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Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

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Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#11

Post by andy99 »

mindcrime wrote: post #10

I would say "something akin to the setting of Neuromancer or The Matrix", but I don't expect all the nerve-splicing / neural interface tech to progress to that level by then. Maybe a better comparison would be "something like the last couple of seasons of Person of Interest". At the very least, I wouldn't be surprised if we have something akin to Gibson's "Turing Police" by then, whether or not they are in fact neede…

Snow Crash is more likely. I agree with you on the Turing police, except instead of monitoring actual emergent intelligence they'll be mall cops harassing people who train for too many epochs.

Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#13

Post by tuatoru »

Like today, but more so.

More dysfunctional politics, more geopolitical (inter-state) friction, more weather, more inequality, more housing crisis, more suicides, more siloing. More HR, more surveillance. More PV electricity farms, not as many more EVs as optimists were predicting last year. Ditto robots. Fewer opinion writers masquerading as journalists, I hope. Worse infrastructure, more oppressive laws controlling action and speech.

Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#16

Post by spcebar »

Killer robots created by a self aware LLM eliminate most of the human race. The only remaining humans are the prompt jailbreakers, who live like warlords, the bedraggled refugees who live under their reigns of terror, and somewhere out there, some unlikely hero who will free us all from our technological overlords.

Also cryptocurrency will be regulated after another wave of scams, the MCU will stop churning out movies, we'll see some interesting innovations in CISC architecture, and probably will see global decreases in fossil fuels usage.

Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#17

Post by tirthvora »

Because I work in the field of AI and ML, I'll answer from that perspective: More control over the use and outputs of LLMs. Enterprises will integrate AI into their services, ecosystems and internals heavily. Developers' daily life will get easier. Folks will realize the potential and come up with very interesting ways to use the power and capability of AI. All in all, the field of Artificial Intelligence will get more settled and new realms will uncover.

Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#18

Post by uejfiweun »

tuatoru wrote: post #13

Like today, but more so. More dysfunctional politics, more geopolitical (inter-state) friction, more weather, more inequality, more housing crisis, more suicides, more siloing. More HR, more surveillance. More PV electricity farms, not as many more EVs as optimists were predicting last year. Ditto robots. Fewer opinion writers masquerading as journalists, I hope. Worse infrastructure, more oppressive laws controlling…

+1. I've always described this phenomenon as "everything you love will get better but everything you hate will get worse."

Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#19

Post by subtra3t »

VR/AR won't become the Next Big Thing, but prices will have stabilized and demand in most developed countries will be steadily increasing. Will never become as ubiqitious as smartphones in developing countries.

People will be happier, but I can't predict why.

India won't have progressed in a significant manner. Corruption will be as rampant as ever, and Hindutva will still be the prevailing ideology. The youth will try to protest in ..certain ways, but they will not be successful in bringing about the change they would like. Mumbai will be one step closer to being a dead city. Bangalore won't be its successor. The higher education system will not become better in any meaningful way but the importance of IIT/NITs will have slightly declined. For most students they will remain the only option.

Tech jobs will have lost their allure due to oversaturation in India. We will see a funding winter in 2030-2033. We will see more skeptics.

Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?

#20

Post by Someone »

DrNosferatu wrote: post #14

The year of the Linux Desktop.

Followed by 2031, the last year of the desktop. Code that requires more CPU power or memory than a phone or laptop will run in the cloud.

If you need/want more screens, you’ll wear glasses that simulate them.

Building desktop motherboards may become a bad idea, economically, given that the large cloud providers all build their own boards.

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