The models are just generating probable text. What’s amazing of how often the text is correct. It’s no surprise at all when it’s wrong Their bold confidence to be flat out wrong may be their most human trait
This again. They’re trained to generate probable text. The mechanisms created in the parameter blob during training to do that are basically a mystery and have to be pulled out of the model with digital brain surgery. E.g. LLMs are reasonable at chess and turns out somewhere in the blob there’s a chessboard representation, and you can make the model believe the board is in a different state by tweaking those paramete…
Broadly agreed, but there's no "representation"...the model has no memory, let alone a "concept" of a chessboard. It's just trained on a bunch of textual replays of chess games, and this works well enough for a game with finite probability space.
Likewise, I have asked generic LLMs to generate "novel" drugs that solve particular problems, because their training sets have included lots of examples of drug molecules in string form (aka SMILES strings). This works far less well (because chemical space is much larger than a chess game), and the "novel" drugs usually end up looking like some mishmash of existing chemicals for the same problem. This can be a useful tool, but nobody is confusing it for a human brain doing problem solving.
People are easily misled by the purported intelligence of these things because they assume that common examples of human intelligence are less probable than they really are. Our languages and games and stories are pretty regular, all things considered. Expand the probability space to something truly vast (even images work for this), and you can easily see the stochastic parrot emerge.