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The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

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Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

#24
This seems kind of par for the course. What I find strange is that there are busses[1] operating economically with similar time of use (but not top speed) requirements. The whole "car parts scaled up to truck size" is super on brand for their chief technologist. I'm also seeing a bunch of Rivian trucks and Ford E150 lightnings on the roads around the Bay Area which, for me, doesn't bode well for the launch of the Tesla truck either. If the Starship blows up tonight I imagine that's going to add stress too. I really wish Elon would pick cars or rockets and focus, that could really help the world. I'm not holding my breath though.

[1] https://evmagazine.com/top10/top-10-electric-bus-companies

Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

#25

> The constant use of the battery pack is unprecedented and is causing reliability problems for Tesla and other EV truck makers I don't understand why this is a surprise and why they think they can muscle through it. I didn't think our current battery technology is built for this scenario. > During the installation process, the Megachargers took down the power grid for a good chunk of the city This is my fear with ev…

> This is my fear with everyone eventually plugging in their electric vehicles at 5pm

If every house had a fast charger, that would be a sensible concern. But everybody turning their dryers on simultaneously during off-peak hours isn't something worth worrying about. Especially since it's not going to just happen all at once some day.

Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

#26

> The constant use of the battery pack is unprecedented and is causing reliability problems for Tesla and other EV truck makers I don't understand why this is a surprise and why they think they can muscle through it. I didn't think our current battery technology is built for this scenario. > During the installation process, the Megachargers took down the power grid for a good chunk of the city This is my fear with ev…

Compounded by getting rid of natural gas for cooking and heating.

It's fine to say that electric is simpler to deliver and more efficient in theory, but our grid is not even a fraction ready for that, and heat pumps and induction ranges are a whole order of magnitude up the tech ladder from boilers and gas stoves, and by going all electric you lose the multiple sources redundancy which is literally a life saver.

I do actually welcome the cleaner future but I hate how people are pretending it's already here and making regular people deal with the discrepency.

Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

#27
post #16

> The constant use of the battery pack is unprecedented and is causing reliability problems for Tesla and other EV truck makers I don't understand why this is a surprise and why they think they can muscle through it. I didn't think our current battery technology is built for this scenario. > During the installation process, the Megachargers took down the power grid for a good chunk of the city This is my fear with ev…

1 MW charger per truck, if you need to super charge. Equivalent to approximately 1000 homes. This is a huge burden on the electrical grids, and Tesla or EV's get to hand that problem to someone else. The only way this makes sense at scale is if we had nuclear power, and charging was done at night.

> This is a huge burden on the electrical grids, and Tesla or EV's get to hand that problem to someone else.

They don't exactly get to push it onto someone else. Large loads like this come with demand charges. In some areas, they might be $5/KW, in others I've heard of >$10. A single megacharger would be $5-10k on top of the actual energy used.

It is high enough that I'd expect them to start thinking about battery buffers at charging sites to mitigate the cost.

That already happens at a smaller scale, with things like Freewire.

Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

#28
post #15
post #9

Looks like the design requirement for a heavy duty vehicle were not properly followed. Though that's how tesla builds something like software build find faults then itteriate. For light duty if you can get chinese $2000 truck with a hydraulic lift I think china is going to takeover the world's vehicle manufacturing markets. https://electrek.co/2023/11/14/two-years-after-buying-a-2000...

That's something that's basically equivalent to a golf cart with a bed on it. Hardly an example of anything useful except transporting some stuff around your own property.

FTA: "It’s fine if people want to call it a “glorified golf cart”, though I’m not sure I’ve seen a golf cart that can tow a boat, haul furniture, dump mulch, and that comes with creature comforts like air-conditioning, infotainment screen, power windows and locks, and a frunk."

Re: The Tesla Semi from an Insider's View After One Year: "Hot Mess"

#29
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's something that's basically equivalent to a golf cart with a bed on it. Hardly an example of anything useful except transporting some stuff around your own property.

FTA: "It’s fine if people want to call it a “glorified golf cart”, though I’m not sure I’ve seen a golf cart that can tow a boat, haul furniture, dump mulch, and that comes with creature comforts like air-conditioning, infotainment screen, power windows and locks, and a frunk."

Yea, i've read it but the point still stands. And there's all sorts of tricked out golf carts available with most of those features. Being able to bounce around your own property is cool, and there's many types of small vehicles for that, but they're not something you compare to a road worthy vehicle.
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