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The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

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Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#61
What a completely bullshit headline for a bullshit article.

'BYD said just last month that it has no plans to enter the U.S. auto market anytime soon'

Done. There is your whole article. The US Auto industry isn't crapping it's pants worried about something that AIN'T HAPPENING and continue to keep regulations in place that make the only affordable vehicle a 3 ton megamonster super extended cab truck.

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#62

Nobody in the USA wants that market. There isn’t even an interest in under 25k cars. I don’t see any issues allowing these if local manufacturers aren’t even willing to make products at 2x the price

> I don’t see any issues allowing these if local manufacturers aren’t even willing to make products at 2x the price Because how are GM and Ford supposed to pay UAW wages, return a profit, and make a car for If people have the option, they'll buy the $10k Seagull and not pay UAW wages... It's not like GM has a 60% margin on $25k cars...

> Because how are GM and Ford supposed to pay UAW wages, return a profit, and make a car for Worth noting that the the largest US EV maker is non-union and its entry-level price is ~$38k. UAW Ford sells the EV Mustang starting at $40k.

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Should be safe to allow imports then, right? Since nobody but me would buy one. :-)

I am attempting to import the Seagull currently (experience the pain, see if and how to scale, how to avoid tariff mechanisms, etc), intend to report back with findings. https://www.cbp.gov/trade/basic-import-export/importing-car

I honestly don't even mind the tariffs that seem to be present, and could probably tolerate +50% or even +80%. But the other question is whether the car ticks all the safety boxes that could flat out block the car from legally driving on US roads.

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Nobody in the USA wants that market. There isn’t even an interest in under 25k cars That doesn’t mean the market doesn’t exist. I could see these being sold in Mexico and Europe. At that point, the American car industry becomes an inefficient protected industry. American voters have limited sympathy for those in the long run when it comes to consumer goods. That said, it’s unclear if BYD can make a $10k car that me…

>At that point, the American car industry becomes an inefficient protected industry. American voters have limited sympathy for those in the long run when it comes to consumer goods. Do they have little sympathy? The list of protected American industries is enormous, and has been for nearly a century. Tobacco, corn, vehicles, aerospace, the energy industry, oil & gas industry. I could write out a list as long as my ar…

> Tobacco, corn, vehicles, aerospace, the energy industry, oil & gas industry

Tobacco, corn and vehicles are the only consumer products on this list. Neither of the former is hosing American consumers. (Just taxpayers.)

The last we allowed to go bankrupt (hosing shareholders) before bailing them out last time, and is the coddled industry we’re discussing.

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am attempting to import the Seagull currently (experience the pain, see if and how to scale, how to avoid tariff mechanisms, etc), intend to report back with findings. https://www.cbp.gov/trade/basic-import-export/importing-car

This should be really difficult, especially since America and China have high tariffs in place for automobiles between each other as per China's WTO entrance agreement. But if you want to have a lot of fun, try importing (as a private citizen) any kind of car into China. It is virtually impossible, even if the car is old. My boss tried to get his Hummer into China once just for kicks, and the negotiations just went o…

As an infosec/cybersecurity practitioner, it is my jam to probe attack surface looking for weakness to exploit. This is simply another threat modeling exercise, policy instead of tech. I am not against the tariffs, but any means, there is value in protecting US domestic manufacturing for national security interests. But, there is a huge cheap EV TAM that is going unsatisfied by legacy auto and Tesla.

I also have a lot of disadvantaged folks in my sphere who could use cheap, clean EV wheels, and I cannot afford Teslas for all of them.

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#66
To all those who dismiss the Seagull because it's small and cheap, remember one thing: making inexpensive cars is much, much, harder than making luxury cars. The lower your gross margins the fewer mistakes you can make. It's a miracle of manufacturing that cars can be made at this price point at all (yes, there are subsidies but European and American carmakers get subsidized too).

BYD, NIO and Xiaomi make luxury cars too, at very attractive prices.

Musk is right when he says Chinese carmakers will "pretty much demolish most other companies in the world".

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#67
post #4

Affordable small cars have never been a thing in the US, electric or not. There's zero reason to believe that this new batch will pose a threat.

> Affordable small cars have never been a thing in the US Why not? Just a cultural thing? Times are tough in America and people are interested in EVs because of gas prices. I see a $10k EV selling like wildfire - small, entry-level and not as big a commitment as a F-150 Lightning.

[deleted]

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#69
post #13
post #3

As it should, just like the dirt cheap solar panels from China scared US suppliers and drove all of them out of business. When the government subsidizes product to the point of it being significantly below market cost in order to capture market share, the folks who can't do the same lose. See: Amazon and small bookstores.

That car is small, light, has few moving parts, no luxury parts, and the most expensive part is dropping quickly in price. It clearly is below market cost, since it sets a new price record. But subsidized? What makes you think it's subsidized?

I wrote a similar comment about this on a different post.

They're unlikely to still be subsidized (or if it is it is small) but their subsidies did happen. China's industrial policy play book goes like this:

1. Erect barriers to foreign competitors. Subsidize domestic makers. This creates a chaotic fields of many domestic players that aren't particularly good nor efficient.

2. Remove or reduce subsidies and force the domestic players to fight for survival and thus innovate. The weaker ones will die off or get absorbed until there are only a few major domestic makers.

3. Lower barriers to foreign competitors (ie. invite Tesla to build a factory in Shanghai) to really ratchet up the competition and force innovation even more

4. Start exporting

It's not traditional subsidies but that early governmental incubation phase was a huge help in companies building up their infrastructure (subsidized by government) and know how.

Also, I want to point out this isn't an exclusively Chinese playbook but one that has been used by Japan and South Korea as well. The origin actually goes all the way back to Germany during their industrialization. The US doesn't do this because of our strong adherence to free market capitalism but people, even GOP Senator Rubio, is starting to reconsider this position.

Re: The $10k BYD Seagull EV is scaring the U.S. auto industry

#70
post #31
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Who says imports aren't allowed?

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-22/why-can-t...

There are plenty of small cars made outside of China. Why do you think not a single auto manufacturer worldwide bothers to export their best selling models to the US? The market here wants SUVs and trucks, not $15K subcompacts.
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