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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#51

- Biden wins reelection comfortably, picking up North Carolina and getting closer than 2020 in Texas. Republicans win the senate, Democrats retake the house. - Trump is convicted in at least one jurisdiction, though sentencing happens after the election. He refuses to drop out, but also refuses to debate. - Core PCE stays around 2%, economy grows at about 2% in real terms. The overall economy is stable and growing an…

What's your reasoning behind Biden's reelection?

Currently, he trails Trump in all swing states, right

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#52
On the social media front, everything seems quite stale to me. Even the attempts to inject AI into Facebook, Instagram, etc. are pretty lame and don't have a long lifespan. TikTok is starting to feel less "hip new thing" and more "overstaying its welcome."

I predict that a new social media model will take off soon, with the company that ends up winning the space launching in 2024 (or already launched.)

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#53
Trump gets skin and testicular cancer by end of summer, dies first week of October.

Biden gets fatal heart attack a week later.

RFK Jr. shot in the head the next day while touring Gaza Strip.

Ivanka Trump fills in, elected next US President, Kim Kardashian as VP. Supreme Court swiftly declares move constitutional.

Kanye claims he's been abducted by aliens, registers as lobbyist for extraterrestrial affairs. Will be found dead down a cliff in Greenland after solar eclipse.

Penguin cultured meat becomes wildly popular in Argentina.

Taylor Swift performs for Kim Jung-Un in North Korea.

Israel expands, seizing neighboring parts in Lebanon and Syria, activates a shielding force field over territory, dubbed as the Israely bubble.

Conspiracy theory about combined primate-pork ancestry for human kind becomes widespread. Pork meat sales plummet.

First trans woman carries fetus, gives birth.

Italian algea pasta startup fails because of AI glitch.

Worldwide emails get all routed to single Gmail account for 48h. Major data center fires ensues. Lost email data never recovered.

Pringles create new bologna-asparagus flavored crisps, which leads to global addiction crisis and instant liver cancer for 2% of world population.

Coca-Cola launches Water 2.0, a new bottled drink that packs 2,800 calories per liquid once, while tasting like regular tap water.

Dubai plans for new massive mile-high pyramid shaped water park.

Panama Canal moves to Costa Rica.

Study finds lecithin emulsifier food additives to be root cause of worldwide diabetes and obesity epidemic. Lead scientists die in a car accident upon publication.

Pet shop puppy get AIDS from ticks in Pennsylvania.

First transgender Iranian Mullah gets out of the closet.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#54

- Biden wins reelection comfortably, picking up North Carolina and getting closer than 2020 in Texas. Republicans win the senate, Democrats retake the house. - Trump is convicted in at least one jurisdiction, though sentencing happens after the election. He refuses to drop out, but also refuses to debate. - Core PCE stays around 2%, economy grows at about 2% in real terms. The overall economy is stable and growing an…

Why would Trump refuse to debate?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#56
post #53

Trump gets skin and testicular cancer by end of summer, dies first week of October. Biden gets fatal heart attack a week later. RFK Jr. shot in the head the next day while touring Gaza Strip. Ivanka Trump fills in, elected next US President, Kim Kardashian as VP. Supreme Court swiftly declares move constitutional. Kanye claims he's been abducted by aliens, registers as lobbyist for extraterrestrial affairs. Will be f…

Don't mind me, just bookmarking this to revisit in 53 weeks...

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#57
post #54

- Biden wins reelection comfortably, picking up North Carolina and getting closer than 2020 in Texas. Republicans win the senate, Democrats retake the house. - Trump is convicted in at least one jurisdiction, though sentencing happens after the election. He refuses to drop out, but also refuses to debate. - Core PCE stays around 2%, economy grows at about 2% in real terms. The overall economy is stable and growing an…

Why would Trump refuse to debate?

Why does he refuse now?

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#59
post #33
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m not OP but I’ve always felt good VR will create parallel industries for travel, entertainment, etc. in ways way more interesting than gaming. Think of examples like seeing the Grand Canyon for 1/10 the price if you’re disabled or elderly. Or watching an official Taylor Swift concert like you’re actually there, for 1/2 price. No limits on ticket sales.

“Live” experience through VR is going to be big. There will be a point at which the VR experience will be better than the “nosebleeds” (they may already be). At that point this really expands the audience for live shows. Webcam experiences (eg having a chat with a celebrity) are going to be in huge demand once VR gets good latency and resolution.

VR inevitably getting smaller and cheaper will give us the "hologram of person in the living room" sci-fi fantasy we've always dreamed of. It won't be a replacement, but similar to the way it's viewed in movies and TV shows as a "future phone call".

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#60

- Biden wins reelection comfortably, picking up North Carolina and getting closer than 2020 in Texas. Republicans win the senate, Democrats retake the house. - Trump is convicted in at least one jurisdiction, though sentencing happens after the election. He refuses to drop out, but also refuses to debate. - Core PCE stays around 2%, economy grows at about 2% in real terms. The overall economy is stable and growing an…

What's your reasoning behind Biden's reelection? Currently, he trails Trump in all swing states, right

A lot of variables and uncertainty. You have to remember we live in a bubble of people ultra-focused and attached to the news. Many others aren't as focused yet. As we get closer and election season is the top story of the news cycle, I expect polling to shake out in a different direction.

To help illustrate: the election is 10 months away. 10 months ago was February 27th. Back then, there was prominent argument and speculation that Ron DeSantis was the future of the Republican Party. Look at his polling now.

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