What a shit show.
https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/7/23992712/spotify-cfo-paul...
191–200 of 203 posts
What a shit show.
https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/7/23992712/spotify-cfo-paul...
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The employment laws in many Asian countries make it very difficult to lay people off or fire them. This sounds great on paper, but comes its own host of problems. One knock on effect is that the job market for anyone that isn't a new grad is tough and extremely hostile. Having been laid off or fired carries such a stigma because it is a rare thing that most people don't encounter. If you're past your 30s and laid off…
> This translates into a workplace where your value isn't tied to the work you output, but which "line" you stand behind. I’m glad we’ve avoided this in the US /s. Sarcasm aside, a lot of those problems exist here. Has anyone worked in a large company had a different experience in this regard?
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Sure. It's possible he decided he wanted to use a layoff as a way to make a gamble on the stock price before a scheduled sale. However there is no actual evidence of this, so let's be careful about breaking out the pitchforks. This sale would have happened even if the stock tanked 50%.
It's not just Spotify layoffs that have caused stock pumps this year. Plenty of other large tech companies have experienced the same pump due to layoffs. It's a pretty good gamble. The 10b5-1 schedule is referenced often by executives as an alibi against insider trading. Let's just be realistic that it likely doesn't prevent anything of the sort.
Let’s be realistic that this trade was a) always going to happen no matter the stock price, b) the CEO does not have a crystal ball, and c) there is no evidence of the CEO timing layoffs as a ploy for personal gain.
It’s easy to get caught up in conspiracies that we want to be true.
Imagine if the timing were juuuust a little different, what the headlines would be. "Spotify CEO cashes in on millions before announcing layoffs". Hmmm.
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Taking a risk that doesn't pan out can also be a bad idea , though. It depends on what the possible outcomes were and what the chances of each outcome were. The important thing to evaluating someone's decision making ability is to look at the decision they made with the information they had. Was it a good bet to dramatically overhire? I don't know!, but analysts can and should (rather, have no excuse not to). It's po…
It is board's job to evaluate C-suite's decisions. It is shareholders' job to appoint a proper board. Ultimately, the system has some flaws but generally it has worked pretty well over the past many decades.
I'm just describing what good decision making actually is. If you take an option with 20% chance of success, but few downsides if it fails and large returns if it succeeds, that's usually a good decision. If, however, the downsides are catastrophic, that's probably a bad decision.
The situation here is that the downsides were arguably catastrophic, but completely externalized. The C-suite selfishly made bad decisions because it didn't affect them negatively. Doing so should reasonably have repercussions for them, but where's the incentive? An organization that places profit above all is intrinsically immoral and/or corrupt. This is obvious, we've just been allowing it for generations because we keep telling those who get hurt that things should probably work out on their own, eventually, or in the aggregate. And we convince people that an organization that places not being evil (not even martyring itself, just not doing horrible shit) just above profit can't exist. Would it be competitive? Maybe not, which is why regulation is actually useful - it can change the playing field so a company doesn't have to make that decision. (Of course, we already do this exact thing, but for extremely limited definitions of evil, and we also don't punish those evils very badly when they're committed.)
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It's not just Spotify layoffs that have caused stock pumps this year. Plenty of other large tech companies have experienced the same pump due to layoffs. It's a pretty good gamble. The 10b5-1 schedule is referenced often by executives as an alibi against insider trading. Let's just be realistic that it likely doesn't prevent anything of the sort.
It is. At best. A gamble. There are more than enough examples of companies doing layoffs and experiencing stock losses. Let’s be realistic that this trade was a) always going to happen no matter the stock price, b) the CEO does not have a crystal ball, and c) there is no evidence of the CEO timing layoffs as a ploy for personal gain. It’s easy to get caught up in conspiracies that we want to be true. Imagine if the t…
> It’s easy to get caught up in conspiracies that we want to be true.
I'm not saying there even needs to be a conspiracy for this specific case. I'm pointing out that there is nothing in the law that would stop them from taking advantage of this timing. Also that previous layoffs have resulted in a bump in share price multiple times in a row, and what do you know, it happened again. Even if it was a gamble, how can you deny that they're able to time information drops to their personal advantage? Isn't that a problem in itself?
It’s kind of weird to see people want to work at big corporations but then act surprised or salty about layoffs. It’s nothing personal. You’re a line number even if you’re some leet coder. It’s a business, and it’s a strategy game of utilizing resources. You might have 400k TC but you’re not god you’re a resource. If you think these things aren’t fair or suck, then you should try to move out of the leet coder path an…
I like how in your comment, the salary went from 400k to 200k. Just like what happned to these leet coders this past 2 years.
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If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking the intended spirit of the site more to heart, we'd be grateful.
Edit: could you please stop posting flamewar comments generally? We've had to ask you this repeatedly over the years, and your account is still doing it - e.g. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38529405 and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38528691. I don't want to ban you, but if you keep posting like this, we won't have much choice—so if you'd please stop, that would be good.
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It is. At best. A gamble. There are more than enough examples of companies doing layoffs and experiencing stock losses. Let’s be realistic that this trade was a) always going to happen no matter the stock price, b) the CEO does not have a crystal ball, and c) there is no evidence of the CEO timing layoffs as a ploy for personal gain. It’s easy to get caught up in conspiracies that we want to be true. Imagine if the t…
It's weird to deny that executives can comprehend the impact of their decisions on the price of their ticker, but ok. > It’s easy to get caught up in conspiracies that we want to be true. I'm not saying there even needs to be a conspiracy for this specific case. I'm pointing out that there is nothing in the law that would stop them from taking advantage of this timing. Also that previous layoffs have resulted in a bu…
Is it a problem? It seems unsolvable if so, unless we should ban CEOs from receiving stock compensation?
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It's weird to deny that executives can comprehend the impact of their decisions on the price of their ticker, but ok. > It’s easy to get caught up in conspiracies that we want to be true. I'm not saying there even needs to be a conspiracy for this specific case. I'm pointing out that there is nothing in the law that would stop them from taking advantage of this timing. Also that previous layoffs have resulted in a bu…
I haven't denied any such thing. I'm literally just saying it's a gamble. Is it a problem? It seems unsolvable if so, unless we should ban CEOs from receiving stock compensation?
Well, you said it was "at best a gamble". I don't know how else I'm supposed to interpret that besides you saying there was "at best" a 50/50 shot of either outcome happening from the perspective of the ones that announced it. I'm going to assume this is not what you meant.
Anyway, since it's established that we're in agreement (maybe? It's not easy to figure out your point of view) that executives are generally able to know with some degree of certainty >50% that their actions will create a specific effect on their stock price. And we also can agree that it is their decision when to announce and execute these actions. It's clearly and obviously a problem that they also are aware of when the stock that they hold in large quantities will be bought and sold.
> Is it a problem? It seems unsolvable if so, unless we should ban CEOs from receiving stock compensation?
If we can agree on the previous bit, then I have no idea why we should throw up our hands and be like "well I guess this is an impossible problem to solve". It's really not. Just be more restrictive with the windows in which executives are allowed to sell. Better yet spread their entire buy/sell order over the course of the year. Or even better still, don't allow them to sell stock AT ALL until they are not in charge or aware of high level decisions at the company.
CEO pay is on average 399x their average employee(https://www.epi.org/publication/ceo-pay-in-2021/). Then, we also allow them to pump their portfolio on a whim at the expense of their employees. I would say personally I don't really care if their compensation suffers, since they've probably already 10x'd my lifetime earnings in their last year of work, and I'd happily switch places with them financially if they're so hard done by.