technology surpassed our scientific understanding, and instead of being depressing it provided a map for scientific exploration. For example, the steam engine was developed by engineers in the 1600s/1700s (Savery, Newcomen, and others) but thermodynamics wasn’t developed by scientists until the 1800s (Carnot, Rankine, and others).

I think the various contributors to the invention of the steam engine had a good idea of what they were trying to do and how their idea would physically work. Wikipedia lists the prerequisites as the concepts of a vacuum and pressure, methods for creating a vacuum and generating steam, and the piston and cylinder.

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#208
post #34

From: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-01383-z >Unlike RoseTTAFold and AlphaFold2, scientists will not be able to run their own version of AlphaFold3, nor will the code underlying AlphaFold3 or other information obtained after training the model be made public. Instead, researchers will have access to an ‘AlphaFold3 server’, on which they can input their protein sequence of choice, alongside a selection of…

Or OpenFold, which is the more literal reproduction of AlphaFold 2: https://github.com/aqlaboratory/openfold

Time for an OpenFold3? Or would it be an OpenFold2?

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#209
post #194
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you're a scientist who works in protein folding (or one of those other areas) and strongly believe that science's goal is to produce falsifiable hypotheses, these new approaches will be extremely depressing, especially if you aren't proficient enough with ML to reproduce this work in your own hands. If you're a scientist who accepts that probabilist models beat interpretable ones (articulated well here: https://no…

The goal of science has always been to discover underlying principles and not merely to predict the outcome of experiments. I don't see any way to classify an opaque ML model as a scientific artifact since by definition it can't reveal the underlying principles. Maybe one could claim the ML model itself is the scientist and everyone else is just feeding it data. I doubt human scientists would be comfortable with that…

The ML model can also be an emulator of parts of the system that you don't want to personally understand, to help you get on with focusing on what you do want to figure out. Alternatively, the ML model can pretend to be the real world while you do experiments with it to figure out aspects of nature in minutes rather than hours-days of biological turnaround.

Re: AlphaFold 3 predicts the structure and interactions of life's molecules

#210

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm in the following camp: It is wrong to think about the world or the models as "complex systems" that may or may not be understood by human intelligence. There is no meaning beyond that which is created by humans. There is no 'truth' that we can grasp in parts but not entirely. Being unable to understand these complex systems means that we have framed them in such a way (f.e. millions of matrix operations) that doe…

But the human brain has limited working memory and experience. Even in software development we are often teetering at the edge of the mental power to grasp and relate ideas. We have tried so much to manage complexity, but real world complexity doesn't care about human capabilities. So there might be high dimensional problems where we simply can't use our brains directly.

A human mind is perfectly capable of following the same instructions as the computer did. Computers are stupidly simple and completely deterministic.

The concern is about "holding it all in your head", and depending on your preferred level of abstraction, "all" can perfectly reasonably be held in your head. For example: "This program generates the most likely outputs" makes perfect sense to me, even if I don't understand some of the code. I understand the system. Programmers went through this decades ago. Physicists had to do it too. Now, chemists I suppose.

Post reply on HN