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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#92

The Vision Pro becomes wildly popular at least to a subset of the population. It’s continuously sold out and people scalp for absurd prices (or try to, idk if Apple will prevent this in some way; by absurd, I’m talking minimum $10,000, maybe over $1,000,000). Some people become addicted to it like the immersion trope, they don’t care about anything else anymore, stop participating in life, neglect their health, finan…

1 million dollars lol

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#93
post #53

Trump gets skin and testicular cancer by end of summer, dies first week of October. Biden gets fatal heart attack a week later. RFK Jr. shot in the head the next day while touring Gaza Strip. Ivanka Trump fills in, elected next US President, Kim Kardashian as VP. Supreme Court swiftly declares move constitutional. Kanye claims he's been abducted by aliens, registers as lobbyist for extraterrestrial affairs. Will be f…

> First transgender Iranian Mullah gets out of the closet.

I think Iran actually has a healthcare system that's progressive on just this one issue.

From Google AI: "Iran is the only Islamic country that recognizes sex reassignment surgery (SRS). Sex changes have been legal in Iran since the late 1980s, when Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the spiritual leader of the 1979 Islamic revolution, passed a fatwa authorizing them."

I forget why he did that. However, that prediction isn't as absurd as you intended.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#94
post #39

The seeds of WW3 will continue to grow.

This is unfortunately seeming like a possibility. Everyone has forgotten how long WW2 took to brew before it broke out. WW2 is listed as having started in the year 1939, but events that led up to it started as early as 1931 depending on who you talk to. It's commonly agreed that events were already happening in 1935-1937 that triggered the war in 1939.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#97
post #39

The seeds of WW3 will continue to grow.

This is unfortunately seeming like a possibility. Everyone has forgotten how long WW2 took to brew before it broke out. WW2 is listed as having started in the year 1939, but events that led up to it started as early as 1931 depending on who you talk to. It's commonly agreed that events were already happening in 1935-1937 that triggered the war in 1939.

AFAIK there is quite widespread consensus that WW1 and WW2 are the same conflict with a break. To be fair, they took ~100 years of nation-building and conflicts brewing after Napoleonic wars to get to that point.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#99
post #53

Trump gets skin and testicular cancer by end of summer, dies first week of October. Biden gets fatal heart attack a week later. RFK Jr. shot in the head the next day while touring Gaza Strip. Ivanka Trump fills in, elected next US President, Kim Kardashian as VP. Supreme Court swiftly declares move constitutional. Kanye claims he's been abducted by aliens, registers as lobbyist for extraterrestrial affairs. Will be f…

> First transgender Iranian Mullah gets out of the closet. I think Iran actually has a healthcare system that's progressive on just this one issue. From Google AI: "Iran is the only Islamic country that recognizes sex reassignment surgery (SRS). Sex changes have been legal in Iran since the late 1980s, when Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the spiritual leader of the 1979 Islamic revolution, passed a fatwa authorizing th…

It is not at all progressive, the Iranian authorities use this surgery as a punishment for homosexual men.

See https://www.thepinknews.com/2020/02/22/iran-gay-forced-gende...:

> Shadi Amin, an Iranian-born activist, told The Sun that this homophobic Iranian regime is controlled by religious extremists who view being gay as an "illness". They believe that the only way it can be cured is by changing gender.

> "The government believes that if you are a gay man, your soul is that of a woman and you should change your body," Amin said.

> "We think this is a way [for them] to fight the existence of homosexual people because you change their body and you solve the problem.

> "The regime gives gay people two choices – to be arrested as a homosexual and risk punishment or even execution, or change your body."

> Government data shows that around 4000 gender reassignment surgeries are performed in Iran each year.

> Amin, however, claims that those numbers are actually much higher in reality.

> "They are trying to cleanse the country of homosexuals," she added.

> "They would rather carry out mass surgeries than executions because they know the world is watching them."

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#100
post #99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> First transgender Iranian Mullah gets out of the closet. I think Iran actually has a healthcare system that's progressive on just this one issue. From Google AI: "Iran is the only Islamic country that recognizes sex reassignment surgery (SRS). Sex changes have been legal in Iran since the late 1980s, when Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the spiritual leader of the 1979 Islamic revolution, passed a fatwa authorizing th…

It is not at all progressive, the Iranian authorities use this surgery as a punishment for homosexual men. See https://www.thepinknews.com/2020/02/22/iran-gay-forced-gende... : > Shadi Amin, an Iranian-born activist, told The Sun that this homophobic Iranian regime is controlled by religious extremists who view being gay as an "illness". They believe that the only way it can be cured is by changing gender. > "The gov…

Well, if they were actually progressive, they'd realize that not every homosexual wants to be a god damn woman. I'll admit it's definitely not the most progressive take on things. However, it's at least more progressive than just killing them, which is what we find elsewhere in the region and would have expected from Iran no less.
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