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Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

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Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#91
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, yet there are still a small handful of too-big-to-fail banks at the top, and a long tail of too-small-to-upgrade-their-tech-and-processes ones at the bottom. I’d rather have 50 large banks than 5 humongous and 5000 tiny ones from a resilience and efficiency point of view.

The many small banks will buy most of the IT backend "as a service". There are a small number of vendors for this, FiServ comes to mind (1). And that industry is very concentrated - the number of competitors to FiServ for actually running a bank will be in single digits. 1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiserv https://www.fiserv.com/

See also: Jack Henry and associates. We are working with both of these vendors into 2024.

It really is incredible to me the moats that some of these business leaders have been able to construct. At the end of the day, what these companies are selling is regulatory permission to use a very over priced SQL database.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's the same problem for the biggest 4 banks. The rest can join the "future" in their own time. It's after the first 4 that you go from trillions to billions in assets. They should have some reasonable pull. 10 should be still a low enough number to make an agreement and effectively make the rest follow or lose out.

The biggest 4 banks ... do support near-instant transfers? Probably in at least three forms each pairwise? I'm not sure why we're pretending the US doesn't have infrastructure for instant transfers, there are like at least four directly supported systems, a couple accidental ones, and a whole host of third-parties in the space, each with a different set of tradeoffs and spotty support.

Do they? When I move money between two accounts each in large banks it takes a day or more to clear. It would literally be an order of magnitude faster for me to walk to the a branch of one, withdraw, walk to a branch of the other to deposit than it is to move the money online.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#94

Isn’t this the exact problem that cryptocurrencies solve? With stablecoins, you can send any amount of money anywhere in the world for almost no cost.

FedNow transaction settlement is seconds, crypto is considerably slower. FedNow also incorporates fraud protection, which is obviously totally absent from the crypto domain.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#95
post #30
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Except the parts that don’t scale. For example, some banks specialize in servicing specific communities (e.g., Chinese immigrants). Other banks understand local geographic areas well. For example, they might be able to give you a better rate on financing a gut remodel because they know your contractor does good work and your plans for the remodel will be desirable in a specific neighborhood. It’s hard to do that when…

I hear that argument often, but I’m not convinced. Why should efficient lending decisions somehow be uniquely hard to make in a large corporation with many local branch offices? We’ve seen massive consolidation in mobile phone networks (where local knowledge should arguably matter just as much for where to build the next tower), supermarkets (I’d assume preferences and spending habits to also vary widely), media, and…

> Why should efficient lending decisions somehow be uniquely hard to make in a large corporation with many local branch offices?

The trouble is that the decisions can't be entrusted to the branch offices, so you wind up being a little stiff and inflexible and slow.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#96

> The more than 300 banks it has said are using the platform represent a fraction of the roughly 9,000 U.S. banks and credit unions. The article claims big banks lobbying with their own competitor to FedNow delayed the rollout of real-time payments, according to those industry officials. But another factor I want to point out is that the USA has more small banks (and, I assume, credit unions) than any other country o…

What possible use is there of having so many small banks? This is one of the only non-tech industries that scales reliably

Part of the reason so many banks exist is that there used to be laws that prohibited banks from expanding too much. So many towns had their own bank that couldn’t establish a branch elsewhere, and was also protected from outside competition, to an extent.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#97
post #90
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> and a long tail of too-small-to-upgrade-their-tech-and-processes ones Sounds like a business opportunity. Heh, I wonder why the market is so broken that this wasn't fixed yet, there's obviously money in dealing with money.

This is our business. Believe me we are trying. It's more of a people problem than anything else. Wrapping the future in a palatable package for risk adverse bankers is truly a cursed problem. Everyone needs their medicine coated in some exquisite form of custom sugar or they won't even look at it. Traction has been acquired though. We've got word of mouth doing the rounds and customers are coming to us out of the co…

Link to your company?

There’s a lot here that sounds interesting but I have no idea what business you’re in

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#98

> The more than 300 banks it has said are using the platform represent a fraction of the roughly 9,000 U.S. banks and credit unions. The article claims big banks lobbying with their own competitor to FedNow delayed the rollout of real-time payments, according to those industry officials. But another factor I want to point out is that the USA has more small banks (and, I assume, credit unions) than any other country o…

Banks are probably a bit hesitant to unlock instant payments because they can’t be reversed and so they will be a juicy target for perpetrating fraud. I’m confident they’ll be rolled out eventually but I think it’s going to take a little time for banks to figure out what the right controls for the feature should be.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#99

> The more than 300 banks it has said are using the platform represent a fraction of the roughly 9,000 U.S. banks and credit unions. The article claims big banks lobbying with their own competitor to FedNow delayed the rollout of real-time payments, according to those industry officials. But another factor I want to point out is that the USA has more small banks (and, I assume, credit unions) than any other country o…

Banks are probably a bit hesitant to unlock instant payments because they can’t be reversed and so they will be a juicy target for perpetrating fraud. I’m confident they’ll be rolled out eventually but I think it’s going to take a little time for banks to figure out what the right controls for the feature should be.

This is one of the main headwinds with Zelle. It's digital cash. It's advertised as digital cash. But still even with a lot of consumer education, so many people treat it as a reversible payment.

Congress grilled bank executives about it last year and even most of the representatives failed to grasp that it was digital cash. If someone gets defrauded, it's just as if they handed $20 to a scammer. It's going to be hard to reverse that.

Re: Why it's taking so long for Americans to get payments instantly

#100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What possible use is there of having so many small banks? This is one of the only non-tech industries that scales reliably

So we don't have to pay a monthly fee of 2.95 euros just to have a bank account! Competition brings lower fees.

In general, nobody pays for bank accounts in the UK and there are only really ~4 retail banks worth mentioning.

Barclays was founded in 1690 though

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