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Are Emotions Prophetic?

wired.com

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Re: Are Emotions Prophetic?

#2
People making emotional decisions don't ask for more information when they are uncertain, and therefore can't rationally analyse what further information / support is needed and use technology to gain that information.

Therefore, even if emotional decisions are more accurate than a reasoned decision made with no technological assistance (whether the assistance is from pen and paper calculations or a complex model with data taken from the Internet), reasoned decision making can benefit from this technology and so is likely to be more accurate for that reason.

Re: Are Emotions Prophetic?

#3
post #2

People making emotional decisions don't ask for more information when they are uncertain, and therefore can't rationally analyse what further information / support is needed and use technology to gain that information. Therefore, even if emotional decisions are more accurate than a reasoned decision made with no technological assistance (whether the assistance is from pen and paper calculations or a complex model wit…

Check out Gerd Gigerenzer's work: Gut Feelings, and Fast and Frugal Heuristics. He also studies Bayesian reasoning.