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What will come after web apps and social sites?

news.ycombinator.com

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Re: What will come after web apps and social sites?

#6
Energy. Biofuels will continue to remain hot until people realize what a terrible idea they are. Then I'd bet on photovoltaics and advanced battery technologies.

Oh, you meant in software? ;-)

I think that VOIP/videoconferencing/telecommuting software will get even huger than it is now, along with better social software to manage these interactions. There're three main drivers for this:

1.) The cost of bandwidth continues to plummet. YouTube showed that it's feasible to stream decent-quality video to millions of users at once.

2.) The cost of gas continues to skyrocket. As commuting becomes more expensive, more knowledge workers will look for an alternative to commuting. Given current technology, it's easier simply not to drive than to find more fuel-efficient ways of driving.

3.) Certain companies and projects are showing that it's feasible to work in geographically distributed teams. 37signals has about half of their staff in the Chicago office. The ICFP contest involves a very tricky task that's usually performed by teams of half a dozen people distributed all around the globe. A lot of volunteer organizations and nonprofit websites have large (sometimes > 200 people) teams and no physical office.

Re: What will come after web apps and social sites?

#8
post #5
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The best analysis I've heard of this is: "Location is a much poorer indication of intent than Search."

Yes, but a combination of search and location will beat just search any day.

Only when location it is relevant.

I'd hazard that 95% of the time that I search, I don't care about location. Pretty much everyone will ship to where I am.

Here's the thing: I believe that location-based apps are more about pushing local ads to users than they are about providing services. While that remains the case, they will be a nonstarter.

Re: What will come after web apps and social sites?

#10
Personally I think that products that help people mange information overload while providing them a social experience are going to take off in the year or so. Basically finding ways to tailor information towards the individual instead of just analyzing the data for the general population.
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