Earlier quoted context omitted.
In this situation I would assume that the political/internal pressures from the member companies and advisory board were dominating factors as opposed to the forecasters being total dummies. There must have been some reasons why it was not appealing to assume the growth could keep ramping like that. Because it’s an obviously insane forecast after the first few data points are in.
It seems like the World Energy Outlook report the fossil fuel industry gets a lot of airtime. In the 2018 report[1] most of the sections are dedicated to oil and gas topic and the section on renewables is very skeptical on the viability of renewables. [1] https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2018/
Our most recent near-miss at a statewide outage happened because of unexpectedly low wind. It’s happening in Texas first because we have a smaller grid and it’s deregulated to the point where cheap but unreliable renewables can crowd out other sources of generation. The eastern and western grids will face the same problems in the long run the more and more renewables come to replace other sources of power.