China's Zombie Economy

When you deposit money into a bank a few things happen:

- The money is no longer yours, it's the banks, you have no ownership of it anymore

- The bank creates an IOU (a deposit) in your account to say that you may request money equalling this value at any time. You can spend this IOU in various places, it is widely accepted as money. This "bank money" is confusingly referred to as dollars (or whatever your currency is), just like actual cash is.

- Completely separated from handling deposits, another arm of the bank creates loans, which also creates IOU's (deposits) in their respective account.

- Someone given a loan may request to withdraw cash (or a transfer), which may force the bank to reach into it's reserves, which is partly made up of customer cash deposits. These reserves are owned by the bank, not depositors. Banks are not holding onto depositors money in a strict sense, it's the banks money until an IOU is called in.

I think the last bit might be where the question about the "distinction without a difference" might be coming from? when the borrower requests cash, they are not "withdrawing" their loan, they are cashing in their deposit of "bank money". Because the percentage of reserves is always vastly smaller than all deposits they hold, bank runs are always destructive on the system. The whole system is a massive plate spinning act that works fine if the plates keep spinning.

China is more than 100% self sufficient on essential food (rice and other grains). China does import a large amount of soybean for fodder. If anything, I think Chinese eat too much nowadys and become as wasteful in food as Americans. When I visit China, I don't like the fact that many families have pets (dog, cat, and etc) just like here in US.

[0]https://www.fao.org/china/fao-in-china/china-at-a-glance/en

I also visited China fairly recently, China in 1983 and other culturally Chinese places like HK, Singapore, Taiwan and western areas. My take is the Chinese are a generally a hard working educated people who will do well given the chance. In 1983 the place was reduced to 1$ a day type poverty by Mao style communism. When Deng Xiaoping dropped that and allowed normally capitalism and trade the place boomed as the population started catching up with their cousins abroad.

Now Xi who is a Mao fan is rolling back some of the economic freedom such as arresting the AliBaba guy, and threatening the neighbours militarily which is causing the rest of the world to cut back on trade such as the US moving chip production away. I hope Xi doesn't go too nuts politically and start WW3 or something but otherwise I think China will do ok but not boom quite like the pre Xi period.