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Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

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Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#81

Financial anxiety: Media - the primary instigator It's one thing to feel financially tight. It's another thing to have endless news articles and publications and posts warning of how bad the global economy is and how inflation is running out of control. Not only does this constant negative message directly cause stress on the viewers, but it can cause fear in business which can lead to "precautionary" retractions...…

Laying off then hiring should be a positive. Presumably the laid-off were your worst talent and workers, while the new hires are at least randomly distributed and should be selected towards the upper end of the talent range.

Unless you managed to somehow change the intellectual characteristics of the labor pool in the span of less than a year, this is impossible on an industry-wide basis. At best, one company gains and another loses, but even if it evens out, the deadweight loss of unemployment payouts, time spent applying and interviewing, onboarding and offboarding, relationship upheavals, all make this a net negative activity socially.

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#83
The song “Rich Men North of Richmond” really captures the zeitgeist. It was #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 music chart in August. If you haven’t heard it, it’s worth a listen.

“‘Cause your dollar ain’t shit and it’s taxed to no end”

https://youtu.be/sqSA-SY5Hro

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#84

I visited Argentina earlier this year, and the psychological effects of years of inflation were very real. The exchange rate has gone from 5 pesos per USD, to 350 officially in the last 10 years. The unofficial rate is up to almost 900 pesos per USD. In March the unofficial rate was half of that, so the currency has lost 50% of its value in the last 6 months. Everybody prefers to be paid in dollars, and if you're get…

Lovely country of Argentina had 9 defaults in it's history. Maybe people and their parents, which certain % of them are part of government or economy. Should start taking little more responsilibity to understand how Finance works long term? Naa, let's default again, blame other things and not even understand how debt and modern monetary system works. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/photo-essays/2019-09-11/one-c...

The money is provided by that monetary system you speak of.

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#85

Financial anxiety: Media - the primary instigator It's one thing to feel financially tight. It's another thing to have endless news articles and publications and posts warning of how bad the global economy is and how inflation is running out of control. Not only does this constant negative message directly cause stress on the viewers, but it can cause fear in business which can lead to "precautionary" retractions...…

> Media

As far as I can tell, the mainstream media is working overtime to _downplay_ the actual state of things.

I'm a computer programmer with an advanced degree and three decades of experience and until about a year ago, I got a dozen unsolicited job offers a month. Now I can't recall the last time I saw any. Reddit's /r/cscareerquestions used to be flooded with people complaining about persistent recruiters, now it's flooded with credentialed people who've been looking for a job for months with no success.

My wife and I both make good salaries in a relatively low cost of living area and we're suddenly finding ourselves cutting back drastically just to keep from falling behind. I track my finances pretty carefully and I can compare what I spent on groceries and gas and medical expenses later year vs. this year (against the 0% pay raise we've both gotten for the past few years) and it's quite a bit.

I'm in a good position since I bought a house a long time ago at a fixed mortgage rate and am still employed, but I can't even imagine how people even a little worse off than me are doing... all while the network news and the places on the internet that haven't been shadowbanned are insisting that we're just exaggerating the scope of this financial crisis.

I remember 2000 and 2008, and neither seem like anything compared to this.

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#86
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not as applicative in this case, at least for the UK. As a software developer based in the UK, the inflation mentioned in the article is felt very deeply by myself. The article cited 7.2% as the price inflation rate, which is close to the rate of 7.6% calculated by the Office for National Statistics based on my household spending[1] and is consistent with my personal experience. On top of that, the UK Treasury a…

> The article cited 7.2% as the price inflation rate, which is close to the rate of 7.6% calculated by the Office for National Statistics based on my household spending[1] and is consistent with my personal experience. Do you know if those figures factor in non-consumables like housing and insurance? Asking because many US areas are seeing 20-100% jumps (or higher), year over year over year. When your largest expense…

What areas have seen housing or insurance costs jump over 100% year-over-year?

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#87
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not as applicative in this case, at least for the UK. As a software developer based in the UK, the inflation mentioned in the article is felt very deeply by myself. The article cited 7.2% as the price inflation rate, which is close to the rate of 7.6% calculated by the Office for National Statistics based on my household spending[1] and is consistent with my personal experience. On top of that, the UK Treasury a…

> The article cited 7.2% as the price inflation rate, which is close to the rate of 7.6% calculated by the Office for National Statistics based on my household spending[1] and is consistent with my personal experience. Do you know if those figures factor in non-consumables like housing and insurance? Asking because many US areas are seeing 20-100% jumps (or higher), year over year over year. When your largest expense…

Not sure about the post's article one, but yes on the ONS calculator. Basically one enters their expenditure by categories and it will calculate the overall inflation rate. Though personally I wasn't impacted by these two categories.

You can directly view by kind on ONS as well[1]. It states CPIH over 12 months rate in July 2023 is 5.4 for housing and 9.0 for health.

[1]: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bull...

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>> Did oil get more expensive so the cost of revenue increased? Did a company realize they were charging below market rate? This should statistically account for at least ~25% of it, according to the numbers: https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_m2_money_supply

What's the money demand? If money supply increases and money demand increases then the price of money doesn't change.

I haven't seen a good argument for why the government should be able to print money without consequences.

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What's the money demand? If money supply increases and money demand increases then the price of money doesn't change.

I haven't seen a good argument for why the government should be able to print money without consequences.

They can; therefore they will.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_immunity

Re: Financial anxiety: The alarming side effect of inflation

#90
post #19

I visited Argentina earlier this year, and the psychological effects of years of inflation were very real. The exchange rate has gone from 5 pesos per USD, to 350 officially in the last 10 years. The unofficial rate is up to almost 900 pesos per USD. In March the unofficial rate was half of that, so the currency has lost 50% of its value in the last 6 months. Everybody prefers to be paid in dollars, and if you're get…

Is it harder to travel from abroad? I imagine that thousands of $1 bills might rise some eyebrows at customs.

Imagine a plane full of people carrying gold nuggets in their pockets.
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