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Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

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Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#571

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

> Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith. https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html I don't even know where to start with this comment.

[dead]

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#572
post #296

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At least in the links with the video now you can see that the container ship directly hits one of the two main (and in the central area only) pillars completely collapsing it. No matter(1) the engineering there is no pretty much way to not lose the whole large middle area and left area leading to the destroyed pillar in that situation. Such a collapse crates so much force (tension vibrations etc.) so that the collaps…

Just to put some numbers on this: The MV Dali (IMO#9697428) is a little over 95000 GT, or ballpark-ish probably around 114000 tons loaded (and it seems to have been loaded, which would make sense on departure). If it was going even 5kn (2.6 m/s) that'd be about 300 million newton-seconds, or about 3.3 times the momentum of a large jumbo jet like a 747 shortly at cruising speed (around 560 mph). It'd still have the sa…

Crazy! Going by the higher 7.6 kn figure mentioned elsewhere in this thread, that'd be closer to 450 million N s.

For another comparison, Wikipedia gives an estimate of "Apollo 11 launched from Earth to orbit" at 495 million N s [1]. So this is a momentum that's order-of-magnitude comparable to space launches.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newton-second

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#573
post #541

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Current personal suspicion after watching your linked video (excellent discussion by the wgowshipping author) is: Catastrophic engine failure (1:24) causing wide scale power loss. No rudder control, rudder drift, and ship alignment drift (1:24-1:25:30) Power restored and ship reengages prop with bad ship/ruddder alignment (1:25). However, ship is now pushing itself into a further bad turn. Pilot likely stomps the bra…

I'm not sure what configuration of props a ship like this has, but in my experience with a 40ft sailboat with a single propeller you have absolutely no rudder authority while reversing. I've read that some large ships also are direct drive--there's no transmission between the engine and the propeller, so "reversing" (if it's even possible) entails shutting down the engine and restarting it in reverse. This can be don…

> in my experience with a 40ft sailboat with a single propeller you have absolutely no rudder authority while reversing.

In general it depends on the rudders and the boat.

Longer keeled boats don't respond well in reverse at all but more modern boats (like mine, 1990) will do better but will still need some way to have steerage. I can certainly manouver around the marina in reverse, it's just harder than forwards and I need to be going a bit faster to get the control.

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#574

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's somewhat counterintuitive how much energy can be in something moving so slowly. I say somewhat, because when you're up close it's much more obvious, but you're right that on a video it doesn't look like much.

This disconnect happens with boats quite a lot. For example, I can, by myself, pull a 45 foot grand banks trawler in shallow water. I know because I've done so. But at even very low speeds, I cannot stop it from hitting a pier. I have not tried to do this, but every harbor master has a bunch of stories about people trying to do so and getting a leg or an arm or something squished and pulverized. People who are not bo…

To anyone reading this who isn't an experienced boater:

If you are invited onto someone else's boat, sit down and shut up during docking, don't talk to friends, let the captain concentrate. Don't help, if the captain wants you to do something, they will let you know. If you think you know better than the captain, and this advice is unknown to you, you don't know better. Being a good guest during docking shows experience and helps get an invite back.

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#575
post #541

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Current personal suspicion after watching your linked video (excellent discussion by the wgowshipping author) is: Catastrophic engine failure (1:24) causing wide scale power loss. No rudder control, rudder drift, and ship alignment drift (1:24-1:25:30) Power restored and ship reengages prop with bad ship/ruddder alignment (1:25). However, ship is now pushing itself into a further bad turn. Pilot likely stomps the bra…

I'm not sure what configuration of props a ship like this has, but in my experience with a 40ft sailboat with a single propeller you have absolutely no rudder authority while reversing. I've read that some large ships also are direct drive--there's no transmission between the engine and the propeller, so "reversing" (if it's even possible) entails shutting down the engine and restarting it in reverse. This can be don…

> my experience with a 40ft sailboat with a single propeller you have absolutely no rudder authority while reversing.

I have to protest here. Reversing and using the rudder on a 40ft boat works perfectly fine. I've done it on multiple sailing boats. You need to hold tight so that the rudder wont slap you if using a stick.

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#576

Youtube tracking analysis from a knowledgeable mariner. He says that at about 1:24 AM the ship loses power (from video feed) while traveling 8.5 knots. at 1:25.30 power is restored. at 12:25.59 the ship shows smoke. The ship has already drifted in the channel. It is believed that at this time the ship applied full reverse power as evidenced by the black smoke. (My analysis: the ship drifted but hasn't turned in the c…

The local sailor/professional mariner bar in Newport will be interesting tonight!

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#577

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's somewhat counterintuitive how much energy can be in something moving so slowly. Reminder: Kinetic Energy = ½mv^2 Squaring numbers can make them big in a hurry.

But in this case with slow speed, it's the massive (literally) amount of mass of the cargo ship that gives it an un-intuitively large amount of energy.

8kn isn't super slow

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#578

Youtube tracking analysis from a knowledgeable mariner. He says that at about 1:24 AM the ship loses power (from video feed) while traveling 8.5 knots. at 1:25.30 power is restored. at 12:25.59 the ship shows smoke. The ship has already drifted in the channel. It is believed that at this time the ship applied full reverse power as evidenced by the black smoke. (My analysis: the ship drifted but hasn't turned in the c…

I'm once again impressed that subject matter experts are out there on every topic, and they are often capable of quickly and accurately disseminating information about an event far better than the local news.

Do you have recommendations/other channels with experts like this?

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#579
post #573

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not sure what configuration of props a ship like this has, but in my experience with a 40ft sailboat with a single propeller you have absolutely no rudder authority while reversing. I've read that some large ships also are direct drive--there's no transmission between the engine and the propeller, so "reversing" (if it's even possible) entails shutting down the engine and restarting it in reverse. This can be don…

> in my experience with a 40ft sailboat with a single propeller you have absolutely no rudder authority while reversing. In general it depends on the rudders and the boat. Longer keeled boats don't respond well in reverse at all but more modern boats (like mine, 1990) will do better but will still need some way to have steerage. I can certainly manouver around the marina in reverse, it's just harder than forwards and…

Long keeled boats don't respond well going forward either, right? Compared to flater boats with a modern keel.

Re: Baltimore's Key Bridge struck by cargo ship, collapses

#580

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Curious, is there a specific reason you put links between ?

It was the standard way to format URLs on Usenet. GP is at least 40 years old.

Similar using " " to quote for reply vs. >.
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