Earlier quoted context omitted.
There's this recent cool SF novel by the Polish (and undertranslated!!!) SF author Jacek Dukaj called 'The Old Axolotl'. In it, people used gaming systems to copy their 'beings' into machines before a planetwide wipeout event of biologic life. The machines, with the human simulacra within them, survive for hundreds of years. What's interesting about the books is that the machines feel human and have all the human emo…
It's a great book, and totally agree the author is under translated!
A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
101–110 of 145 posts
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#102Earlier quoted context omitted.
It depends how prolific they are. Someone running a winning bot farm is taking more money from the losers than the house would be if the losers kept winning/losing against each other. This assumes that the house wants losers to win alot to stay addicted. If they just get beaten all the time they might quit sooner, they may also run out of money sooner. A bit like how lottery tickets costing $1 will make you win $1, $…
er, every hand played in poker is profitable for the house (except for the ones where all players fold before the flop, prior to which no rake is taken). Bots, etc. don't matter. The only reason to prevent bots and collusion and other forms of mischief is to make your poker room a good place for people to play.
To exemplify the two extremes, assuming 10% rake: Player A has $10, and loses $1 every hand: after 10 hands, he's broke and $1 went to the casino. Player B and Player C are equally skilled and equally lucky. They keep playing $1 pots, trading back and forth. After twenty hands, both have still have $9 while the casino already earned $2. They could essentially keep going until they have given all their money to the casino.
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#103Earlier quoted context omitted.
Shocking a biochemical reaction ceases when external stimuli is removed. Technology is like acupuncture and astrology of the modern west.
Unless there is an acupuncture powered smartphone and an astrology powered orbital telecommunications network I am unfamiliar with, the only similarity between them and technology is in the minds of the users, not the stuff itself.
Technology isn’t altering physics, it’s operates within the boundaries set by experiment a century ago.
It’s not curtailing human social problems that have existed since forever.
Trade offs in society just like engineering; arguments it saves people from exploitation at home but airplanes and modern tracking enable large scale human trafficking. The yearly resource consumption for yearly phone updates is insane.
If designer drugs that implanted experience made line go up that’s the technology we have. But what we do have makes line go up; why bother with other ideas?
Social zeitgeist is to see consumer tech as allowing us to experience and achieve magical things as with astrology, yet daily life is still right there too. We’re addicted to juicing our own biochemistry with video games because drugs are bad mmmk
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#104Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#105Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#106Earlier quoted context omitted.
er, every hand played in poker is profitable for the house (except for the ones where all players fold before the flop, prior to which no rake is taken). Bots, etc. don't matter. The only reason to prevent bots and collusion and other forms of mischief is to make your poker room a good place for people to play.
I think the point the poster you're responding to was making is this: If people lose their money quickly to bots/collusion/cheating (or simply skilled players), they will quickly run out of money. If they play each other, they can play more hands, so more profit for the casino. To exemplify the two extremes, assuming 10% rake: Player A has $10, and loses $1 every hand: after 10 hands, he's broke and $1 went to the ca…
[edit] As an individual player, obviously, whether IRL casino or online your goal is to outpace the rake. You factor the rake into your expected losses and find a casino with a low rake (ours was actually 3%) and try to get away as a winner. But of course as a casino owner I love grinders and they're who you want day in and day out.
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#107Earlier quoted context omitted.
On the casino I used to run, I started a pilot program with a homemade poker bot (labeled as such, and only deployed on poker tables labeled as "bot friendly"). The bot had no set model of its own. It was designed to mimic specific players on the casino, regulars who had played 10,000+ hands and who agreed to have their history cloned, by ingesting their entire hand/betting history and looking for what they had done…
"On the casino I used to run"? That might be the most casual intro to what sounds like a fascinating corner of the internet I never experienced. Do you have any other interesting stories or references to that time of your life?
My advice to anyone is not to get into that industry, even though you can make any game you want and people love the games and the business model sounds way better on paper than selling your games through an app store... the civilized world has ganged up to make sure you won't succeed, or that if you do you'll either kick all your money back through licensing schemes or else be arrested. It's basically too good to be true and too profitable. You can't make money at it unless you're in the club.
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#108Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's a great book, and totally agree the author is under translated!
There were two Netflix miniseries related to the book, btw. Exploring the surviving humans on the planet.
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#109Earlier quoted context omitted.
Unless there is an acupuncture powered smartphone and an astrology powered orbital telecommunications network I am unfamiliar with, the only similarity between them and technology is in the minds of the users, not the stuff itself.
What we get out of these gadgets is addiction to peering into them for answers and filling an existential hole like astrology. Meanwhile tomorrow will go by just the same as yesterday. Technology isn’t altering physics, it’s operates within the boundaries set by experiment a century ago. It’s not curtailing human social problems that have existed since forever. Trade offs in society just like engineering; arguments i…
Technology is doing things that many people a century ago thought was impossible, in some cases practically, and in other cases even theoretically.
For example, that the chips inside your phone have features significantly smaller than the wavelengths of light used to etch them, which are also in the size range where some of the people involved in the development were sure that quantum mechanical effects would lead to so many electrons tunnelling through insulators as to prohibit reliable logic gates.
Also above liquid nitrogen temperature superconductors, from what I've heard there is no known complete model of that class of superconductors as BCS theory (developed from 1948 to 1957, getting a Nobel Prize in 1972) doesn't explain anything over 30 K… but most people only interact with those superconductors in the form of YouTube videos about them, not even physical toys.
My dad, back when he was alive, gave anecdotes about how much and fast computers changed things over his career. He was born in 1939, and for him "storing all of Shakespeare on a ball bearing" and "have as many digits of pi as you want" were remarkable; and a long-distance phone call meant from Hampshire (in the UK) to Sussex (a county which shares a border with Hampshire), not international, and local phone numbers being typically four digits (although at least one relative just had ten buttons on their phone and each one would call a specific named person, and anything else you'd need the operator). TV (if you could afford it) was black and white (as were the newspapers), and nobody could record anything (though by my time he had managed to pick the third horse of the two-horse race in home taping, as he had a Video 2000 system instead of VHS or Betamax).
He missed the discovery of liquid nitrogen temperature superconductors, and didn't understand public-key encryption (which would've been useful given he worked on IFF systems for Plessey/GEC Marconi).
Radar existed a century ago (under a different name), but magnetrons didn't and RF electronics were terrible. The magnetrons went on to enable microwave ovens.
Nukes didn't exist until he was nearly 6, and the first thermonuclear weapon was detonated just after he turned 13. Artificial satellites were sci-fi until he was 18, and manned spaceflight was sci-fi until he was 21. There are no analogies to these things in the world of astrology or acupuncture.
> It’s not curtailing human social problems that have existed since forever.
Apart from all the diseases we've cured. I finally visited the Mary Rose museum over the holidays, you know what those sailors' bones showed? Rickets, scurvy, broken bones that weren't set right and healed wrong.
Know what else we've done? There are half as many people in abject poverty today than there were a century ago, despite the population going up about 3.5-fold since 1920. "Tech" isn't just your phone and your video games, it's the M-PESA pseudo-banking system letting people use an old Nokia-1100 instead of cash[0].
It's the expansion of rights for women, and more education for everyone, where the pressure came from organisation and coordination which itself was enabled by communication technology.
It's likewise the reporting of My Lai that forced introspection in the USA.
It's thermal remote sensing[1] both in satellites (giving us better weather forecasts and warnings of forest fires) and personal devices (making it cheaper to find where houses need more insulation); it's the microcontrollers in medical devices giving people cybernetic implants for supporting patients with diabetes and for pacemakers, it's the neuroprosthetics in the form of cochlear implants and epilepsy management devices; it's the MRI, CT, and ultrasound scanners; it's the DNA tests, the IVF treatments, the hormonal contraceptives and hormonal supplements for menopause.
And one of the core issues of the human condition is communication: long-distance any-time communication (which is the point of a mobile phone) has gone from a sci-fi fantasy in 1924 to such cheap ubiquity that even in the poorest communities their absence is considered noteworthy.
And then you have things like Google Translate. I'm still surprising and delighting people by showing them a feature first demonstrated over a decade ago — augmented reality live visual translation (although back in 2010 Word Lens was from a separate company, but Google bought them). No more gullible westerners getting "外国变态" as a tattoo thinking it says "asian beauty".
> Trade offs in society just like engineering; arguments it saves people from exploitation at home but airplanes and modern tracking enable large scale human trafficking.
Airplanes? No, and you sound historically (and economically) uninformed for even suggesting that. One of the other places I went in this holiday period was Bristol, where I saw the plinth from which locals have recently toppled and dragged away an unwanted statue commemorating the local philanthropy of a historical slave trader[2]. Planes are about the dumbest possible way to attempt this in the modern world, precisely because of ID requirements on basically all airports.
> The yearly resource consumption for yearly phone updates is insane.
Also no, but that's less nuts than saying airplanes enable large scale human trafficking, there's billions of us and it is normal for people to be very bad with balancing the scale of big numbers.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:M-Pesa_on_Nokia_1100_2012...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_remote_sensing
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statue_of_Edward_Colston#:~:te....
Re: A simulation of me: fine-tuning an LLM on 240k text messages
#110Earlier quoted context omitted.
> it might be therapeutic to have a conversation with a deceased loved one. Would it? I'm not a specialist, but it would seem a bit off to me to approach it like that. I'd think best is to accept that your deceased one has gone, and it seems like having a fake one might just prolong the grievance process and possibly also develop into an obsession of trying to replace your deceased one with the simulation, upgrading…
Have you ever watched the original Superman movies and Clark talks with the AI hologram of his biological father from his home planet? I believe in the future our descendants will likely find it normal to talk with AI versions of their ancestors, perhaps not us parents right now, but I suspect my children will willingly train and generate AI versions of themselves for future generations to interact with.