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Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

southseattleemerald.com

281–290 of 311 posts

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why should buses EVER be a part of any solution? They are terrible, and always will be. It's simple math: buses have to either have long intervals, or be horribly wasteful (and thus too expensive). At the moment, the most realistic solution is to just wait 10 years for the self-driving cars to mature and then build infrastructure around them.

Is that the most realistic? Because I don't think they're ever going to get L5 automation to work.

What Waymo et al have now probably is sufficient for a "public transport" role, given the fixed service area and high density enabling investment in mapping infrastructure with manual fixes and local heuristics.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#282
post #10

> If a rail is built successfully, there will be an extraordinary increase in transportation abilities — saving commuters time while reducing environmental harm. This high-speed rail is intended for people getting between home and workplace on a daily basis? Edit: I'm not asking whether it can be used for daily commutes, but is daily commutes the reason for building this? Or what is the reason?

It’s low-quality journalism. The actual report says that HSR competes with metro-to-metro air travel, and explicitly contrasts it to commuter rail. It says that when managed poorly,—for example, trying to serve too many communities—HSR ends up as an expensive version of commuter rail, which is a failure.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#283
post #275

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They clearly did read it. And the actual report, which is the thing that really matters. You clearly have not, on the other hand. Nor do you have the most basic understanding of the purpose of HSR, which you wouldn’t even need to read the report to know. It’s ok to say “I’m wrong”, you know. > Let me ask you a different question, since you brought up air travel; what sort of ticket/buyer do you think accounts for the…

You've confused ticket volume with profits.

You’ve confused profits with revenue.

You asked for most revenue, not most profit. Ticket volume directly correlates, especially when one source accounts for 80% of the volume.

But I’m sure you have sources for your moved goalposts, right? Please, show me how commutes are the most profitable. Or most revenue. Or literally anything where they are considered “most” when it comes to air or HSR.

Once again, it’s ok to say you’re wrong about something. Doubling down by constantly moving the goalposts is probably the most idiotic way to make your point.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#284
post #275

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You've confused ticket volume with profits.

You’ve confused profits with revenue. You asked for most revenue, not most profit. Ticket volume directly correlates, especially when one source accounts for 80% of the volume. But I’m sure you have sources for your moved goalposts, right? Please, show me how commutes are the most profitable. Or most revenue. Or literally anything where they are considered “most” when it comes to air or HSR. Once again, it’s ok to sa…

About 3/4 of all domestic airline profits are accounted for by business travel. You are bad at this.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#286
post #284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You’ve confused profits with revenue. You asked for most revenue, not most profit. Ticket volume directly correlates, especially when one source accounts for 80% of the volume. But I’m sure you have sources for your moved goalposts, right? Please, show me how commutes are the most profitable. Or most revenue. Or literally anything where they are considered “most” when it comes to air or HSR. Once again, it’s ok to sa…

About 3/4 of all domestic airline profits are accounted for by business travel. You are bad at this.

Business travel != commuting. And you still haven’t provided a source for that claim.

> what sort of ticket/buyer do you think accounts for the bulk of domestic airlines' revenues?

Provide a source specifically for commuting accounting for a majority of revenue, which was your original claim.

Moving the goal posts and saying the equivalent of “trust me bro” does not a compelling argument make.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#287
post #284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

About 3/4 of all domestic airline profits are accounted for by business travel. You are bad at this.

Business travel != commuting. And you still haven’t provided a source for that claim. > what sort of ticket/buyer do you think accounts for the bulk of domestic airlines' revenues? Provide a source specifically for commuting accounting for a majority of revenue , which was your original claim. Moving the goal posts and saying the equivalent of “trust me bro” does not a compelling argument make.

I'm sorry this is upsetting you, but I'm certain that no matter what sort of information I provide to you, it won't change your mind.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#288

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>TLDR: The government is the source of all wealth. Which is terrific. So long as the government's ongoing investments are repaid in kind. Governments are important but I think this is terrible logic. The government didn't use magic to create the land out of nothing. It also seems to imply some sort of Perpetual debt, which can never be repaid. Like a parent that claim stuff on everything a child makes or creates. If…

PS- What's your view of the Homestead Act and such? Why would the govt just give people land, vs selling it?

I think the Homestead Act is a good example for explaining my objection.

First of all, I believe the government is the agent and servant of the people, not the other way around. Any government land is also owned by the people because the people own the government. The Homestead Act was a simple way of Distributing this land to to be held directly by the people instead of managing it on their behalf.

When considering the giving away of land, the government loses property. What the government gains is the hope or chance that people will do something productive with it. Even if those people only benefit themselves and retain the profits, they are increasing the economy and total wealth/value of the country. This is the repayment, and those individuals dont "owe" the government anything.

What I especially object to is the idea of retrospectively applied debt, often long after the fact.

You see this a lot in discussion of government grants for science and tech research.

The government creates and awards research grants to encourage development because the public would be better off if the medicine or whatever exists opposed to not exist, even if it is being sold for a profit.

However, when something does get invented and sold, some people then think the public is owed a debt. This isn't true. The government provided funding because it wanted the thing to exist. Once it exists, the government's objective and any obligation has already been met.

By analogy, imagine two neighbors. Neighbor A pays for the other (Neighbor B) to paint their house out of self interest, because it will make the neighborhood look better and raise their own property value. The neighbor B has fulfilled their obligation and any debt by painting the house. It is both logically and morally bankrupt for Neighbor A to come back at a later day and claim the other is in their debt, after they already got what they initially wanted and bargained for.

This comes back to the idea of the government as the "source" of all wealth, deserving repayment.

Like I said before, the government is important, and even essential for economic development.

Being essential is different than being the "source" or deserving repayment. A government built road is essential for me to get to work, however that doesn't mean the government is the source of all the work I did, or entitled to a share of my salary, provided I already paid my share for the road.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#289
post #287

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Business travel != commuting. And you still haven’t provided a source for that claim. > what sort of ticket/buyer do you think accounts for the bulk of domestic airlines' revenues? Provide a source specifically for commuting accounting for a majority of revenue , which was your original claim. Moving the goal posts and saying the equivalent of “trust me bro” does not a compelling argument make.

I'm sorry this is upsetting you, but I'm certain that no matter what sort of information I provide to you, it won't change your mind.

Asking for a source is not being upset, but way to bring an ad hominem into it along with the moved goalposts. You’re just going for all the fallacies aren’t you?

I guess it’s easier for you to move goal posts and make claims than it is to back them up when pushed to do so.

You literally have not provided a single thing to back anything you’ve said up and are pretending like somehow I’m the unreasonable person.

Next time, just be consistent in your claims and back your shit up. It’s really not that hard.

Re: Plans develop for high-speed rail in the PNW

#290

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> pricing is a policy choice This is an exceedingly silly statement. The money printer stopped going brrr. Things cost money. The cost of building high-speed rail is very high. Letting a relatively small number of people commute is, imho, low value. Toss out some napkin math numbers if you’d disagree. I’d love to see your cost/value analysis. Feel free to complain about how much money we spend subsidizing highways if…

you're not exactly making a good faith argument here [0] but sure i'll play ball i'll ignore the infrastructure costs, it's free to drive on I-5 after all. an N700S costs about $50M and holds 1300 people. amortized over 30 years, you're looking at say $3M/year including a very generous maintenance budget. i'll throw in another $0.5M/year for misc personnel costs (driver, station staff). even if you ran only a single…

> i'll ignore the infrastructure costs, it's free to drive on I-5 after all.

Ugh. Like I said. =\

We aren’t building a new city with no initial infrastructure. This isn’t Sim City. And we aren’t rebuilding after getting firebombed and flattened in WW2. What we do have is an actually pretty good interstate highway system that was built in the 50s by eradicating minority neighborhoods and rampant use of eminent domain.

The only relevant question “given where we are today, what makes sense”. How much does it cost to go from where we are to a rich and robust train system?

So, we have a bunch of highways that require maintenance/growth and a bunch of train track that needs to be built. If you want to move budget from highway maintenance to train track construction and maintenance that’s totally cool. But you can’t just handwave it away.

I’ve read all the articles about why America sucks at building rail and what the per mile cost is.

So. Napkin math. How much to build, operate, and maintain a high-speed rail system in the PNW. Full system costs. Face value. With zero complaining or snark about how much we spend on cars/highways today.

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