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World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

cnbc.com

21–30 of 160 posts

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#22
post #19
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How on earth is AI going to help?

[Deleted the comment. Seems like I unwittingly answered a rhetorical question.]

… which is accomplished by … building lots of new data centres with each with thousands upon thousands of GPU:s drawing megawatts day and night. The maths checks out.

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#23

I'm a technological accelerationist simply because I'm certain, with the 30 years of warming baked in from this point + the impossibility of carbon emissions lowering on average anytime soon, the only way to save the world's species, our state and growth of civilization and such is through technological advances, AI, terraforming, etc. There's no hope simply through austerity, things are too screwed already.

Yeah doing more of the thing that screwed everything up is usually the best solution. /s

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#24

I'm a technological accelerationist simply because I'm certain, with the 30 years of warming baked in from this point + the impossibility of carbon emissions lowering on average anytime soon, the only way to save the world's species, our state and growth of civilization and such is through technological advances, AI, terraforming, etc. There's no hope simply through austerity, things are too screwed already.

This is magical thinking

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#25

I'm a technological accelerationist simply because I'm certain, with the 30 years of warming baked in from this point + the impossibility of carbon emissions lowering on average anytime soon, the only way to save the world's species, our state and growth of civilization and such is through technological advances, AI, terraforming, etc. There's no hope simply through austerity, things are too screwed already.

New technologies have not helped yet. Just covered part of increased demand. So it doesn't seem like technology is going to save us.

It is all just distraction. Only way is one that will never happen: de-growth.

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#26

I'm a technological accelerationist simply because I'm certain, with the 30 years of warming baked in from this point + the impossibility of carbon emissions lowering on average anytime soon, the only way to save the world's species, our state and growth of civilization and such is through technological advances, AI, terraforming, etc. There's no hope simply through austerity, things are too screwed already.

You might want to read up on Jevons Paradox [1].

Also, be warned that the term "accelerationism" is being used by different parties, with quite opposing intentions.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#27
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are things called 'proxies'. The same way you can assess the crime rate of a certain area by the amount of littering by the side of the road.

>The same way you can assess the crime rate of a certain area by the amount of littering by the side of the road. You mean incorrectly? Also, if I had to guess, proxies that show global warming to be bad are widely publicised, whilst proxies that show global warming not to occur are ignored.

"I don't know if this sign about a cliff ahead was right, so I'm gonna keep going pedal to the metal. Just in case..."

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#28
post #15
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How on earth is AI going to help?

It will deliver great shareholder value.

>“Thank you. Since we decided a few weeks ago to adopt the leaf as legal tender, we have, of course, all become immensely rich.” Ford stared in disbelief at the crowd who were murmuring appreciatively at this and greedily fingering the wads of leaves with which their track suits were stuffed. “But we have also,” continued the management consultant, “run into a small inflation problem on account of the high level of leaf availability, which means that, I gather, the current going rate has something like three deciduous forests buying one ship’s peanut." Murmurs of alarm came from the crowd. The management consultant waved them down. “So in order to obviate this problem,” he continued, “and effectively revalue the leaf, we are about to embark on a massive defoliation campaign, and. . .er, burn down all the forests. I think you'll all agree that's a sensible move under the circumstances." The crowd seemed a little uncertain about this for a second or two until someone pointed out how much this would increase the value of the leaves in their pockets whereupon they let out whoops of delight and gave the management consultant a standing ovation. The accountants among them looked forward to a profitable autumn aloft and it got an appreciative round from the crowd.

- The Restaurant at the end of the universe, Douglas Adams

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#29
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are things called 'proxies'. The same way you can assess the crime rate of a certain area by the amount of littering by the side of the road.

>The same way you can assess the crime rate of a certain area by the amount of littering by the side of the road. You mean incorrectly? Also, if I had to guess, proxies that show global warming to be bad are widely publicised, whilst proxies that show global warming not to occur are ignored.

> Also, if I had to guess, proxies that show global warming to be bad are widely publicised, whilst proxies that show global warming not to occur are ignored.

You are mixing categories. One is about the observable universe, ie. "does global warming happen"? The other one is a value judgement, ie. "is global warming bad?"

Re: World surpasses key warming threshold across an entire year

#30
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are things called 'proxies'. The same way you can assess the crime rate of a certain area by the amount of littering by the side of the road.

>The same way you can assess the crime rate of a certain area by the amount of littering by the side of the road. You mean incorrectly? Also, if I had to guess, proxies that show global warming to be bad are widely publicised, whilst proxies that show global warming not to occur are ignored.

I mean, if you want to go down that route, why assume that the expansion of mercury in a glass tube is a good proxy for atmospheric temperature?

Sometimes it feels hotter or colder than the mercury would indicate, after all.

QED, it is impossible to determine if the climate is changing.

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