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Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
1–10 of 23 posts
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#2More surveillance, more noise, the generation that grew up on the internet finally is willing to spend money on it for quality content.
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#3LLMs and their derivatives will be completely neutered (AKA censored and useless, unless you go the illegal route).
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#4Nvida will go bankrupt
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#5More surveillance, more noise, the generation that grew up on the internet finally is willing to spend money on it for quality content.
You are being hopeful I see, more noise could be the best way to counter spying.
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#6[dead]
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#7Phones will be slightly better than they are now. They will likely have some custom ML chips for on-device LLM type stuff. Yes, unfortunately LLMs will be regulated and neutered to shit. Our dream of AR glasses still will not have materialized. Self driving cars will finally become more widespread, available in most major cities, but all the hype will have died down and nobody will care. Crypto will still be around and the people pushing it will be as annoying as ever. The big tech companies will become even more integrated with the military-industrial complex. I'd guess we are likely to see some pretty crazy biotech innovations too, I'd guess that by 2030 there will probably be startups that you can pay enormous sums of money to for your children's protection against genetic diseases via CRISPR or similar technologies.
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#8[dead]
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#9AI/LLM winter sets in; GPT-6.5 is no AGI, but the wide-ranging societal effects of AI systems are visible at all levels.
VR/AR Spring finally arrives; Apple Vision 6 SE is a satisfying mass product for under $600.
Re: Ask HN: Whats your prediction for what 2030 will look like?
#10I would say "something akin to the setting of Neuromancer or The Matrix", but I don't expect all the nerve-splicing / neural interface tech to progress to that level by then. Maybe a better comparison would be "something like the last couple of seasons of Person of Interest".
At the very least, I wouldn't be surprised if we have something akin to Gibson's "Turing Police" by then, whether or not they are in fact needed.