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A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

admiralcloudberg.medium.com

211–220 of 307 posts

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#211
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because there are a zillion important parts on the airplane, if you make each one heavier than it needs to be, the airplane will be nailed to the tarmac.

That makes sense. Here’s the question I left the article with: Why not counterbore the pipe before installation, so it’s a trivial process? Would it then not survive welding perhaps?

[deleted]

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#212
post #6

Reading articles and seeing videos about airline disasters tends to increase my faith in flying rather than making me more afraid of it. Terrorism or sabotage aside, so many failures have to compound to put a modern airliner in a truly irrecoverable state that it's effectively impossible to happen and not worth my time to even worry about. What times we live in that we can hurtle ourselves across oceans at hundreds o…

I was a nervous flyer until I worked on the Boeing 757 design and found out how all the redundancy, etc., worked.

I was a nervous flyer until I piloted a 737 completely from power off to takeoff. I did the exact moves that I HATED as a passenger. Turns out you can’t control the wind and ATC transmissions eat into your mental capacity sometimes leaving you “behind the ball”. The result was a take off flying above speed causing the auto throttle to reduce engine speed greatly (the feeling as though the pilot turned off the engine in mid climb), turning to match ATC requested heading and banking a little bit more than expected passenger comfort, and finally reducing flaps without banking or otherwise reducing AoA giving that weightlessness rollercoaster feeling during the climb. All of this in a span of 5 minutes.

Once I got into our regular flight profile and following our flight plan, I just sat back in my seat and let out a hysterical laughter. I am the calmest person when I fly now :)

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#213

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Reminder that this article was about an aircraft built by Airbus . (Airbus is not Boeing.)

How are aeroplanes designed differently at Boeing vs Airbus? What's the secret sauce?

A pilot once explained to me..

Boeing planes (before MCAS): we have detected a problem with your engines, would you like to shut down?

Airbus planes: we have detected a problem with your engines, we have shut them down for you.

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#214

The article is complex and well written, but I am a bit perplexed by the victorious tone and never-ending praise of safety. It resembles a sales pitch a bit too much, even though no one is selling anything. Maybe it's unintentional, and being around salesmen just does that to people. If you are like me, you've probably said “hmm…” to yourself multiple times when certain things were mentioned, because those were thing…

The victorious tone comes in my opinion (though I'm projecting a bit) from this graph[0].

There has been very systematic and deliberate effort to better aviation safety DESPITE commercial pressures.

The swiss cheese means that there are many more layers of randomness that have to line up. Many of those layers came from previous accidents. Those layers are not random at all. Also none of those layers are hole free.

If that disk had disintegrated differently a potentially different set of layers would have applied. Would it have meant fatalities? Possibly. Would it have instantly blown up the plane? We don't know.

But it is pretty obvious that had many of those layers not existed then the chances of a much more disastrous outcome would have been much higher.

[0] https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/ef/Fataliti...

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#215
post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a former Boeing engineer, other industries can learn a great deal from how airplanes are designed. The Fukushima and Deepwater Horizon disasters were both "zipper" failures that showed little thought was given to "when X fails, then what?" Note I wrote when X fails, not if X fails. It's a different way of thinking.

As an engineer I think a lot about tradeoffs of cost vs other criteria. There is little I can learn from nuclear or aviation industry, as the cost structure ist so completely different. I’m very happy that the costs of safety in aviation are very good accepted, but I understand that few people are willing to pay similar costs for other things like, say, cars.

I don't think that's the right way to reason about it.

I find that I can learn a ton from those industries, and as a software engineer I have the added advantage of being able to come up with zero-cost (or low cost), self-documenting abstractions, testing patterns, and ergonomic interfaces that improve the safety of my software.

In software, a lot of safety is embodied in how you structure your interfaces and tests. The biggest cost is your time, but there are economies of scale everywhere. It really pays to think through your interfaces and test plan and systems behavior, and that's where lessons from these other industries can be applied.

So yeah, if you think of these lessons as "do tons of manual QA", you'll run into trouble resourcing it. But you can also think of them as "build systems that continuously self-test, produce telemetry, fail gracefully in legible ways and have multiple redundancies".

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#217

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Any substantiation for "Unless you work on Teslas autopilot, it seems"? I mean you're implying that there are more accidents with autopilot than without it, right? Seems like quite the claim...

Tesla people always try to reduce any critique to some metric on deaths per x. The fact is, there’s a lot of history and best practice around building safety critical systems that Tesla doesn’t follow. Additionally, even with the practices they follow, they call a consumer facing product that isn’t really an autopilot “autopilot”, while focusing outbound comms on a beta product that is more like an autopilot, but not…

I agree with most of this but the naming of "autopilot" seems fine. Nobody expects commercial aircraft to fly on autopilot without a pilot's supervision, the same _should_ be true of Tesla vehicles (especially considering their tendency to jump into the wrong lane and phantom brake on the highway etc.)

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#218

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a former Boeing engineer, other industries can learn a great deal from how airplanes are designed. The Fukushima and Deepwater Horizon disasters were both "zipper" failures that showed little thought was given to "when X fails, then what?" Note I wrote when X fails, not if X fails. It's a different way of thinking.

I agree in principle, but I don't think industries should be looking at current-day Boeing's engineering practices except for an example of how a proud company's culture can rot from the inside out with fatal consequences.

I think Boeing has had some difficulties. They have also had some undeniable successes. The 777 and 787 programs have no in-service passenger fatalities attributable to engineering errors to date. That's a monumental achievement.

Re: A Matter of Millimeters: The story of Qantas flight 32

#220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Airliners face constantly changing specifications. No two airliners are built the same.

Do you mean no two individual planes? Like two 767s made a month apart, do you mean they literally would have different requirements?

Neat little detail of the world Wikipedia once told me: the 00 suffix of classic Boeing planes, dropped in 2016, was substituted with Boeing assigned customer code on registration documents. e.g. a PAN AM 773-300 would have been 777-321, an Air Berlin Jetfoil would have been 929-16J, and so on.

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Boeing_customer_codes

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