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The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

nautil.us

11–20 of 78 posts

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#11
post #8

And if you think they ruin the environment above sea level , I’ll bet the miners really fuck things up underwater.

Yep these operations are going to be disasters. Huge plumes of waste silt, noise pollution, and permanent destruction of ecosystems whose role were don’t understand.

Especially since this will be completely hidden from the public, and complex and expensive to check by governments, and even harder when on international waters.

That means there's hardly any penalty or price for polluting and destroying sensitive ecosystems. And since companies treat fines like operational costs, these companies will be financially incentivized to mine, pollute, and destroy the seabed, even for questionable gains.

And say there will be some organizations bothering and protesting, they will be disregarded as "green climate weirdo's" by populist right-wing governments in the West.

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#12
I still find this whole thing absolutely idiotic given that there are absolutely colossal piles of cobalt, manganese etc left on the tailings of copper and silver mines through the world just waiting for being collected and processed... And you don't need to build specialty equipment to reach the seabed at all

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#13
post #7

Even with dubious economics, deep sea mining could make sense for China for political reasons. Securing supplies of key industrial commodities under de facto Chinese sovereignty may be worth the cost of whatever subsidies are required to encourage entrepreneurs & investors. It’s very hard for anyone, even the US/UN, to sanction Chinese companies that only seek to import ocean materials into the Chinese domestic marke…

Of course it’s hard to sanction them, because the environmental-conscious way of extracting lots of minerals out of the Earth is by destroying jungles and other pristine land-based ecosystems, the underwater habitat is where the West draws the line.

“Oh yeah totally. the west really should be more like the BRIC and draw no lines, lines are bad.”

What?!? Must we find any reason possible to knock the west?

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#14
post #10

The argument I've seen is that the amount of seabed that has the required minerals is not big and the surface of the earth is predominantly covered by water so as a percentage of what's there the mined area is small. I would like to know how bad mining that area is compared that to the damage we will do continuing with internal combustion engines if we don't solve the climate issue, or mining the same things on land.…

And the counter argument to the "amount of area '' not being big ''" is that the zones that will be mined are precisely the richest in ecological interactions and less understood ones, they are the zones with underwater volcanic chimneys

If someone came and said that they want to drag mine/open pit mine the Yellowstone geysers bc of how rich they are with minerals and said as an argument "hey it is just a small part of the park!" I don't believe that many people would be inclined to accept that "argument"....

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#15
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yep these operations are going to be disasters. Huge plumes of waste silt, noise pollution, and permanent destruction of ecosystems whose role were don’t understand.

Especially since this will be completely hidden from the public, and complex and expensive to check by governments, and even harder when on international waters. That means there's hardly any penalty or price for polluting and destroying sensitive ecosystems. And since companies treat fines like operational costs, these companies will be financially incentivized to mine, pollute, and destroy the seabed, even for ques…

I was interning at Exxon when the Deepwater Horizon oil spill happened. The mood really changed as soon as BP threw a binding agent into the oil spill, coagulating the oil and sinking it below the surface (a recommendation that Exxon's upstream research arm was proud to have recommended).

I also lived near the Alabama gulf coast and had friends that lived on the coast. Those globs of oil washed up on shore for a long time, years if I'm not mistaken. I don't know if there was any good research done to see if the environmental impact was better or worse but it would be interesting to see how it would have compared.

The PR value was huge though. Its amazing how quickly the popular sentiment can chill out when the problem is no longer easily visible.

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#16
post #10

The argument I've seen is that the amount of seabed that has the required minerals is not big and the surface of the earth is predominantly covered by water so as a percentage of what's there the mined area is small. I would like to know how bad mining that area is compared that to the damage we will do continuing with internal combustion engines if we don't solve the climate issue, or mining the same things on land.…

There still one good choice, just use less power. We're collectively running in circles trying to find a replacement for oil that allows us to continue to increase our energy use.

That's an extremely difficult challenge and one that paints us into a corner. The underlying problem is that energy use and GDP are directly correlated, and modern economics don't allow for a possibility of decreasing GDP. As long as we refuse to change that assumption we're left only with a future of using more energy from a different source.

I don't really think its a meaningful difference long term where we cause the environmental damage. If we really want to make a change we collectively need to embrace a future where energy isn't limitless and growth isn't the goal in and of itself.

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#17
post #10

The argument I've seen is that the amount of seabed that has the required minerals is not big and the surface of the earth is predominantly covered by water so as a percentage of what's there the mined area is small. I would like to know how bad mining that area is compared that to the damage we will do continuing with internal combustion engines if we don't solve the climate issue, or mining the same things on land.…

And the counter argument to the "amount of area '' not being big ''" is that the zones that will be mined are precisely the richest in ecological interactions and less understood ones, they are the zones with underwater volcanic chimneys If someone came and said that they want to drag mine/open pit mine the Yellowstone geysers bc of how rich they are with minerals and said as an argument "hey it is just a small part…

Yellowstone is precious because land without people on it is precious. The sea covers 71 percent of the earths surface and has no humans on it anywhere.

The areas with nodules containing the the right stuff is very small from my memory - haven't got a reference.

So is the damage going to spread wider than that area? I can see why people want to study it. I just don't reject the idea as I think the climate situation is a lot more critical than people like to imagine and we should have options.

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#18
post #10

The argument I've seen is that the amount of seabed that has the required minerals is not big and the surface of the earth is predominantly covered by water so as a percentage of what's there the mined area is small. I would like to know how bad mining that area is compared that to the damage we will do continuing with internal combustion engines if we don't solve the climate issue, or mining the same things on land.…

There still one good choice, just use less power. We're collectively running in circles trying to find a replacement for oil that allows us to continue to increase our energy use. That's an extremely difficult challenge and one that paints us into a corner. The underlying problem is that energy use and GDP are directly correlated, and modern economics don't allow for a possibility of decreasing GDP. As long as we ref…

That could require people to die.

Also you cannot make people who are poor not want to better their lives even if it costs in the long term. How would you force them? They are going to try one way or another and all we can do is find a better way.

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#19
post #10

The argument I've seen is that the amount of seabed that has the required minerals is not big and the surface of the earth is predominantly covered by water so as a percentage of what's there the mined area is small. I would like to know how bad mining that area is compared that to the damage we will do continuing with internal combustion engines if we don't solve the climate issue, or mining the same things on land.…

There still one good choice, just use less power. We're collectively running in circles trying to find a replacement for oil that allows us to continue to increase our energy use. That's an extremely difficult challenge and one that paints us into a corner. The underlying problem is that energy use and GDP are directly correlated, and modern economics don't allow for a possibility of decreasing GDP. As long as we ref…

> There still one good choice, just use less power.

All of civilization has basically been about allowing higher per capita energy usage. To say "just use less power" means going to a lower level of human development.

If our goal is human flourishing, then our focus should be on enabling yet higher levels of energy usage per person, preferably with as few side-effects as possible. Fossil fuels have been (and will continue to be for a while) the least-evil source of energy for humanity. I look towards a future powered by nuclear and renewables with better energy storage technology, perhaps even to a degree where energy is effectively limitless.

Your view, I'm afraid, is incompatible with continued human flourishing.

Re: The Dubious Economics of Deep-Sea Mining

#20

Makes good cover for naval intelligence activities though. Just don't assume because you see a ship "mining manganese nodules" from the seabed that you should build your own ship with your own money.

Oh a deep water robot that can manipulate rock sized objects on the seafloor, map environment, and return heavy things to the surface? I, government agent, would like to buy 100.
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