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Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

japantimes.co.jp

61–70 of 147 posts

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#61

This is a problem that'll solve itself eventually; the desire to have children is to some degree inheritable, so the people with genes that make them still likely to have children in modern society will outbreed the people with genes that make them unlikely to have children in modern society. Similarly the cultures that make people more likely to have children will outspread those that make people less likely to have…

>This is a problem that'll solve itself eventually

If you include the option of extinction, sure.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would people make up excuses? They simply don't want them. My “excuse” for not having children is the same “excuse” I have for that I'm not a firefighter: I have no interest in it.

Curious: have you ever considered going to a therapist about this? It's not psychologically normal to never want children. I wouldn't be surprised if it was also co-morbid with other psychological issues.

Have you ever considered going to a therapist? Telling strangers that they need to procreate is not psychologically normal. I wouldn’t be surprised if it was also co-morbid with other psychological issues.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#63

I'd also note that plummeting birthrates are also happening in countries that are known for great social welfare, lots of government support for new mothers, and a more egalitarian society overall, like Finland. A lot of people simply don't want kids. Kids take a huge amount of time and investment for about 2 decades of one's life, and that can have a large, significant negative impact on quality of life, especially…

I had kids relatively late in life (42) and it's been amazing. I love being a dad, far more than I thought I would. It wasn't really about wanting kids or not wanting kids, it felt more like...puberty in that for most of human history you don't really get to choose to do it or not, it happens pretty naturally. I guess that's unfashionable to say. Perhaps some would say it's irresponsible. But the opening montage in Idiocracy looms large, I believe thinking too much about kids is a trap. Basically you should have them if you can.

Yes, it's hard work, and I was very happy to change my last diaper. But the rewards far, far outweigh the costs. Children are on balance a true joy, their laughter and smiles so pure and wonderful, that I can't imagine life without them.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#64
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is not clear at all. Perhaps people who don't want kids will die out, but if this is a cultural issue that affects our basic human instincts, it could be something that is extremely hard to fix. Perhaps in modern society, whatever you do, people only want 1-1.5 kids? If that's the case, without a radical cultural change, humans are basically going extinct.

>Perhaps in modern society, whatever you do, people only want 1-1.5 kids? This clearly isn't true because the Amish and Ultra-orthodox Jews still want/have 7-8 kids, and they live in modern society. I'm not sure about the Ultra-orthodox, but the Amish are certainly capable of sustaining their standards of living even if the rest of America dies out, so humanity wouldn't go extinct, it'd just become 100% Amish (and wh…

Amish do need to expand to new land though. They're priced out of the Lancaster homeland. But they don't want expensive urban real estate, so it's ok. Down side: They're apparently involved in deforestation of remote parts of the Amazon for that reason. Up side: They're bringing life to some remote parts of the US you wouldn't think of.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#65

I'd also note that plummeting birthrates are also happening in countries that are known for great social welfare, lots of government support for new mothers, and a more egalitarian society overall, like Finland. A lot of people simply don't want kids. Kids take a huge amount of time and investment for about 2 decades of one's life, and that can have a large, significant negative impact on quality of life, especially…

A lot of liberal (in the classical, broad sense) young folks simply shrug their shoulders at this fact -- not everyone wants kids, so what?

I think it's worth considering, if you're one of these people, that without children being born to liberal parents, the "extremists" of the world -- fundamentalist muslims, christians, and so on -- will inherit the earth. Of course some of their children will grow up to be liberals, but that number will inevitably decrease as the total number of liberals does as well.

If you believe that equality, feminism, human rights, and so on would suffer in that world, then I think you should consider if not having kids is really a big deal after all.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#66

I'd also note that plummeting birthrates are also happening in countries that are known for great social welfare, lots of government support for new mothers, and a more egalitarian society overall, like Finland. A lot of people simply don't want kids. Kids take a huge amount of time and investment for about 2 decades of one's life, and that can have a large, significant negative impact on quality of life, especially…

A lot of it is explained by rising marriage ages. Women lose the ability to have children at around 40, so the later they get married, the less chance they have of having children, even if all other things are equal. E.g. if we assume an even chance of having children per year, then we'd expect an increase of the average marriage age from 32 to 36 to halve the birth rate (as in the former there are 8 years in which the woman could give birth, while in the latter there are only 4).

This means that even if people's biological fertility and desire to have children didn't change at all, people delaying marriage to later in life would still potentially result in a big drop in the number of children born.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#67
post #23

The lack of sub-replacement rate fertility is happening almost everywhere. It's just hidden in many western countries by mass immigration, but even that is a temporary solution as the source countries face population decline themselves. The knockon effects from this are hard to anticipate, but the known ones are pretty scary. Modern economies don't work when there are more elders to care for than there are working ad…

>Population collapse may be the headline of the century if we can't figure out a way to turn it around. It will turn itself around eventually because some subsets of society keep having large numbers of children in spite of the pressures of modernity, such as the Amish and ultra-orthdox Jews with fertility rates of around 7-8. These cultures will eventually come to dominate as the lower-fertility cultures die out. It…

I think you're essentially dead on. The concern is the transitional phase. If population collapse leads to collapsing economies and mass civil unrest, there's a very real chance the still-reproductively-healthy cultures are dragged down with the rest. Not to extinction, but to the point if major civilizational regression. Luckily, and perhaps not coincidentally, those cultures you pointed to also happen to be distinctly insular.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#68
What is the point of life if we’re just going to work at Big Tech, transform our salaries into anti-aging remedies and airfare, then demand an ever dwindling proportion of young people support us while we expire? How do we reconcile this lifestyle with the fact that it means life on Earth has a due date? I don’t mean to antagonize but it all seems so inhumane to me.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#69

I feel like the col is just an excuse for people that don't really want them anyway. Throughout history people have had children with very little material possessions. Talk to someone who went through the great depression about how you don't have enough money etc. to have kids. I think we've just brainwashed ourselves into believing you need to be ultra wealthy to give kids a good childhood. If you literally cannot a…

Raising kids is difficult and time consuming. As people gain more opportunities to do other things than raise kids they chose to do those other things instead. It's an opportunity cost issue, not a literal cost issue. That's why the birth rates goes down rather than up as you climb income percentiles. People with more money have more opportunities. The only real force to counteract that is cultural/social pressure to…

> having kids was much less of a "decision" for couples not that many decades ago and was much more just an assumed fact

To your point, oftentimes the marriage wasn't considered valid if there were no children, after all, what evidence was there that the marriage had been consummated? In fact, that we used to talk about a marriage being "consummated" shows how our views on marriage and family have changed in a very brief timeframe.

Re: Third of Japan's 18-year-olds women may never have children: study

#70
As economies get more advanced, people begin to realize they don't or can't have kids who grow up to become farm workers or blue collar laborers. To raise a kid to become wealthy and white collar requires immense resources -- two full time working parents, real estate in a good school district, and child care for working mothers.

Does any of this sound easy or feasible for the current generation in the United States?!?

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