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Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

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Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#81
post #53
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

These two individuals can probably raise a billion dollars within a month if they wanted to start their own AI company.

On a 10B valuation )

That would be strong terms, but then they would need to find a way to spend $1B.

Here's a proposal. Send $500M to NVIDIA for GPUs. Send $100M to AMD to balance the odds. Spend $100M to build a new chip as a hail mary.

Spend the rest on $10M comp packages.

How close did I get?

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Examples? (I'm not that familiar with field.)

Andrej Karpathy is badmephisto, a name you might have heard of if you're into cubing. http://badmephisto.com/

You just blew my mind, I used to hang around this site a lot ~10 years ago and never would have made the connection

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What makes you say it’s a losing direction?

A popular take in autonomous driving is the thing preventing Tesla from breaking beyond level two autonomous driving is its aversion to lidar, which is a direct result of its nn preference. (Eg Mercedes has achieved level 3 already).

Absense of lidar is just a symptom. Tesla only recently started to work with 3d model (which they get from cameras like one can get it from lidar) It just that the people who use lidar usually work with 3d model from the beginning.

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What makes you say it’s a losing direction?

A popular take in autonomous driving is the thing preventing Tesla from breaking beyond level two autonomous driving is its aversion to lidar, which is a direct result of its nn preference. (Eg Mercedes has achieved level 3 already).

I’m confident that neural networks can process LiDAR data just as they can process camera data. I believe Musk drew a hard line on LiDAR for cost reasons: Tesla is absolutely miserly with the build.

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#87

Frankly, OpenAI seems to be losing its luster, and fast. Plugins were a failure. GPTs are a little better, but I still don't see the product market fit. GPT-4 is still king, but not by that much any more. It's not even clear that they're doing great research, because they don't publish. GPT-5 has to be incredibly good at this point, and I'm not sure that it will be.

until you get new architectures it's all gonna be big datasets and 7 trillions

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

ImageNet was very influential, but this just shows he was eighth author on a twelve author paper from almost a decade ago. Is there better evidence of sustained contributions to the field?

Hm, well, I see on his resume that he was a founder of OpenAI, recruited to be Tesla's head of AI, went back to OpenAI, and also has the most viewed educational videos in this space. So, he has made theoretical contributions to the space, contributions to prominent private organizations in the space, and broadly educated others about the space. What more are you looking for?

the commenter is probably a junior boot camp web dev...

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#89

"I told them Xerox has got to get itself together, because there's no way a big company can take advantage of things moving this fast. People will get frustrated and start their own companies." —Carver Mead, 1979 (employee at Xerox PARC), discussing why Xerox needed to focus more on adopting integrated circuits into the computers they had already developed, instead of continuing to just make increasingly-obsolete cop…

I don't think that is an apt metaphor. Imo Openai is Apple and Google is Parc. Google experiencing a similar issue to parc where they invented transformers but have been unable to capture the value so far due to being focused on ads revenue.

What value? I doubt any LLM player is making any profit. Sure, NVIDIA is, but that's because "in a gold rush, sell shovels" is an eternal advice.

Re: Hi everyone yes, I left OpenAI yesterday

#90

Frankly, OpenAI seems to be losing its luster, and fast. Plugins were a failure. GPTs are a little better, but I still don't see the product market fit. GPT-4 is still king, but not by that much any more. It's not even clear that they're doing great research, because they don't publish. GPT-5 has to be incredibly good at this point, and I'm not sure that it will be.

> Frankly, OpenAI seems to be losing its luster, and fast.

Good.

I have no idea what's really going on inside that company but the way the staff were acting on twitter when Altman got the push was genuinely scary, major red flags, bad vibes, you name it, it reeked of it.

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