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Twitter is going to die

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11–20 of 21 posts

Re: Twitter is going to die

#11

Yaw, software VC is reeling a bit... But do you honestly think that the investors that Twitter has won't throw a few million at it to keep it running given that it's growth curve is so outstanding? Dead in 6 months is a near-ridiculous prediction.

I'm not implying that the company will be out of business in 6 months. My suggestion is that given it's rate of acceleration, mass fatigue with it will start to set in amongst many and soon.

Perhaps the title should have read: We're going to have to change how we use Twitter. Then of course, that seems a little dull, doesn't it? :-)

Re: Twitter is going to die

#12

Yaw, software VC is reeling a bit... But do you honestly think that the investors that Twitter has won't throw a few million at it to keep it running given that it's growth curve is so outstanding? Dead in 6 months is a near-ridiculous prediction.

I'm not implying that the company will be out of business in 6 months. My suggestion is that given it's rate of acceleration, mass fatigue with it will start to set in amongst many and soon. Perhaps the title should have read: We're going to have to change how we use Twitter. Then of course, that seems a little dull, doesn't it? :-)

mass fatigue with it will start to set in amongst many and soon

What, you mean like it did with email and the telephone? ;)

I think Twitter will have a lot of staying power. The magic of Twitter is that it remains very simple relative to, say, Facebook. There is a very bare-bones set of social-networking relationships: Basically, you can follow, and you can be followed. And following doesn't necessarily carry the social subtext of, say, your Facebook friend list, perhaps because it comes with far fewer consequences, ramifications, and options.

I find it interesting that my (now nearly middle-aged) generation has finally discovered Facebook en masse... and that the number one use case seems to be "keeping in touch with your classmates from high school and college". Facebook was originally designed for students, and that design permeates its DNA to the point that even people who've been out of school for twenty years revert back to Student Mode when they use it: It becomes an ongoing class reunion. But I don't think Twitter will work out quite the same. I think Twitter is more like the phone: In the hands of teens, it's a gossip tool. In the hands of corporate consultants, it's a business tool. In the hands of moms, it's a parenting tool. It's sufficiently abstract that people can find their own uses for it.

I mean, take me. I just don't understand what this fuss is about, anymore than a corporate Blackberry user understands the culture of middle-school text messaging. I don't use Twitter as a high-schoolish gossiping tool and I never have. I don't follow that many people, and I don't see a high volume of tweets. I don't tweet much myself, and I have very few followers. I don't talk to personal friends on Twitter. (Most of them are not there yet; As I said, a lot of them are only just starting to digest Facebook. They'll need another two or three years to discover Twitter.) I still don't understand what these #hashtags really do for you or where you go to see them. I'm the most boring, out-of-touch Twitter user in the world. But I still love it. So I don't think Twitter is going anywhere soon. Fads will come and fads will go, but the desire to communicate goes on.

Re: Twitter is going to die

#13
post #2

Twitter isn't going to die. The argument that Twitter is like high school is valid. What's not valid is saying that high school doesn't matter or isn't how the world works. Twitter is like high school because the real world is like high school. Web 2.0 is DEFINITELY like high school. Even if we wish it weren't so.

the real world is like high school

I'm interested to hear your argument on this, mostly because I've found the real world to be nothing like high school. When it comes to "Web 2.0" startups right now, sure, today's "hotness" might be nothing tomorrow, but the companies that rely on sheer high school-like popularity will fail sooner or later, just like those types of people eventually failed following high school.

In cases of direct correlation, I at least see it working both ways. Yes, there will be edge cases; certain people seem to be able to make a living online without actually providing anything of real worth, but this is hardly confined to the Web; tabloids have been doing it for decades.

Re: Twitter is going to die

#14
Sounds more like a maturity problem, probably reminiscent of what email had decades ago.

I'd love some client-side filtering & prioritization of my twitter data. While it doesn't have the same archival needs of email, I definitely care more about my infrequently-twitting friends than the dozens of them coming off the more famous tweeters.

As for high school, that's what you get when any social system starts to stagnate.

Re: Twitter is going to die

#15
So, it doesn’t matter that someone says really interesting things, it just matters that you’re friends with the prom-queen.

Noo.... what matters on Twitter is that the prom-queen is friends with you.

Re: Twitter is going to die

#16
I don't know. The people I follow on Twitter don't seem to use it in the "high school" way, and neither do I - I don't automatically follow someone just because they follow me. I might, if they're saying interesting or fun stuff; I'm not saying I only tweet nuggets of wisdom myself, but I do aim for some degree of quality.

I don't follow "influencial" people for the sake of it, I have my doubts that really helps. On the other hand, I've met some really cool people and also clients through it, which helped a lot, especially as I moved to Vienna knowing virtually nobody.

I have however found that I do need to keep my follow list in check, or the stream of information is overwhelming.

Re: Twitter is going to die

#18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not implying that the company will be out of business in 6 months. My suggestion is that given it's rate of acceleration, mass fatigue with it will start to set in amongst many and soon. Perhaps the title should have read: We're going to have to change how we use Twitter. Then of course, that seems a little dull, doesn't it? :-)

mass fatigue with it will start to set in amongst many and soon What, you mean like it did with email and the telephone? ;) I think Twitter will have a lot of staying power. The magic of Twitter is that it remains very simple relative to, say, Facebook. There is a very bare-bones set of social-networking relationships: Basically, you can follow, and you can be followed. And following doesn't necessarily carry the soc…

I disagree with this blog article, and your response is dead on.

Re: Twitter is going to die

#20
post #2

Twitter isn't going to die. The argument that Twitter is like high school is valid. What's not valid is saying that high school doesn't matter or isn't how the world works. Twitter is like high school because the real world is like high school. Web 2.0 is DEFINITELY like high school. Even if we wish it weren't so.

I love the way this site polarizes each opinion, either that ultimately you were right or "your people" were right.
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