Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity). > If someone cares enough about the work to build on it, they will replicate it anyway. And in that case they have a good incentive to spend the effort…
“They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity).“ In my experience, scientists ate comfortably cynical about peer review- even those that serve as reviewers and editors- except maybe junior scientists that haven’t gotten burned yet.
Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
171–180 of 351 posts
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#172Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity). > If someone cares enough about the work to build on it, they will replicate it anyway. And in that case they have a good incentive to spend the effort…
“They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity).“ In my experience, scientists ate comfortably cynical about peer review- even those that serve as reviewers and editors- except maybe junior scientists that haven’t gotten burned yet.
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
It would be more than just half productivity. Not only do you have to do the work twice, but you add the delay of someone else replicating before something can be published and built upon by others. If you are developer, imagine how much your productivity would drop going from a 3 minute build to a 1 day build.
Terrible analogy. It might take months to come up with an idea but another should be able to follow your method and implement it much more quickly than it took you to come up with the concept and implement it.
Implementing the code for the simulation and analysis of the data? four months, at most. Running the simulation? almost three years until I had data with good enough resolution for publishing.
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#174Earlier quoted context omitted.
It would be more than just half productivity. Not only do you have to do the work twice, but you add the delay of someone else replicating before something can be published and built upon by others. If you are developer, imagine how much your productivity would drop going from a 3 minute build to a 1 day build.
Terrible analogy. It might take months to come up with an idea but another should be able to follow your method and implement it much more quickly than it took you to come up with the concept and implement it.
Even if someone meticulously documents their process, it could still take months to replicate the results.
I'm familiar with lithography/nanofabrication and I know that it is typically the case that a process developed in one clean-room can not be directly applied to a different clean room and instead one has to develop a new process based on what the other results.
Even in the same lab it can often happen that if you come back to a process after a longer time, that things don't work out anymore and quite a bit of troubleshooting ensues (maybe a supplier for some chemical changed and even though it should be the same formula it behaves slightly different).
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#175I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…
It's simple but not easy: You create another path to tenure which is based on replication, or on equal terms as a part of a tenure package. (For example, x fewer papers but x number of replications, and you are expected to have x replications in your specialty.) You also create a grant funding section for replication which is then passed on to these independent systems. (You would have to have some sort of randomizat…
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#176Earlier quoted context omitted.
You just described the majority of scientific papers. A "working set of instructions" is not really feasible in most cases. You can't include every piece of hard- and software required to replicate your own setup.
Then don't call it science, since it doesn't contribute anything to the body of human knowledge. I think it's fascinating that we can at the same time hold things like "one is none" to be true, or that you should write tests first, but with science we already got so used to a lack of discipline that we just declare it fine. It's not hard to not climb a tower you can't get down from. It's the default, actually. You st…
That is not to say that scientist should not document the process to their best ability so it can be reproduced in principle. I'm just arguing that it is impossible to easily reproduce other people's results. Again when chemical/manufacturing companies open another location they often spend months to years to make the process work in the new factory.
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#177Earlier quoted context omitted.
Then don't call it science, since it doesn't contribute anything to the body of human knowledge. I think it's fascinating that we can at the same time hold things like "one is none" to be true, or that you should write tests first, but with science we already got so used to a lack of discipline that we just declare it fine. It's not hard to not climb a tower you can't get down from. It's the default, actually. You st…
Imagine two scientists, Bob and Alice. Bob has spent the last 5 years examining a theory thoroughly. Now he can explain down to the last detail why the theory does not hold water, and why generations of researchers have been wrong about the issue. Unfortunately, he cannot offer an alternative, and nobody else can follow his long winded arguments anyway. Meanwhile, Alice has spent the last 5 years making the best poss…
To put a point on it, if public distrust of science becomes big enough, it all can go away before you can say "cultural revolution" or "fascist strongman". Then there'd be no more academia, and its shell would be inhabited by party members, so to speak. I'd gladly sacrifice the ability of Alice and others like her to live off producing "mostly rubbish" to at least have a chance to save science itself.
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
“They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity).“ In my experience, scientists ate comfortably cynical about peer review- even those that serve as reviewers and editors- except maybe junior scientists that haven’t gotten burned yet.
Yes, because we know how the metaphorical sausage is made: with unpaid reviewers who have many other, more interesting things to do and often an axe to grind. That is, if they don’t delegate the review to one of their post-docs.
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#179I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…
99% of all papers mean nothing. They add nothing to the collective knowledge of humanity. In my field of robotics there are SOOO many papers that are basically taking three or four established algorithms/machine learning models, and applying them to off-the-shelf hardware. The kind of thing any person educated in the field could almost guess the results exactly. Hundreds of such iterations for any reasonably popular problems space (prosthetics, drones for wildfires, museum guide robot) etc every month. Far more than could possibly be useful to anyone.
There should probably be some sort of separate process for things that actually claim to make important discoveries. I don't know what or how that should work. In all honesty maybe there should just be less papers, however that could be achieved.
Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)
#180I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…