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Alexei Navalny has died

reuters.com

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Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#291

Post by dindobre »

merpkz wrote: post #41

So in latest news, last opposition figure in Russia dies together with any hope for regime change while Russia's war effort is starting to get some traction with it's overwhelming man power and Ukraine is forced to cede more territory all while west is busy either with it's in-fighting or comparing each others superior GDP and how Russia will crumble just any day now (TM). Man, are we in for a ride next decade in Eur…

Let's keep in mind the man was no saint either, perhaps his regime would have preferred sending some rockets to the Georgian "rats" rather than Ukrainians.

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#292

Post by qwertox »

merpkz wrote: post #41

So in latest news, last opposition figure in Russia dies together with any hope for regime change while Russia's war effort is starting to get some traction with it's overwhelming man power and Ukraine is forced to cede more territory all while west is busy either with it's in-fighting or comparing each others superior GDP and how Russia will crumble just any day now (TM). Man, are we in for a ride next decade in Eur…

> how Russia will crumble just any day now (TM)

Have you ever thought about what Russia's influence in the AI sector would be by now if they would have focused on developing it instead of starting a war? Developing it while pretending a peaceful cooperation with the West?

It might well be that China supports Russia's war effort so much because it knows that this way Russians will have zero time and resouces to focus on being an AI leader, and through it, a threat to China.

The biggest win for the US and China is that Russia will now never be at the cutting edge in AI development. The longer this war goes on, the better it will be for both the US and for China.

Even Europe will be more advanced than Russia during the next couple of decades.

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#294

Post by prmph »

hef19898 wrote: post #136
jacquesm wrote: post #112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think anybody thought that it would, but here we are. It is quite amazing how time and again we seem to enable little narcissistic men to gain hold of positions of power. And I can't even really complain because NL has Geert Wilders to deal with right now and his foaming-at-the-mouth band of supporters who believe that everything that is wrong with this country can be traced back to immigration. On top of tha…

The upcoming 2024 election cycle will be one for the history books, regardless of outcome. And that outcome can be incredibly bad. I said it before, if Trump gets a second term, he will have a third. And then democracy as we know it in the Western world will be dead.

And about half of the West will be OK with that. Interesting times we live in.

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#295

Post by neom »

m0llusk wrote: post #285
wombat-man wrote: post #224

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Putin's old, but he isn't that old. Plus I assume there are similar people waiting in the wings to takeover. Idk how to fix the situation but it would make me nervous for them to have a civil war in a nuclear power. Xi might go, but that party isn't going anywhere.

> Xi might go, but that party isn't going anywhere. Geographically probably not, but politically the Chinese Communist party already covers a very broad spectrum with Xi and others currently at the top being the most insular, paranoid, and economically impractical of all the various factions. A "fix" to the situation is unlikely, but changes that yield improvements are all but inevitable at this point.

This is interesting to me, I naively think of the CCP as being highly unified as they paint such a great picture of that, I always thought there would be some decenters but for the most part complete unification. I should probably learn more about this and would gladly accept any resources on digging into the modern CCP more.

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#296

Post by KingOfCoders »

Cthulhu_ wrote: post #284
egisspegis wrote: post #164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The US has provided more funding to Ukraine than the world combined by a large margin This is not true for some time now. First google result (but there are more charts, numbers and sources): https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-s... Yet whoever provided more aid is irrelevant, since it's not enough anyway. We, as a world, are observing (and doing nothing, for the most part) fourth reich comin…

"we" are doing nothing because "we" are not under attack; Ukraine did not have defense pacts with other countries, and the military aid took a while to get started because of the risk of Russia seeing it as hostility towards them, further escalating the conflict. If it escalates, it will escalate bigly. If Russia attacks a NATO country, article 5 will / should kick in and the combined military force of 31 countries (…

"But nobody wants this to escalate further, because nukes."

France and the UK will not use nukes when Poland is invaded.

Russia will not use nukes when invading Poland.

Russia might not even use nukes when losing Kaliningrad (but I'm not so sure there, if Ukraine gets back Crimea we will see).

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#297

Post by picadores »

merpkz wrote: post #41

So in latest news, last opposition figure in Russia dies together with any hope for regime change while Russia's war effort is starting to get some traction with it's overwhelming man power and Ukraine is forced to cede more territory all while west is busy either with it's in-fighting or comparing each others superior GDP and how Russia will crumble just any day now (TM). Man, are we in for a ride next decade in Eur…

It fits very well into the narrative that democracy is ineffective and basically a hot-house flower, that some culprits propell.

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#298

Post by Vt71fcAqt7 »

miroljub wrote: post #203
matthewaveryusa wrote: post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

> Yes, close those US bases, such a smart strategic move Finally something that Europeans and Americans can agree about. Just GTFO from Europe and never ever come back. We don't need you, you don't need us. The world will be a better place when Native Americans regain their land and get rid of the dominance of the descendants of the European colonists.

>The world will be a better place when Native Americans regain their land

Do you hold similar opinions for other continents?

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#299

Post by [deleted] »

cglace wrote: post #240
miroljub wrote: post #182

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's just something they tell you during your election campaign. The truth is a bit different, USA is good at promissing and forcing other to do, but it did very little, compared to own GDP and military abilities. Money: - EU - 85,0 Mrd. € - USA - 67,7 Mrd. € - Deutschland - 22,1 Mrd. € - Vereinigtes Königreich - 15,7 Mrd. € - Dänemark - 8,8 Mrd. € - EU: nur gemeinsame Hilfe - Quelle: Institut für Weltwirtschaft /…

You cherry-pick tanks as your metric? Why don't we look at the totality of American deliveries, including long-range munitions and artillery, and see who comes ahead? What equivalent of game-changing ordnance, such as the GDSLB, are European countries providing? This is why a large portion of Americans could care less about the defense of Europe. No matter what we do, it's either wrong or not enough. Meanwhile, Europ…

[deleted]

Re: Alexei Navalny has died

#300

Post by buster »

banku_brougham wrote: post #268

Does anyone know why NATO/US never gave Ukraine what they were asking for! jets, Anti-air systems, ATACMs, etc?

Maybe because, on the other side of the table sits a lunatic with a massive amount of atomic bombs. Also, because Ukraine is not NATO.
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