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Meta outage

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Re: Meta outage

#193
post #141
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've seen this posted everywhere like it's some grand conspiracy. What is the impact of it being Super Tuesday? Are people worried they can't vote without social media?

Actually I can see this morphing into a Russia interference conspiracy. If the main social media used by liberals goes down, while the one used by Trump (forgot what it's called) stays up, surely that is an advantage for him?

In an election between the two parties I think that would be a very likely narrative but in this case it's the primaries. And (as others have mentioned) neither primary has really had anything resembling a competition at this point so it's more or less irrelevant to the result (most likely).

Re: Meta outage

#194

What are the chances this is GPT-5 that has escaped and gone rogue? Jest aside, i wonder when/if stuff like that will actually happen.

Negligible. It would have gone after Twitter first.

Comically twitter seems to be working fine and is where I was able to find confirmation that it wasn’t just me.

Re: Meta outage

#197

Anyone have a good guesstimate of how much money is "lost" when Youtube/Facebook/Instagram/Whatsapp (more?) are down each minute?

Naively, divide ad revenue by time to get a dollars-per-time. But thats naive because ad serving isn’t totally sold out so they can make up for it by increasing the density of ads in the next time window. If the outage is short, then the impact is small. But some markets are totally sold out and there’s no making up for lost impressions.

This is something I've thought about a while back. Like Facebook probably has a "maximum number of ads shown to users per post" value. So theoretically, they have a ceiling for how many ads can be bought in a specific time frame before having to increase the ceiling/find new users.

Do they share data about this?

Re: Meta outage

#199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Negligible. It would have gone after Twitter first.

Comically twitter seems to be working fine and is where I was able to find confirmation that it wasn’t just me.

Yeah, exactly, so it must still be a good old human mistake, not Skynet.
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