> I took it as “you can’t just use college to ‘find yourself’ anymore
This FUD is exactly what I’m worried about. You took away a summary point that things are changing and somehow bad for degree earners, when in fact the bottom third of college grads have always been worse off, they’re the bottom third. College was never a guarantee of financial success. Of course some people can go into tech with only a high school diploma and earn more than someone with a degree who does social work or poetry or anthropology.
What does it say when you look at the stat that degrees earn 2x more than non-degrees, as a summary? To me it says that the dream of finding yourself in college is alive and well, that it’s not risky to go, if you have the means and the choice. To me it says the risk of not going is much higher than the risk of going. I agree with your point about choosing your major and sticking with your plan, if income is your goal, which is what most people try to do, I think. ~2x the income on average for 4 year degrees compared to high school is pretty big number, it surprised me, and it tells a different story than this article does. Before I read the Fed’s study I thought that college was maybe worth 15% more, on average (which would still be a nice boost…)
The Fed’s report calls the extra income that degree holders earn the “income premium”, and they even point out that the income premium is quite robust and not changing much, at the same time they’re arguing that the “wealth premium” is going down. They go so far as to ask “Why Has the College Income Premium Been More Durable than the Wealth Premium?” As far as the US Federal Reserve goes, there is no question and no debate about whether degree holders are earning more.
> Let’s never forget the elite are insulated from the problems of the future working class.
Sure, that is true. But with ~40% college degree attainment in the US, we are not talking about the upper class at all here, we’re talking about the middle class too, and talking about education that is available to most people.