We already have a 4 trillion transistor "GPU" in the Cerebras WSE-3 (wafer-scale engine), used in Cerebras' data centers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f4Dly8I8lMY
how many regular sized GPU (say 4080 or nvidia L4) dies can be cut out from a full-sized wafer? I suppose thats what OP means by reaching integration density of 1T GPU.
Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
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Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#52We already have a 4 trillion transistor "GPU" in the Cerebras WSE-3 (wafer-scale engine), used in Cerebras' data centers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f4Dly8I8lMY
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#53Cerebras WSE-3 contains 4 trillion transistors and 8 exaflops per sec, 20 PB bandwidth. 62 times the cores of an H100.. 900,000. I wonder if the WSE-3 can compete on price / performance though. Interesting times!
Is anyone actually using those WSEs in anger yet? They're on their third generation now, but as far as I can tell the discussion of each generation consists of "Cerebras announces new giant chip" and then radio silence until they announce the next giant chip.
They also suffer from the global optimisation problem for layout of calculations so compile time is going to be insane.
Their WSE technology is also already obsolete - Tesla's chip does it in a much more logical and cost effective way.
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#54When the limits of digital reaches the boundary of physics, Analogue is going make a comeback. Human brain feels nearer to Analogue than Digital. I will be surprised to reach AGI without nearing the Order-of-Magnitude of brain processing. We need that ONE paper on analogue to end this quest of trillions and counting transistors.
I doubt it. Digital just scales better. Our brain has a pretty bounded need of scaling, but once we create some computer equivalent, it would be very counterproductive to make it useless for larger problems for a small gain on smaller ones.
Yes!
> Our brain has a pretty bounded need of scaling
No!
Over aeons our brains scaled from several neurons to 100 billion neurons, each with 1000 synapses. They were able to do it because our brains are digital. They lean on their digital nature even more than computer chips do.
Action potentials are so digital it hurts. They aren't just quantized in level, but in the entire shape of the waveform across several milliseconds. Just as in computer chips, this suppresses perturbations. As long as higher level computation only depends on presence/absence of action potentials and timing, it inherits this robustness and allows scale. Rather than errors accumulating and preventing integration beyond a certain threshold, error resilience scales alongside computation. Every neuron "refreshes the signal," allowing arbitrary integration complexity at any scale, even in the face of messy biology problems along the way. Just like every transistor (or at least logic gate) "refreshes the signal" so that you can stack billions on a chip and quadrillions in sequential computation, even though each transistor is imperfect.
Digital computation is the way. Always has been, always will be.
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#55Wild that the human brain can squeeze in 100 trillion synapses ( very roughly analogous to model parameters / transistors) in a 3lb piece of meat that draws 20 Watts. The power efficiency difference may be explainable by the much slower frequency of brain computation (200 Hz vs. 2GHz). My impression is that the main obstacle to achieving a comparable volumetric density is that we haven't cracked 3d stacking of integr…
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#56Wild that the human brain can squeeze in 100 trillion synapses ( very roughly analogous to model parameters / transistors) in a 3lb piece of meat that draws 20 Watts. The power efficiency difference may be explainable by the much slower frequency of brain computation (200 Hz vs. 2GHz). My impression is that the main obstacle to achieving a comparable volumetric density is that we haven't cracked 3d stacking of integr…
We also lose a lot when building computers due to the fact we have to convert the analog world into digital representations. A neural analog computer would be more efficient I think, and due to the non-deterministic nature of AI would probably suit the task as well.
i know of at least one startup working with that concept[1].
Im sure there are others.
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#57Wild that the human brain can squeeze in 100 trillion synapses ( very roughly analogous to model parameters / transistors) in a 3lb piece of meat that draws 20 Watts. The power efficiency difference may be explainable by the much slower frequency of brain computation (200 Hz vs. 2GHz). My impression is that the main obstacle to achieving a comparable volumetric density is that we haven't cracked 3d stacking of integr…
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S089662732...
So we are going to need a lot of computational power to approximate what’s going on in an entire human brain.
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#58Cerebras WSE-3 contains 4 trillion transistors and 8 exaflops per sec, 20 PB bandwidth. 62 times the cores of an H100.. 900,000. I wonder if the WSE-3 can compete on price / performance though. Interesting times!
Is anyone actually using those WSEs in anger yet? They're on their third generation now, but as far as I can tell the discussion of each generation consists of "Cerebras announces new giant chip" and then radio silence until they announce the next giant chip.
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#59Earlier quoted context omitted.
# synapses should be analogous to # model parameters no? And # model parameters should be linear in # transistors.
>> # synapses should be analogous to # model parameters no? I think they're equivalent to a parameter AND the multiplier. Or in analog terms they'd just be a resistor whose value can be changed. Digital stuff is not a good fit for this.
For what it's worth, that's actually a thing (ReRAM/memristors), but I think it got put on the back burner because it requires novel materials and nobody figured out how to cost-effectively scale up the fabrication versus scaling up flash memory. I saw some mention recently that advances in perovskite materials (a big deal lately due to potential solar applications) might revive the concept.
Re: Advances in semiconductors are feeding the AI boom
#60Earlier quoted context omitted.
Ignoring for the moment that transistors and synapses are very different in their function, the current in a CPU transistor is in the milliampere range, whereas in the ion channels of a synapse it is in the picoampere range. The voltage differs by roughly a factor of ten. So the wattage differs by a factor of 10^10. One important reason for the difference in current is that transistors need to reliably switch between…
Thank you for this - the name neural networks has made a whole generation of people forget that they have an endocrine system. We know things like sleep, hunger, fear, and stress all impact how we think, yet people want to still build this mental model that synapses are just dot products that either reach an activation threshold or don't.