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The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

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Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#101
post #84

Interesting to see this article again since it was the trigger of starting a homelab for me. After realizing cloud services are putting a major dent in my pocket to get a lousy startup idea off the ground, I started to wonder if there's "The Cheapest" way? (I'm not cheap but I'm very frugal) Nowadays internet speed is great to do self hosting. I have a business line internet at home with ~1gb up&down! Bought couple o…

this is the most undersung hero. Internet speeds are reaching the equivalent of a datacenter. This will open up so many possibities, that it makes it seem like the 2000s again. And finally we might actually need ipv6

datacenter network speeds are ~400+Gbit (between data centers) and in the Tbit range within data centers. A typical server now has a 10Gbit NIC.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#102
post #48

I've always thought the mysterious bit was that cloud doesn't seem like it ever gets cheaper while the cost difference between cloud and own infra and profit associated with AWS suggest it could be. Is there something structurally wrong with competition in cloud?

That's not correct. Cloud costs have steadily declined since ~ever. This is due both to the inevitable march of performance, and inflation. It used to be 1 Ivy Bridge vCPU cost $71/month, in 2014 dollars, or $90 today. But today you can get a machine of the same size class, with a dramatically faster CPU, at $30/month.

The metric we are interested in is cost relative to self-hosting on similar hardware.

So you can't factor in things like inflation and hardware performance, which equally made self-hosted solutions cheaper.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#103
post #87
post #62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Any business that you can run from a home server with a residential business line is not the kind of business we are talking about here. Yes, you can potentially serve a lot of customers with that setup, but your reliability story is terrible so you better have very forgiving customers. What if your internet goes out? Even with a business line, I've had to wait five days for them to replace a fiber line that a squirr…

over the last 15 years my residential internet and power supply have been considerably more reliable than us-east-1

[deleted]

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#104
I’m leading engineering at a new start up and I’m doing absolutely everything I can to avoid touching the cloud at pretty much any cost.

We’re going to be running all of our own dev/test GPU servers with only inference hosted outside our cluster.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#105

> A billion dollar private software company told us that their public cloud spend amounted to 81% of COR, and that “cloud spend ranging from 75 to 80% of cost of revenue was common among software companies” I find that quite hard to believe. I mean, I can see that if you were selling cloud backup services and stored customer data on S3, I can understand S3 costs being a big part of your budget. But for the vast major…

A chart on the article said that Slack spends an estimated 41% of revenue on cloud costs, calculated using their financials by this author who claims they were being conservative but I don't know how to estimate such a thing myself.

So Slack are basically on-selling cloud at a 59% markup.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#106

I’m leading engineering at a new start up and I’m doing absolutely everything I can to avoid touching the cloud at pretty much any cost. We’re going to be running all of our own dev/test GPU servers with only inference hosted outside our cluster.

The need for GPUs is a solid reason to stay away.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#107
post #39

Interesting to see this article again since it was the trigger of starting a homelab for me. After realizing cloud services are putting a major dent in my pocket to get a lousy startup idea off the ground, I started to wonder if there's "The Cheapest" way? (I'm not cheap but I'm very frugal) Nowadays internet speed is great to do self hosting. I have a business line internet at home with ~1gb up&down! Bought couple o…

What will you do if your startup suddenly takes off? That's the main advantage of the cloud early on -- flexibility.

That would be dream come true! Everything is automated with Infrastructure as Code tools like terraform, plumi, dagger etc... You can easily point to another K8S and redeploy there then update the domain DNS records to divert traffic.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#108
post #84

Interesting to see this article again since it was the trigger of starting a homelab for me. After realizing cloud services are putting a major dent in my pocket to get a lousy startup idea off the ground, I started to wonder if there's "The Cheapest" way? (I'm not cheap but I'm very frugal) Nowadays internet speed is great to do self hosting. I have a business line internet at home with ~1gb up&down! Bought couple o…

this is the most undersung hero. Internet speeds are reaching the equivalent of a datacenter. This will open up so many possibities, that it makes it seem like the 2000s again. And finally we might actually need ipv6

Yes indeed. My Bell.ca ~1gb fiber has a monthly cost of $100 + $20 for dedicated IP. Since it's business line fiber internet it comes with monitored service quality meaning it's prioritized over others using regular/residential fiber internet (claimed!)

BTW, I can get multiple lines if i'd ever need it

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#109
post #102
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not correct. Cloud costs have steadily declined since ~ever. This is due both to the inevitable march of performance, and inflation. It used to be 1 Ivy Bridge vCPU cost $71/month, in 2014 dollars, or $90 today. But today you can get a machine of the same size class, with a dramatically faster CPU, at $30/month.

The metric we are interested in is cost relative to self-hosting on similar hardware. So you can't factor in things like inflation and hardware performance, which equally made self-hosted solutions cheaper.

Good luck trying to write down that number. The cloud has list prices. Colo facilities can and will demand 500% rent increases when it's time to renew. You can't predict it.

Re: The cost of cloud, a trillion dollar paradox (2021)

#110

Interesting to see this article again since it was the trigger of starting a homelab for me. After realizing cloud services are putting a major dent in my pocket to get a lousy startup idea off the ground, I started to wonder if there's "The Cheapest" way? (I'm not cheap but I'm very frugal) Nowadays internet speed is great to do self hosting. I have a business line internet at home with ~1gb up&down! Bought couple o…

was the business line much more expensive than home rates? and were you given a static ipv4 IP?

I am with Bell in canada. My business fiber internet is $100/m and I also pay $20/b for dedicated IP
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