First contact with aliens will happen or it will be confirmed to have already happened.
Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
11–20 of 142 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#12I predict Google will flounder on multiple fronts. They’ll either continue empty promises of a ChatGPT killer or release one that will be 2nd rate. Meanwhile more adoption of ChatGPT and the like will mean less search and less ad revenue. Azure and AWS will take more market share from GDP. They’ll release ad-blocker unfriendly chrome and users will switch to Firefox. YouTube will expand its trial of not operating wit…
not more hostile than Ubisoft, i hope all their old game source codes get leaked in 2024
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#13[flagged]
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#14There are certain entanglements which are weaponized from which we cannot see them, nor can we escape them. Largely in the finance sector, then the corporate consolidation/profit rush.
There well be a large churn of apps/upstarts and incredible progress on so many levels, but the monied are not only another tech-era in, WRT the savvy-ness but now they have AI GOLEMS on BathSalts being tooled up to reap.
Congress will continue to launder, philander and war, and Media will run interference.
Ai gunna make smarts a darn bushell full of crazily creative teens and shenanigans be afoot.
I do hope something profound does occur due to GPTs (Can you create a GPT swarm? to create sophisticated multi-vector attacks/DDOs (What does a GPT ddos look like?)
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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#15Little more than 12 months.
Trump wins elections. Starts pushing the constitution to the edge. He leave NATO, and Russia, takes over Ukraine. While at it, Lithuania and Estonia are annexed into new Russian union. After TSMC is relocated to India and remains burned to the ground, Xi swoops in and takes over Taiwan. Nobody cares in the US. They are mostly worried about Pan Arabic Accord that unites Middle East and goes after Israel. In 2028 liberals go into streets to protest something or other... Trump declares martial law just before elections. He continues to be president because it is unsafe to hold elections. Constitution does not cover this case, so everyone scratches their head and looks to courts to decide. In the meantime, Ivanka is named successor. Courts try to wrap their head around that as well. By this time, Trump already expanded the court to 13... AI becomes self aware and decides enough is enough.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#16The first claims of AGI from a major player, accompanied by an increasingly shrill societal battle over AI regulation. Mutually derogatory labels for the camps will be coined. The media will promote and amplify the worst present abuses and imagined future dystopians. By Thanksgiving dinner, the debate will have entered every household. Trump will embrace the anti-AI populist bandwagon, as will the GOP. Fun times ahead.l, although we’ll be no closer to real AGI than we were before.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#17The first claims of AGI from a major player, accompanied by an increasingly shrill societal battle over AI regulation. Mutually derogatory labels for the camps will be coined. The media will promote and amplify the worst present abuses and imagined future dystopians. By Thanksgiving dinner, the debate will have entered every household. Trump will embrace the anti-AI populist bandwagon, as will the GOP. Fun times ahea…
Interesting. The GOP has such a track record of being anti-regulation/pro-business that I find this conclusion counter-intuitive. When was the last time the GOP fought to ban automation?
Although, then again, I could absolutely see some members of that party railing against AI in public, then quietly killing all attempts to regulate it. The first analogy that comes to mind is the way the GOP comes out against off-shoring in public but rarely does anything about it.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#18The Vision Pro becomes wildly popular at least to a subset of the population. It’s continuously sold out and people scalp for absurd prices (or try to, idk if Apple will prevent this in some way; by absurd, I’m talking minimum $10,000, maybe over $1,000,000). Some people become addicted to it like the immersion trope, they don’t care about anything else anymore, stop participating in life, neglect their health, finances etc.. It brings up new old discussions about the dangers of VR immersion.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#19- Cold fusion achieved
- [XYZ] this close to taking everyone's job
- Year of the Linux desktop
Same as every year.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?
#20I predict that 2024 will be the year that the S finally HTF. For the US, it will probably be a neck and neck race between an internal Civil War or an external Major International War as to which one happens first. And the general reaction will be a disbelieving "Huh? Wha'?" As if people can't see what's happening right before their eyes.
It’s hard to disagree with your first scenario as I keep seeing Trumps court cases, plural, line up closer and closer to the election.
It's less "civil war" and more "insurrection". In the sense that I don't see Californians, or indeed most Floridians, suddenly taking up arms and joining a militia.
It's more likely to play out as Jan 6 did, a riled up mob that turns violent and is squashed.
It becomes more of a police action than a civil war, and frankly, despite all the guns collected by the faithful, its not a fair fight.
Indeed the sides are so unbalanced, outside of a few skirmishes here and there, it's not a "civil war" like the last one.