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People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

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11–20 of 119 posts

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#11
post #2

It’s sad to see a country just fade away. I hope they can convince their people to breed more or let in more immigrants while still maintaining their culture.

Wacky take since every country is a Ship of Theseus.

Japan of today is nothing like Japan of 100 years ago.

Every nation has already faded away multiple times.

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, the US and Canada are the only two first world countries not slated for long-term population decline due to immigration. Japan is going to have to be more welcoming of non-Japanese people.

None of the countries you mention have ages old strong own culture to preserve really (except first nations but for various reasons their culture is not US or Canada culture). So Japan's policy is not unreasonable. You can become a proper Japanese if you want to (are willing to culturally integrate), it's just that not many people do. Without it you'd be trading off death of country for death of culture. Contrast to…

this isnt true at all, in practice. there’s so much onerous bureacracy, kafkaesque visa policies, and the fact that even naturalised individuals will still be othered.

japanese nationality is tied to ethnicity so much due to how homogenous the society is

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#13
I always find it weird that people lament population decline. Japan still has a lot of people. Sure, that number is going down now, but you can’t look at the trend and extrapolate that number down to zero. And as the population declines, the number of resources per citizen increases. So people may be better off than before. The largest dangers to Japanese society lie in the transition period, where many elderly people will need to be supported by relatively fewer working age people.

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#14
post #2

It’s sad to see a country just fade away. I hope they can convince their people to breed more or let in more immigrants while still maintaining their culture.

Their culture is the reason that they're fading away. Perhaps it's time to change some parts in big ways in order to protect other parts.

[dead]

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#15
I can't help but feel that Japan is once again a decade or two ahead of everybody else in a weird sense.

When the boomer generation retires many countries will have to face similar problems and many western nations are already essentially governed by people that would/should be retired and can't find it in their hearts to give the levers of power to all the generations that came after them.

As a young person who will have to support an aging population I wondered half my life why the generations before me went just YOLO on the population pyramid thing as if it wasn't mathematically predictable what the outcome would be.

Then the pandemic hit and it turned out to be mathematically predictable as well and I got a display of just how irrelevant that fact was. It doesn't matter if the outcome is preventable. If you think it won't affect you and tou don't care about everybody else.

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#16
post #13

I always find it weird that people lament population decline. Japan still has a lot of people. Sure, that number is going down now, but you can’t look at the trend and extrapolate that number down to zero. And as the population declines, the number of resources per citizen increases. So people may be better off than before. The largest dangers to Japanese society lie in the transition period, where many elderly peopl…

The problem is that the transition period is not a transition period, as long as the birthrate is too low the population will continue to be age-heavy, and that will always be a problem. As for resources, Japan's resources are of the type which need people to work them (seafood, rice, other agriculture, and industry). So a population decline just makes it worse. They already have problems with rice fields, even with machinery and automation - a lot of rice fields are run by very old people at this point. The resources just aren't there for the picking for those left, to put it that way.

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#17
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

None of the countries you mention have ages old strong own culture to preserve really (except first nations but for various reasons their culture is not US or Canada culture). So Japan's policy is not unreasonable. You can become a proper Japanese if you want to (are willing to culturally integrate), it's just that not many people do. Without it you'd be trading off death of country for death of culture. Contrast to…

this isnt true at all, in practice. there’s so much onerous bureacracy, kafkaesque visa policies, and the fact that even naturalised individuals will still be othered. japanese nationality is tied to ethnicity so much due to how homogenous the society is

"othering" at social level probably exists, but you are mixing up culture and ethnicity, there is division and kind of caste system within "homogenous" Japan too, see burakumin issue for eg.

so legally for a foreigner the policy seems reasonable, just there is a lot of FUD spread by people who felt entitled to become Japanese with little effort and suffered reality check, see eg. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Yj855k5066o

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

what

They are referring to: a) the fact that Japan's birthrate is below the number needed to sustain the current population b) the fact that Japan is ethnically homogenous (98.5% ethnically Japanese), and has very limited channels for immigration, meaning that japan, with the policies that exist today, will not be able to significantly mitigate the population decline by accepting immigrants. Japan takes a very different a…

Japan has a way to go, but gradually they're thinking more about immigration as a necessity, which was pretty much never an issue before. In those Japanese newspapers I read there are more and more articles about how local governments and also the national government are (economically) supporting companies giving language training to immigrant workers, with the idea that they want them to stay. Similarly, some cities are setting up programs which try to get foreign students to stay after graduation. There's still much which has to change (see comments by others). But it's still a bit behind and the population will almost certainly continue to decline for some years, as it has for a decade now.

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#19
post #13

I always find it weird that people lament population decline. Japan still has a lot of people. Sure, that number is going down now, but you can’t look at the trend and extrapolate that number down to zero. And as the population declines, the number of resources per citizen increases. So people may be better off than before. The largest dangers to Japanese society lie in the transition period, where many elderly peopl…

If humanity can't figure out how to handle population decline, then it's doomed, full stop. There's only so much planet to go around; there's a finite limit somewhere. Rather than treating population decline as the issue, perhaps focusing on the actual issues that it exposes would be prudent. As it is now, we're just making every new generation into a layer of a global pyramid scheme.

Re: People aged 80 and over top 10% of Japan's population for first time

#20
post #19
post #13

I always find it weird that people lament population decline. Japan still has a lot of people. Sure, that number is going down now, but you can’t look at the trend and extrapolate that number down to zero. And as the population declines, the number of resources per citizen increases. So people may be better off than before. The largest dangers to Japanese society lie in the transition period, where many elderly peopl…

If humanity can't figure out how to handle population decline, then it's doomed, full stop. There's only so much planet to go around; there's a finite limit somewhere. Rather than treating population decline as the issue, perhaps focusing on the actual issues that it exposes would be prudent. As it is now, we're just making every new generation into a layer of a global pyramid scheme.

> If humanity can't figure out how to handle population decline, then it's doomed, full stop.

If it is going to enter a state of perpetual decline, then it is doomed, full stop.

> There's only so much planet to go around; there's a finite limit somewhere.

Perhaps, but the existence of an asymptote to growth doesn't imply a need to ever switch to decline.

The normal shape of a resource constrained growth curve is logistic.

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