Does Market Timing Work?
schwab.com
Does Market Timing Work?
1–10 of 292 posts
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#2Yes but only for a select few. For the rest of us... Nope
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#3Which is why better late than never I am overpaying into pension and chucking that on a far/wide international index. My calcs say I won’t retire rich but I will still most likely have the money and beat inflation. And not spend it lol!
The real issue for the average Jo seeking alpha is you often need to pay the house (your government!) for the privilege.
In Australia you trigger capital gains tax when you sell. And if you buy and sell alot they may audit you and consider it income from professional trading!
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#4Surely if you know exactly when the market will reach a low point you can buy put options to capitalise on that? Or at least ensure that you use times where you're expecting the market to fall to spend money on non-appreciating essentials (cars, house renovations etc.)?
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#5[flagged]
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#6For people with the intellect to understand the economy it does. Just very few of those people
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#7For people with the intellect to understand the economy it does. Just very few of those people
> people with the intellect to understand the economy
Those people (we people) know not to try.
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#8Although when the s&p dropped 20% in a few days in March 2020 — that was clearly a buy signal. And when tech stocks dropped by 70-90% in Nov 2022. Those stocks are now up 2x/3x from bottom. Sure, long term it probably doesn’t work out to time the market but sometimes it’s pretty obvious what’s happening.
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#9For people with the intellect to understand the economy it does. Just very few of those people
If this was true wouldn’t you have many more economists with multiple mullions just from market timing? Even if you can predict the market and you are correct it can stay irrational so i think this comment is completely incorrect
Re: Does Market Timing Work?
#10Yes but only for a select few. For the rest of us... Nope
And the select few are those making the policies because no one else knows whats going to happen