Live data from Hacker News

Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

blog.everydayscientist.com

121–130 of 351 posts

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#121

I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…

>I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. I think it would be fine to half the productivity of these fields, if it means that you can reasonably expect papers to be accurate.

half would only be possible if, for every single paper published by a given team, there exists a second team just as talented as the original team, skilled in that specific package of techniques, just waiting to replicate that paper

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If someone cares enough about the work to build on it, they will replicate it anyway. Does it really deserve to be called work if it doesn't include the a full, working set of instructions that if followed to a T allow it to be replicated? To me that's more like pollution, making it someone else's problem. I certainly don't see how "we did this, just trust us" can even be considered science, and that's not because…

You just described the majority of scientific papers. A "working set of instructions" is not really feasible in most cases. You can't include every piece of hard- and software required to replicate your own setup.

Sounds like a problem worth solving.

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If someone cares enough about the work to build on it, they will replicate it anyway. Does it really deserve to be called work if it doesn't include the a full, working set of instructions that if followed to a T allow it to be replicated? To me that's more like pollution, making it someone else's problem. I certainly don't see how "we did this, just trust us" can even be considered science, and that's not because…

You just described the majority of scientific papers. A "working set of instructions" is not really feasible in most cases. You can't include every piece of hard- and software required to replicate your own setup.

Then don't call it science, since it doesn't contribute anything to the body of human knowledge.

I think it's fascinating that we can at the same time hold things like "one is none" to be true, or that you should write tests first, but with science we already got so used to a lack of discipline that we just declare it fine.

It's not hard to not climb a tower you can't get down from. It's the default, actually. You start with something small where you can describe everything that goes into replicating it. Then you replicate it yourself, based on your own instructions. Before that, you don't bother anyone else with it. Once that is done, and others can replicate as well, it "actually exists".

And if that means the majority of stuff has to be thrown out, I'd suggest doing that sooner rather than later, instead of just accumulating scientific debt.

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#124

I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…

What about a system where peer replication is required if the number of citations exceeds some threshold?

Who will be replicating it? Why would I want to set aside my own research to replicate some claim someone made? How would this help my career?

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#125

I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…

> I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. The alternative is a bunch of stuff being published which people belief as "science" that doesn't hold up under scrutiny, which undermines the reliability of science itself. The current approach simply gives people reason to be skeptical.

I'm not convinced this proposed alternative is better than the status quo. It's simply not feasible, no matter how many benefits one might imagine.

the concern about skepticism is not irrelevant, but many of these skeptics also are skeptical of the earth being round, or older than a few thousand years, or not created by an omnipotent skylord, and I'm not sure it's actually a significant concern given the current number and expertise of those who are skeptical

so, we can hear their arguments for their skepticism, but that doesn't mean the arguments are valid to warrant the skepticism exhibited. And in the end, that's what matters: skepticism warranted by valid arguments, not just any Cletus McCletus's skepticism of heliocentrism, as if his opinion is equal to that of an astrophysicist (it isn't). And you know what? It isn't necessary to convince a ditch digger that the earth goes around the sun, if they feel like arguing about it.

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#126

I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…

[dead]

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#127

I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…

> If someone cares enough about the work to build on it, they will replicate it anyway. Does it really deserve to be called work if it doesn't include the a full, working set of instructions that if followed to a T allow it to be replicated? To me that's more like pollution, making it someone else's problem. I certainly don't see how "we did this, just trust us" can even be considered science, and that's not because…

I work with code, which is about as reproducible as it is possible to get - the artifacts I produce are literally just instructions on how to reproduce the work I've done again, and again, and again. And still people come to me with some bug that they've experienced on their machine, that I cannot reproduce on my machine, despite the two environments being as identical as I can possibly make them.

I agree that reproduction in scientific work is important, but it is also apparently impossible in the best possible circumstances. When dealing with physical materials, inexact measurements, margins of error, etc, I think we have to accept that there is no set of instructions that, if followed to a T, will ever ensure perfect replication.

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. I think it would be fine to half the productivity of these fields, if it means that you can reasonably expect papers to be accurate.

It would be more than just half productivity. Not only do you have to do the work twice, but you add the delay of someone else replicating before something can be published and built upon by others. If you are developer, imagine how much your productivity would drop going from a 3 minute build to a 1 day build.

Terrible analogy. It might take months to come up with an idea but another should be able to follow your method and implement it much more quickly than it took you to come up with the concept and implement it.

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#129

I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper. This of course depends a lot on the specific field, but it can easily be months of effort to replicate a paper. You save some time compared to the original as you don't have to repeat the dead ends and you might receive some samples and can skip parts of…

It's simple but not easy: You create another path to tenure which is based on replication, or on equal terms as a part of a tenure package. (For example, x fewer papers but x number of replications, and you are expected to have x replications in your specialty.) You also create a grant funding section for replication which is then passed on to these independent systems. (You would have to have some sort of randomizat…

Your proposal has a whole slew of issues.

First, people that want to be professors normally do so because they want to steer their research agenda, not repeat what other people are doing without contribution. Second, who works in their lab? Most of the people doing the leg work in a lab are PhD students, and, to graduate, they need to do something novel to write up in their dissertation. Thus, they can’t just replicate three experiments and get a doctorate. Third, you underestimate how specialized lab groups are — both in terms of the incredibly expensive equipment it is equipped with and the expertise within the lab. Even folks in the same subfield (or even in the same research group!) often don’t have much in common when it comes to interests, experience, and practical skills.

For every lab doing new work, you’d basically need a clone of that lab to replicate their work.

Re: Replace peer review with “peer replication” (2021)

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Fraud seems rampant because you hear about cases of fraud, but not about the tens of thousands of research labs plugging away day after day.

I agree that most labs are probably not out to defraud people. But without replication I don't think it's reasonable to have much confidence in what is published.

That's not what publication is about. Publication is a conversation with other researchers; it is part of the process of reaching the truth, not its endpoint.
Post reply on HN