Live data from Hacker News

The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

mstdn.ca

481–490 of 511 posts

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#481

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Home ownership rates for those under 30 at least have fallen considerably in many Western countries (certainly in Australia). And yes urbanisation has increased but not that dramatically. What hasn't really happened though is any significant new cities forming, meaning more and more competition for being located in desirable areas of existing cities, which is surely one of the bigger drivers of decreased affordabilit…

> Home ownership rates for those under 30 at least have fallen considerably in many Western countries Yes, it seems the under 30 crowd would rather go to college/university instead these days. A degree can cost about as much as a modest home. Almost nobody attended college in the 1950s. Hobbies always come with tradeoffs. > And yes urbanisation has increased but not that dramatically. 15-20 points, at least in the US…

> Yes, it seems the under 30 crowd would rather go to college/university instead these days.

Fairly sure housing affordability is a bigger problem for those without tertiary degrees though!

> 15-20 points, at least in the USA

I'd think if there was an era where urbanisation was highest it would be in the 50-60 years prior to the 60s, and I'm not aware of house prices dramatically increasing in that time (happy to be shown otherwise though!). But in that earlier period many quite modest-sized towns grew massively to become the cities they are today (*), so arguably there weren't quite so many people all trying to crowd into the same few cities.

(*) though in Australia at least, something of the opposite has happened in the last ~75 years - many modest-size towns have lost their populations to larger cities.

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#482

Working in most jobs sucks. Some people are lucky to have jobs they love, but that's the minority. I know that to be the prevalent sentiment even in top notch, AAA, "I can't believe they pay me to do this" companies such as Google, Apple etc. If people had, for the sake of a thought experiment, a guaranteed 20K/month income and free healthcare no matter what they do with their life, it's very unlikely they will choos…

> They will instead generally pursue arts/crafts

Didn’t we have this experiment during Covid where many people found themselves being paid, sometimes for 2 years, to just wait till their job comes back? I don’t think many became artists (surely, some did). But there were also a lot of stories of increased depression, addiction, and despair.

I’m not saying it’s better to do a bullshit job that getting paid to do nothing. I’m just saying it doesn’t seem to be as simple.

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#483

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Home ownership rates for those under 30 at least have fallen considerably in many Western countries Yes, it seems the under 30 crowd would rather go to college/university instead these days. A degree can cost about as much as a modest home. Almost nobody attended college in the 1950s. Hobbies always come with tradeoffs. > And yes urbanisation has increased but not that dramatically. 15-20 points, at least in the US…

> Yes, it seems the under 30 crowd would rather go to college/university instead these days. Fairly sure housing affordability is a bigger problem for those without tertiary degrees though! > 15-20 points, at least in the USA I'd think if there was an era where urbanisation was highest it would be in the 50-60 years prior to the 60s, and I'm not aware of house prices dramatically increasing in that time (happy to be…

> Fairly sure housing affordability is a bigger problem for those without tertiary degrees though!

US data suggests that college graduates have seen the largest decline in homeownership over the past 10 years.

That said, you are right that college filters out those with disabilities and other life challenges, and that means those without degrees are infinitely more likely to have something like a crippling mental disability which would prevent them from owning a home. Which, indeed, makes drawing any aggregate parallels between graduates and non-graduates rather useless.

> I'd think if there was an era where urbanisation was highest it would be in the 50-60 years prior to the 60s

In fact, there was a bit of a counter-urbanization movement during the period. Cities were considered to be for the poor. Anyone with means wanted to live on large estates out in the countryside. There was also that whole "White Flight" thing. All that goes back to the people not wanting the houses.

It's easy to forget now that we've put in incredible effort to make cities more livable, but cities were industrial hell holes during the 50s and 60s. Not to mention that crime was starting to become a big problem by the 60s. They were not desirable places in the slightest. Today's cities are entirely different.

It is true that things are much more affordable when they are considered undesirable.

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#484

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Easy to do as a knowledge worker, but I've had plenty of jobs where you get in trouble for resting.

calendar store -- one of the pop-ups in the mall during the holiday season. literally just an empty storefront they were able to rent on the cheap. few shoddy racks of calendars. we had to keep walking and chatting to the customers when they came in. In December. For calendars. No chairs, no cell phones. Couple of the HS kids no called/no showed so I was often the only person there for 8 hours. Exhausting.

That’s called sales

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#485

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Yes, it seems the under 30 crowd would rather go to college/university instead these days. Fairly sure housing affordability is a bigger problem for those without tertiary degrees though! > 15-20 points, at least in the USA I'd think if there was an era where urbanisation was highest it would be in the 50-60 years prior to the 60s, and I'm not aware of house prices dramatically increasing in that time (happy to be…

> Fairly sure housing affordability is a bigger problem for those without tertiary degrees though! US data suggests that college graduates have seen the largest decline in homeownership over the past 10 years. That said, you are right that college filters out those with disabilities and other life challenges, and that means those without degrees are infinitely more likely to have something like a crippling mental dis…

That's actually now perhaps getting closer to a better (if harder to demonstrate) theory - that housing has become unaffordable largely because we've made cities (and their surrounding suburbs) so much more desirable places to be in than they were 60 or 70 years ago.

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#486

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's not 12%, it's 18% as a whole company. 12% is 20 year average. So, 12%. Got it. One successful year doesn't paint much of a picture. Especially when you remember that employees don't usually take pay cuts when business is not doing so well. In many jurisdictions, it is even illegal to see employee pay cuts. > I'm specifically talking about bags General coffers. Even if the margins really are 90% on bags, they'r…

> So, 12%. Got it. It's 50% more compared to that number. And for last 5 years it was only going up, it's not one successful year. So it's not 12%. Got it ? I don't know of anyone talking about margins and talking about 20 years average, they had 0% in 2001, it's counted in that ~20 years, don't you see how stupid this is to include that into discussion? profit margins from 20 years ago. Labor and material are the lo…

> I don't know of anyone talking about margins and talking about 20 years average

You can't forget the past. Louis Vuitton aside, it is well understood that even wildly successful businesses haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years before reaching profitability. You're saying that as soon as a business does reach profitability, all the excess profit should go to the workers, even when they haven't asked for it, and not pay back the lost opportunity? If so, why would anyone take the risk?

> Labor and material are the lowest costs on bags, highest is marketing.

Indeed. As you recognize this, and as marketing is not included in COGS, I find it strange that you pointed to their gross profit margin earlier. What was meant to be the significance of that?

> You want me to tell that he (Bernard Arnault) can't pay people that make these bags more because he don't have money?

He did pay them more. Said workers went on strike last year because they wanted more, and shortly thereafter he responded by paying them more... Ask and you shall receive, as they say.

What are you expecting, exactly? Is it that you are appalled that workers have to make it known how much they expect to be paid? Do you want Bernard to walk the streets and surprise offer $100 bills to random passers-by?

If so, what about you? Everyone on HN can spare a a few hundred dollars (you couldn't afford to be here otherwise), and more likely, given how much the audience is generally worth, can spare tens, even hundreds, of thousands of dollars. How many $100 bills did you unsolicitedly hand out today? Or are you one of those people who never pays more than the asking price even though you can afford to pay more?

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#487

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> So, 12%. Got it. It's 50% more compared to that number. And for last 5 years it was only going up, it's not one successful year. So it's not 12%. Got it ? I don't know of anyone talking about margins and talking about 20 years average, they had 0% in 2001, it's counted in that ~20 years, don't you see how stupid this is to include that into discussion? profit margins from 20 years ago. Labor and material are the lo…

> I don't know of anyone talking about margins and talking about 20 years average You can't forget the past. Louis Vuitton aside, it is well understood that even wildly successful businesses haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years before reaching profitability. You're saying that as soon as a business does reach profitability, all the excess profit should go to the workers, even when they haven't asked for it, and…

> Louis Vuitton aside, it is well understood that even wildly successful businesses haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years before reaching profitability.

What? You mean VC backed businesses only? So like 0.0...1% of all businesses? and btw LV is not one of them. You think that successful restaurant owner "haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years"? He would be out of business 10 times by then.

> He did pay them more. Said workers went on strike last year because they wanted more, and shortly thereafter he responded by paying them more... Ask and you shall receive, as they say.

In France, after strike. What about Asia? where there are no unions and strong labor laws, did he pay them too? No he didn't.

> What are you expecting, exactly? Is it that you are appalled that workers have to make it known how much they expect to be paid? Do you want Bernard to walk the streets and surprise offer $100 bills to random passers-by?

> If so, what about you? Everyone on HN can spare a a few hundred dollars (you couldn't afford to be here otherwise), and more likely, given how much the audience is generally worth, can spare tens, even hundreds, of thousands of dollars. How many $100 bills did you unsolicitedly hand out today? Or are you one of those people who never pays more than the asking price even though you can afford to pay more?

Sorry but what the hell are you talking about? Do you remember the topic of conversation still? Because I'm replying to what you said "Not having enough revenue to pay the workers a sufficient rate is just a symptom of that.", which I proved is not the case in my specific example (because THERE IS ENOUGH REVENUE to pay workers more, he did it in France where labor laws and unions are the strongest on this planet) and it's also not the case in software industry and you talk about me handing out 100$ to random people on the street??? What?

I don't really know on which world are you living, but the reason most of businesses do not pay workers more is not "not having enough revenue" but because they choose to hoard money to themselves out of greed. I have many business owners in my family and they are driving porsches while paying their staff minimum wage, I assure you that they have enough revenue to pay their workers more. I'm not here to offer solutions, I was writing this to show that the problem exists and that what you wrote is not true in majority of cases.

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#488

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't know of anyone talking about margins and talking about 20 years average You can't forget the past. Louis Vuitton aside, it is well understood that even wildly successful businesses haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years before reaching profitability. You're saying that as soon as a business does reach profitability, all the excess profit should go to the workers, even when they haven't asked for it, and…

> Louis Vuitton aside, it is well understood that even wildly successful businesses haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years before reaching profitability. What? You mean VC backed businesses only? So like 0.0...1% of all businesses? and btw LV is not one of them. You think that successful restaurant owner "haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years"? He would be out of business 10 times by then. > He did pay them…

> What about Asia?

What about it? Are the workers there currently off the job while they wait for more money?

> Because I'm replying to what you said "Not having enough revenue to pay the workers a sufficient rate is just a symptom of that."

Oh? Are you sure? You have offered nothing to suggest Louis Vuitton is struggling to find workers. The closest we got was me mentioning that their workers were on strike last year, which was followed with more pay to compel the workers back. That shows that Louis Vuitton is, in fact, quite prepared to pay more when they can't find the workers they need.

Here I was convinced you were just going on some mindless "workers are victims" rant, not realizing that workers don't show up when they are not paid enough. If you don't believe in that, you need to go back to the original comment in this thread – the one before my first – and reply to it instead. As you know, as you surely read all the words before replying (haha), my comment merely followed the premise established there.

> Sorry but what the hell are you talking about?

It was suggested that head of Louis Vuitton is too greedy to randomly pay people more than what they asked for. I then asked if you go around randomly paying people more than they ask of you. If not, it would be strange for you to expect others to do so. Everyone here has money to spare.

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#489

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Louis Vuitton aside, it is well understood that even wildly successful businesses haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years before reaching profitability. What? You mean VC backed businesses only? So like 0.0...1% of all businesses? and btw LV is not one of them. You think that successful restaurant owner "haemorrhage money for the first 5-10 years"? He would be out of business 10 times by then. > He did pay them…

> What about Asia? What about it? Are the workers there currently off the job while they wait for more money? > Because I'm replying to what you said "Not having enough revenue to pay the workers a sufficient rate is just a symptom of that." Oh? Are you sure? You have offered nothing to suggest Louis Vuitton is struggling to find workers. The closest we got was me mentioning that their workers were on strike last yea…

> What about it? Are the workers there currently off the job while they wait for more money?

No they aren't because it's Asia? You don't work then you starve. There is so much poor people there that you can pay whatever and you will find workers, no labor laws, no unions. So he pays them pennies because as you said "THERE IS SHORTAGE OF REVENUE"? That's not the reason and everyone knows that. Just admit that they are not paid because of greed and we can finish this discussion instead of framing it like poor business owner would need to charge higher price or they would be starving. That's NOT the case.

> Here I was convinced you were just going on some mindless "workers are victims" rant, not realizing that workers stop showing up when they are not paid enough

Ye, all of these people without education can choose to do whatever they want.. so they can just quit and then they eat air and pay for rent and their children school etc with air, with almost zero savings (because cost of living eats everything) especially in Asia without labor laws and unions. But ye live in your alternative world where workers can choose whatever they want, but it's not only Asia where its really bad or Africa, lets look at the richest country in the world where 57% of Americans can't afford a $1000 emergency, I guess these people with kids can't wait to just quit their jobs and be homeless.

> It was suggested that the guy at the head of Louis Vuitton is too greedy to randomly pay people more. I asked if you randomly pay people more as well. If not, it would be strange for you to expect others to do so. Everyone here has money to spare.

Difference is that these are not random people but people that do work for him, see the difference? It's the fruit of their labor. That's why again, WTH are you talking about?

Re: The Long History of Nobody Wants to Work Anymore

#490

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What about Asia? What about it? Are the workers there currently off the job while they wait for more money? > Because I'm replying to what you said "Not having enough revenue to pay the workers a sufficient rate is just a symptom of that." Oh? Are you sure? You have offered nothing to suggest Louis Vuitton is struggling to find workers. The closest we got was me mentioning that their workers were on strike last yea…

> What about it? Are the workers there currently off the job while they wait for more money? No they aren't because it's Asia? You don't work then you starve. There is so much poor people there that you can pay whatever and you will find workers, no labor laws, no unions. So he pays them pennies because as you said "THERE IS SHORTAGE OF REVENUE"? That's not the reason and everyone knows that. Just admit that they are…

> as you said "THERE IS SHORTAGE OF REVENUE"

I would never say such a thing as "shortage of revenue" is completely nonsensical. A shortage occurs when an external mechanism, such as government regulation, prevents price from rising. Revenue may be impacted by a shortage, but revenue fundamentally cannot be in shortage itself.

The original comment that set the stage for the thread stated that certain businesses are struggling to find workers because they don't pay enough to attract workers. That is true, but the reason they aren't able to pay enough to attract the workers they need to keep going is because the customers aren't interested enough in their product to want them to keep going. Not everything is worth doing.

It is not clear how you think Louis Vuitton fits into that. They seemingly have no trouble hiring workers, and when the workers do leave over concern of not being paid enough they demonstrably offer more to win them back. They have sufficient customer interest.

> Difference is that these are not random people but people that do work for him, see the difference?

No. You also have people working for you. Everyone, save those who have gone completely off grid (which you clearly have not), does. That is how an economy functions. The question stands: How often do you pay your workers more than they have asked of you?

Post reply on HN